Perhaps the BEST B1G Forum anywhere, here at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

I'll take your word for it.

But again, I don't think he's talking about increased runoff.  I believe he's just talking about greater than normal rainfall and severe weather.  It's been bad for the past couple of months, really bad.

And I don't know about his part of the country, but it would take decades of excessive rainfall in my area, to raise the groundwater levels to the point where they'd impact flash flood storage capability.

Although lake levels in CenTex are up to "full" for the most part, the aquifers are still exceedingly dry.  We've severely overtaxed our water supply in Central Texas. One of the reasons I'll likely be moving once the kids graduate high school.  This area really can't tolerate the prolonged growth, it WILL run out of water.

In general, I was indeed referring to the 6 weeks of nearly daily rainfall, some of it quite heavy.  To the point that I believe we have already received our average annual rainfall.

But the lakes did fill, the dams had to release water at record rates, in some cases the water overflowed the dams, the rivers were swollen and overflowed their banks in many places, and in other places levees kept the low-lying land from flooding.  The levees along the Arkansas River just just west of the Tulsa city limits had been built in the '40s, and not updated or upgraded since.  There had been dire warnings that they would not hold if there were a long period of heavy rainfall.  In some cases, the water overflowed them, but, to about the 99 and 44/100ths% level, they did hold.

Here's a pic of a series of bridges southwest of downtown Tulsa (looking northeast).  From l. to r., the are the BNSC RR bridge, two bridges for I-244, the now inactive Cyrus Avery Rte 66 bridge, and the Southwest Blvd. bridge.  The Arkansas River is nearly twice its normal width, and probably 15 feet higher than normal.



50+ highway miles downstream, where the Neosho River (maybe 15 miles downstream of the Fort Gibson Dam) flows into the Arkansas near the small city of Fort Gibson, there was this.

Tesla breaks their Q4'18 record, reporting over 95K deliveries. I will say that I did not see that coming.

Next step is their quarterly earnings statement, due in about a month. If they can show good FCF and at least avoid a *big* loss (i.e. losing no more than $200M), it's bullish. If their ASP / product mix (and leasing) cuts hard into FCF or they generate big losses, it's bearish.

As they say in the soap opera world, To Be Continued...

I feel like Tesla is ping ponging on purpose (wham and lull; wham and lull). First they piqued public interest with strong PR and once they started the manufacturing it feels like it's been good then bad announcements in a long unbroken sequence. Maybe that's something that's happening to them, not intentional, but it feels more like they are in control and that discontinuous supply has somehow helped with their process and/or has a net positive effect on the market, investors, Wall Street, whatever (that these highs are higher than the lows are low ... and they don't have the option for all highs). I know this is inconsistent with their overoptimistic forecasts on bad quarters. One explanation would be that those rosy forecasts are lies and Tesla doesn't care that they won't come close.

/gutfeel

https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=26252



If this is correct, the situation is beyond our control.

So, if "we" could just get rid of the Middle East, China, and Russia "we" would be all good then?

Let's do it!!

What do you think is a more likely cause of that?

I was getting there but planned to do it in parts:

Step 1:

What do you think is a more likely cause of that?

Step 2:

If you were studying this CO2 rise and hoped to make conclusions about the mystery cause, what kind of evidence do you think you'd look for?

Step 3:

What evidence would it take to dismiss or embrace the idea that this is caused by man?

Step 4:

In which ways do you consider the isotopic carbon record unconvincing?

Step 5:

Do you consider that record minorly or majorly unconvincing - why?

Step 6:

What next experiment can you imagine? As before, the goal should be to select one that could conceivably change your mind if the experiment were performed and the result were the opposite of what your hypothesis predicts.

The carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere is rising at a steady rate.  What I don't buy is that humanity is the primary cause of that.

I used to think that but I'm convinced it all the fookin' trees getting cut along with industrial build up.Farms & forrests have practically disappeared in N.E.Ohio replaced by commercial/residential "Progress"