I think you're opinion of Riley is clouded by him spurning OU. He did great in Norman, by any measure. By your measuring stick Bob Stoops was on the way down in 2014 after a 8-4 season.
http://mcubed.net/ncaaf/charts/ok.shtml
[img width=500 height=310.966]https://i.imgur.com/wnBraTM.png[/img]
Not sure how USC is looking this year because I rarely watch Pac 12 but they seem to be doing much better after many down years.
You may be right about needing to be bad to get great. If that is the case A&M should be all world by now.
Nice chart.
2014 was definitely a bad year for Bob Stoops. It tied with 2009 for his worst record (8-5) after his 7-5 first season. By other measurables, it was worse than the 2009 season. In 2009, we lost Sam Bradford to injuries and didn't have a reliable place-kicker. (How Bob managed to not have a worthwhile kicker on the team, I don't know.) So we lost 13-14 to BYU, 20-21 to Miami, 13-16 to Texas, 3-10 to Nebraska, and (in the one b-a-a-a-a-d loss, 13-41 to Texas Tech. In 2014, we lost 33-37 to TCU, 30-31 to Kansas State, 14-48 to Baylor, 35-38 to oSu (in a game Bob badly mismanaged at the end), and then a bad blowout 6-40 to Clemson in the Russell Athletic Bowl.
I think Bob decided at that point that he was ready to retire soon (and a lot of OU fans were probably ready for him to do so), so he fired Josh Heupel (the hardest thing he had to do as OU's coach, by his own account) and hired Lincoln Riley as OC, and put renewed energy into recruiting. He
righted the ship. In 2015-16 he went 11-2, 11-2, then handed the reins to Lincoln, who went 12-2 (2OT CFP loss), 12-2 (11-pt CFP loss), 12-2 (blowout CFP loss), 9-2 (Sugar Bowl win), 10-2. (The Sooners finished at 11-2 in 2021, but Bob coached the Alamo Bowl victory.)
Lincoln is doing well at USC this year. I figured he would. USC has the talent to dominate the Pac-12, especially with QB Caleb Williams following Lincoln to Los Angeles. Unless he's learned from his experience at OU, he won't have a good defense and he won't have a culture of accountability in his program, and his first year may be his best, as was the case at OU.
I imagine that OU would have done better on offense yesterday with Caleb Williams at QB. Not even close to "Sooners win!" better, but better than what they did with Davis Beville as QB.
Your Aggies lost a tough one to Bama yesterday. Seems that Jimbo gets the team up more for Bama than for any other opponent.
EDIT: I should add that Riley's defenses at USC probably will work better than his defenses did against Big 12 and SEC/CFP opponents. His DC is Alex Grinch, and he had good defenses at Washington State, obviously playing against mostly Pac-12 opposition.