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What are college students doing this summer?  It's an interesting question, some activities above no doubt are happening.  Quite a few probably are working at Lowe's et al. or restaurants.  They aren't going to bars or concerts or nightclubs until the wee hours.  I wonder if some "crop up" gypsy nightclubs are extant.

They ARE going to bars, at least here, because the bars are now open.  Restaurants are opening to 50% capacity too and they're going there.  They're going to the lake and crowding onto boats together, I've already seen evidence of this first-hand having  been out on the lake myself several times now this summer.  They're going to beaches in large groups, too.

It's true they're not going to concerts.  So that's one thing I suppose.

And yes, the ones that need to work, are likely going to work if they can find jobs.  Some of the college kids I know are returning to their summer jobs as lifeguards at the pools (which are now opening) and working boats/docking at the marinas.

We have about three months.  I am reminded of just two months ago, late March, this was looking scary, a lot of unknowables.  Italy was looking horrible and folks feared that could happen here, and worse.  I went to Kroger on a Wednesday and it was starting to look strained and went back the next day for a couple things and it was almost stripped bare.  I was buying up dried beans and jugs of water "in case" we lost our distribution capacities.  I worried about utilities staying up, water and electricity.  We were joking about killing squirrels and geese in the park for "dinner".  I was not as scared about getting it as I was a societal breakdown of order and the necessaries, forget about toilet paper.

If you had offered me "today" back then as an option, I would have jumped on it.  As noted above, in another two months things may be quite different yet, hopefully for the better, no resurgence in cases as people start back into life, or no major surge anyway.  Maybe we can retain some precautions for a longer period and still find we can get on with our lives for the most part.

I also believe there will be a push for Universities to open in the fall in order to keep/attract students.  There have been several articles written on the perception of costs to attend a university on campus vs virtual. 

Absolutely.  The parents of college kids that I know, are absolutely unwilling to pay full tuition price for a semester of online education.  It was one thing to accept a shift to online schooling in the midst of the onset of the pandemic right after Spring Break.  It's quite another to start off a brand new semester that way.

Most of those parents and kids I know are all saying they'll take a "gap year" rather than pay for online-only education.  The financial shortfall for universities would be devastating.

I am of the opinion wave 2 will happen earlier than Oct/Nov...  that bias does impact my comments. 

I find all the people talking about "wave 2" have an implicit assumption that this thing will wane over summer... I don't know that I agree.

As we open up over the summer, I think we're just going to have a slow burn of new cases and deaths. I don't think it'll decline much from here, and might increase a bit. 

I don't see any basis for any seasonality at this point.   This isn't influenza virus.  Being out and about could be worse with this, not better.

I don't see any basis for any seasonality at this point.  This isn't influenza virus.  Being out and about could be worse with this, not better.

I don't believe it has any seasonality.  I do believe summer socializing will lead to new spikes and a repeat of shutting things down.   Hope I'm wrong, but that is what I believe today.

I don't believe it has any seasonality.  I do believe summer socializing will lead to new spikes and a repeat of shutting things down.  Hope I'm wrong, but that is what I believe today.

If hospitals don't get overrun, there's no need to shut anything down.

Flattening the curve somehow became eradicating the virus, at least to some people.  That was not the original intent, and I consider it to be completely impossible anyway.

The American public isn't going to willingly quarantine people that are not sick, ever again.  I think it would have to become a "bodies lining streets" scenario for the American public to allow any further shutdowns.

Obviously, I hope it never gets to that, and I don't expect it to.