Michigan, one of the preeminent helmets (as the actual helmets go, the preeminent helmet), had high preseason expectations, but its play to date hasn't lived up to them. Nonetheless, with two wins, no one (including me) is ready to bury it just yet.
The Badgers are the classic team that had huge expectations last season and tanked, only to come back and look really good this season, just as everyone was making sure to temper any expectations. So no one is really ready for a Badger coronation just yet.
I'm leery of saying Michigan's offense and turnovers doom it in this game. If this game goes wrong for Michigan, presumably that's how.
I'm also leery of saying Wisconsin's quarterback and defensive woes (read injuries destroying the depth chart) are cured as a result of two blowouts against powder puffs (South Florida wasn't supposed to be trash, but losing to GaTech looks damning), but if this game goes right for Wisconsin, that's what we will see.
It's unlikely that Wisconsin blows Michigan out--that's a rare occurrence outside of the Rich Rod years. It's also unlikely that Michigan gets a repeat of last year--that's also rare, particularly at Camp Randall (where Wisconsin is 5-3 in the Alvarez Era, and has only lost by more than five once; ten in 1997).
My prediction is the same as it was earlier in the week: if the Badgers score more than 20, they win (if not, it would be the first time in the Alvarez era), they need at least 11 to win, but in the teens it will come down to a late kick/turnover/defensive stand.
So now we wait...