I have not been high on Auburn all year and they've done nothing to persuade me otherwise. I think LSU still has some talent, somewhere. I expect TOs from Auburn to be definitive.
USCe to me just looks lost, so I go with the upset to Troy. You are right that Arky needs a home game here, but it's not to be, and Athens will be rocking.
Florida is interesting, I pondered their having one of those down efforts against a rather feisty UK team, but nope. I don't know if I'd pick Vandy over anyone right now, their team looked superslow.