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The Power Five => SEC => Topic started by: Cincydawg on September 27, 2021, 09:27:15 AM

Title: Week V
Post by: Cincydawg on September 27, 2021, 09:27:15 AM
Saturday, October 2

[th]MATCHUP[/th]
[th][/th]
[th]TIME  (ET)[/th]
[th]NAT TV[/th]
[th]TICKETS[/th]
[th]LOCATION[/th]
[th][/th]
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/8.png&h=50) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/8/arkansas-razorbacks)
#8Arkansas (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/8/arkansas-razorbacks)
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/61.png&h=50) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/61/georgia-bulldogs)
#2Georgia (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/61/georgia-bulldogs)
12:00 PM (https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401282090)(https://a.espncdn.com/redesign/assets/img/logos/networks/espn-red@2x.png) (https://www.espn.com/watch/)Tickets as low as $136 (https://www.vividseats.com/ncaaf/georgia-bulldogs-tickets/georgia-10-2-3561104.html?wsUser=717&wsVar=us~ncf~schedule,desktop,en)Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/2633.png&h=50) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2633/tennessee-volunteers)
Tennessee (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2633/tennessee-volunteers)
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/142.png&h=50) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/142/missouri-tigers)
Missouri (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/142/missouri-tigers)
12:00 PM (https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401282093)(https://a.espncdn.com/redesign/assets/img/logos/networks/espn-sec@2x.png) (http://www.secnetwork.com/)Tickets as low as $36 (https://www.vividseats.com/ncaaf/mississippi-state-bulldogs-tickets/ms-state-10-2-3561095.html?wsUser=717&wsVar=us~ncf~schedule,desktop,en)Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field, Columbia, MO
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/145.png&h=50) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/145/ole-miss-rebels)
#12Ole Miss (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/145/ole-miss-rebels)
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/333.png&h=50) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/333/alabama-crimson-tide)
#1Alabama (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/333/alabama-crimson-tide)
3:30 PM (https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401282089)CBSTickets as low as $113 (https://www.vividseats.com/ncaaf/alabama-crimson-tide-tickets/alabama-10-2-3561049.html?wsUser=717&wsVar=us~ncf~schedule,desktop,en)Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/2653.png&h=50) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2653/troy-trojans)
Troy (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2653/troy-trojans)
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/2579.png&h=50) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2579/south-carolina-gamecocks)
South Carolina (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2579/south-carolina-gamecocks)
3:30 PM (https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401282094)(https://a.espncdn.com/redesign/assets/img/logos/networks/espn-sec@2x.png) (http://www.secnetwork.com/)Tickets as low as $31 (https://www.vividseats.com/ncaaf/south-carolina-gamecocks-tickets/south-carolina-10-2-3537310.html?wsUser=717&wsVar=us~ncf~schedule,desktop,en)Williams-Brice Stadium, Columbia, SC
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/57.png&h=50) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/57/florida-gators)
#10Florida (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/57/florida-gators)
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/96.png&h=50) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/96/kentucky-wildcats)
Kentucky (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/96/kentucky-wildcats)
6:00 PM (https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401282091)(https://a.espncdn.com/redesign/assets/img/logos/networks/espn-red@2x.png) (https://www.espn.com/watch/)Tickets as low as $92 (https://www.vividseats.com/ncaaf/kentucky-wildcats-tickets/kentucky-10-2-3561048.html?wsUser=717&wsVar=us~ncf~schedule,desktop,en)Kroger Field, Lexington, KY
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/344.png&h=50) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/344/mississippi-state-bulldogs)
Mississippi State (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/344/mississippi-state-bulldogs)
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/245.png&h=50) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/245/texas-am-aggies)
#15Texas A&M (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/245/texas-am-aggies)
7:00 PM (https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401282095)(https://a.espncdn.com/redesign/assets/img/logos/networks/espn-sec@2x.png) (http://www.secnetwork.com/)Tickets as low as $45 (https://www.vividseats.com/ncaaf/texas-am-aggies-tickets/texas-am-10-2-3561053.html?wsUser=717&wsVar=us~ncf~schedule,desktop,en)Kyle Field, College Station, TX
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/41.png&h=50) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/41/uconn-huskies)
UConn (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/41/uconn-huskies)
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/238.png&h=50) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/238/vanderbilt-commodores)
Vanderbilt (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/238/vanderbilt-commodores)
7:30 PM (https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401282096)(https://a.espncdn.com/redesign/assets/img/logos/networks/espn-U@2x.png) (https://www.espn.com/watch/)Tickets as low as $3 (https://www.vividseats.com/ncaaf/vanderbilt-commodores-tickets/vanderbilt-10-2-3561082.html?wsUser=717&wsVar=us~ncf~schedule,desktop,en)Vanderbilt Stadium, Nashville, TN
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/2.png&h=50) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2/auburn-tigers)
#22Auburn (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2/auburn-tigers)
(https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/ncaa/500/99.png&h=50) (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/99/lsu-tigers)
LSU (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/99/lsu-tigers)
9:00 PM (https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401282092)(https://a.espncdn.com/redesign/assets/img/logos/networks/espn-red@2x.png) (https://www.espn.com/watch/)Tickets as low as $69 (https://www.vividseats.com/ncaaf/lsu-tigers-tickets/lsu-tigers-9-18-3561051.html?wsUser=717&wsVar=us~ncf~schedule,desktop,en)Tiger Stadium , Baton Rouge, LA

Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Cincydawg on September 27, 2021, 09:30:29 AM
My GUESSES:

UGA 27  Arky 17
Mizzou 30  Tenn 20
Bama 45  Ole Miss 20

Troy 26  USCe 24
Florida 34  UK 17
A&M 37  MSU 31

Uconn 29  Vandy 17
LSU 26  Auburn 20
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: jgvol on September 27, 2021, 02:15:45 PM
It is criminal that the UGA/Arky game gets the noon timeslot instead of the 6 PM ESPN slot.

Dumb.
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: MikeDeTiger on September 27, 2021, 05:50:30 PM
My GUESSES:

UGA 27  Arky 17
Mizzou 30  Tenn 20
Bama 45  Ole Miss 20

Troy 26  USCe 24
Florida 34  UK 17
A&M 37  MSU 31

Uconn 29  Vandy 17
LSU 26  Auburn 20

lolz, everybody knows Troy can't beat an SEC team.

Oh, wait.  
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: MikeDeTiger on September 27, 2021, 05:59:33 PM
That actually looks like pretty good guesses to me.  Haven't watched Ole Miss but if the offense is as good as people say then maybe they hit more than 20. 

Seems like it would've been good weeks for Ole Miss and Arkansas to be at home.  Maybe they sneak away with one in their home stadium, but probably not on the road.  If, on the other hand, Arkansas goes into Athens and wins, then I'm all in and you won't convince me otherwise until somebody beats them. 

I can't figure out who I like in LSU/Auburn.  On the one hand AU looked pretty rotten Saturday, as rough as I've ever seen them.  On the other hand I have no confidence in a team to win SEC matches that can't run the ball.  MSU probably wins last weekend if Leach didn't pull his usual Leachisms.  And the terrible penalty on the punt...really shot themselves in the foot.  I also can't get 2012 out of my head when a 10-3 LSU team clawed a 12-10 victory from a 3-9 Auburn squad.  Although that was at Auburn, maybe the drunk cajuns with a 8 pm kickoff can rattle the visitors.  
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Cincydawg on September 27, 2021, 06:05:59 PM
I have not been high on Auburn all year and they've done nothing to persuade me otherwise.  I think LSU still has some talent, somewhere.  I expect TOs from Auburn to be definitive.

USCe to me just looks lost, so I go with the upset to Troy.  You are right that Arky needs a home game here, but it's not to be, and Athens will be rocking.

Florida is interesting, I pondered their having one of those down efforts against a rather feisty UK team, but nope.  I don't know if I'd pick Vandy over anyone right now, their team looked superslow.

Title: Re: Week V
Post by: MikeDeTiger on September 27, 2021, 06:45:14 PM
I haven't really watched any of east teams other than Florida and Georgia.  Did not get to see UGA's game last weekend, so still no Vanderbilt.  Seems plausible that they're terrible.   Still don't know what awaits LSU later at Kentucky.  
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Cincydawg on September 28, 2021, 05:48:53 AM
The UGA-Vandy game would reveal nothing beyond that Vandy is historically bad, I think, as bad as they have ever been.  At one point late in the game, UGA had more points than Vandy had yards.
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: bamajoe on September 28, 2021, 08:41:22 AM
Good job. Can't disagree with any of your picks. I don't think Arkansas can hold Georgia to 27 points and don't think A&M can score 37 points on anybody, though.
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on September 29, 2021, 02:49:25 PM
Bama getting run on by Florida MIGHT be a good thing for them in their game against Ole Miss.  
MAYBE Kiffin saw that and how plans to run more than he ordinarily would and it plays into the shored-up Bama run D.

Of course, and more likely, Kiffin has Corral toss it 50 times and is able to exploit the Bama pass D, which is something Florida didn't/couldn't really do.

I kinda love how the Gators knocked the Tide down a peg, at least in terms of national perception.  
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: bamajoe on September 29, 2021, 03:18:43 PM
I am glad you are able to celebrate a loss. Congratulations. 
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on September 29, 2021, 04:13:37 PM
Are you eager to play Florida again?  With our video-game backup QB added in?
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: bamajoe on September 29, 2021, 04:20:27 PM
I am not at all concerned with playing Florida again. Florida did Alabama a favor. Alabama now knows it has to play for four quarters similar to last year's Ole Miss game.
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Gigem on October 01, 2021, 07:20:33 AM
Leach has a history of success vs A&M. I think we can put up points.  The question is can we slow them down enough?  I think MSU will put up between 24-31.  I’m not sure our offense can out do that but if we can get the ground game going we can pound the ball and keep them off the field. 

Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Cincydawg on October 01, 2021, 09:45:22 AM
The guy I attended the Braves game with is a big Bama fan, long time season ticket holder, etc. He's worried about Ole Miss.

The West is pretty solid this year.
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: MikeDeTiger on October 01, 2021, 09:56:56 AM
Man, I don't even know.  Ever since I got out of quarantine several weeks ago I've so backlogged with work and school that I'm not having much time to watch games, or much of anything else either.  And that's on top of already watching less football than I used to.  I don't have much in the way of matchup analysis or predictions that aren't just guessing. 

All I can say is good luck to your teams this weekend, everybody but Auburn.  This could be the year AU finally breaks the voodoo of the Cigar Curse.  
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Cincydawg on October 01, 2021, 10:05:19 AM
I recall a Cheers episode where they all predicted NFL games.  Diane predicted on the basis of team colors and mascots, and won every time.
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: bamajoe on October 01, 2021, 11:44:40 AM
Fear seems to be a common factor around Alabama fans regarding Ole Miss. It seems that because Ole Miss played Bama tough last year and beat Alabama six years ago, they are a major threat this year. I don't buy it. Bama has too much superiority in players. Bama by three tds.
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Cincydawg on October 01, 2021, 02:55:37 PM
Bama 45  Ole Miss 20

This was my guess, I will stick with it, I expect a comfortable win.  OM could well score more I realize and make it closer.  And of course my guesses are rarely spot on, it happens aa time or two a season.
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on October 01, 2021, 04:24:55 PM
If it was just about talent, Alabama wouldn't have lost a game in the past decade.

Whatever it is Ole Miss did last year, they're doing it better this year.  So if they were close last year and they actually have some semblance of a defense this year, combined with Alabama not being as good on either side of the ball, even by mere % points, then it makes sense that the Rebels are a threat.

That being said, Saban could have a different gameplan and smack Kiffin upside the head.  The fun is in the watching.
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Cincydawg on October 01, 2021, 07:28:20 PM
Yup, good points, and it should be an interesting game.

There are some good coaches in the SEC right now, I think, including at UK IMHO.  I like what Arkansas is becoming, just not tomorrow.  Mullen seems very able to exact the best of the pieces he has present, very adaptable and creative.  Kiffin, I don't know yet, but he's making noise.  Coach O?  huh.
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on October 02, 2021, 04:04:03 AM
Is Kentucky bad?  3 straight 1-possession wins, vs Mizzou, Chattanooga, and Carolina.  Why are they only a 7.5 point dog to the Gators??

Aside from it being Florida's first real road game (had more fans than USF did in Tampa), I can't think of why.
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Cincydawg on October 02, 2021, 07:13:45 AM
I'd take UF to beat that spread handily, it could be close early of course.  I've seen a UGA game at Kroger Field, it's not that loud of course.
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Gigem on October 02, 2021, 12:22:37 PM
And UGa scores on its first drive. I have not commented on this game because this will tell more about A&M’s season outlook than most others. 

I see it two ways.  (1)A&M is either really bad on offense this year, and average on defense, (2) or Arkansas is really good on defense and average on offense. 

Right now it’s looking like #1. OL is in shambles and QB is subpar. Defense can’t carry the day either. 

Just hope we can eek one out vs the pirate bulldog. 
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Cincydawg on October 02, 2021, 12:43:36 PM
Arky seems panicked.
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on October 02, 2021, 01:29:17 PM
This is why I require johnny-come-latelys to show me something against a big-boy team before I ever buy in. 
Any unexpected 4-0 or 8-1 team who hasn't played anyone legit is never going to get me to pick them because they're nearly 100% not ready for the spotlight.

Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Gigem on October 02, 2021, 03:22:55 PM
Ark had 8 3 and outs. Only had two drives with any first downs. Terrible showing. 

UGa IMO made a serious case for #1. 
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: OrangeAfroMan on October 02, 2021, 06:07:37 PM
Not unless they change the spelling of "Georgia" to A-L-A-B-A-M-A.
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Drew4UTk on October 02, 2021, 09:34:47 PM
Florida wasn't flat.... UK just punched them I the jawls... over and over.  

UK flares a few times a season under Stoops.  When they figure out how to sustain it they'll be dangerous.  

Tennessee looked real good today.  Many of the mizzou points were when UT was rotating in the bench, which started in the third.  
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Cincydawg on October 02, 2021, 10:08:54 PM
Is Kentucky bad?  3 straight 1-possession wins, vs Mizzou, Chattanooga, and Carolina.  Why are they only a 7.5 point dog to the Gators??

Aside from it being Florida's first real road game (had more fans than USF did in Tampa), I can't think of why.
Did not age well, I have some of my own.
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: bamajoe on October 03, 2021, 08:35:43 AM
Florida had the same problem that Alabama had at Florida; they could not hear the signals which resulted in eight false starts and defeat. I thought the game was a toss up from the start and it was. I didn't think Kentucky fans could make that much noise at a football game. Congratulations to the Wildcats.
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Cincydawg on October 03, 2021, 08:40:42 AM
You'd think SEC teams would be used to noise by now.  It appeared to impact Arky as well, and was their first true road game.
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Cincydawg on October 03, 2021, 08:45:28 AM
My GUESSES:

UGA 27  Arky 17
Mizzou 30  Tenn 20
Bama 45  Ole Miss 20  Pretty close

Troy 26  USCe 24
Florida 34  UK 17
A&M 37  MSU 31

Uconn 29  Vandy 17
LSU 26  Auburn 20
I don't think I've ever been that far off before.  I was close on the LSU score.  Wrong on the winner.

Congrats to Vandy!  And UK of course, that second Florida loss gives the Dawgs a lot more room obviously, but they still need to run the table and get to Atlanta.
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: just1hog on October 03, 2021, 08:59:54 AM
You'd think SEC teams would be used to noise by now.  It appeared to impact Arky as well, and was their first true road game.
What a ass whooping, the false starts didn't help, but the Dawgs lines are head and shoulders above anything the Hogs have faced to date. Gratz!
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Cincydawg on October 03, 2021, 09:29:19 AM
I think UGA played above their ability to some extent, the crowd clearly was a factor.  I was surprised how well they ran the ball when it was clear they were going to run the ball, Arky did not seem to adjust effectively.
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Gigem on October 03, 2021, 10:28:09 AM
And now A&M went from contender to fighting for last place in the SEC-W. 

Extremely frustrating, we’ve never been able to sustain success. It’s a given that we will follow up a 10+ win season with a 5-7 win season. Not even sure we’re going to make it to 5 wins at this point. 
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Cincydawg on October 03, 2021, 10:36:29 AM
A&M looks a bit, well, lost, or something.  I caught part of the game last night between UK-UF.  (I figured UK would blow it late.)

Losing Mond was significant, I thought they were ranked too high preseason, but I expected a 9-3 kind of thing, maybe 8-4.  I thought UNC was overranked, somewhat because teams that do well one year without that history behind them often drop back the next year.
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Cincydawg on October 03, 2021, 10:38:14 AM
(https://i.imgur.com/u6D4IdW.jpg)
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: MikeDeTiger on October 03, 2021, 11:04:28 AM
I think UGA played above their ability to some extent, the crowd clearly was a factor.  I was surprised how well they ran the ball when it was clear they were going to run the ball, Arky did not seem to adjust effectively.

Dominant showing by UGA.  The pigs aren't as bad as UGA made them look.  

I was surprised how much the crowd was not a factor in Baton Rouge.  On tv it looked like a lot of vacant seats and the crowd was not lively.  I texted a buddy who was there because tv can be deceptive on both fronts, but he confirmed many vacancies and the crowd was not into it sans some Auburn 3rd downs.  I don't know if the people are hurricane weary, fed up with the program, or something else.  But that's a weird environment for a night game against a division opponent, most especially Auburn.  
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Drew4UTk on October 03, 2021, 11:34:07 AM
Nix went nuts... that guys vision while scrambling is next level. 
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Cincydawg on October 05, 2021, 12:53:00 PM
The LSU-UK game probably is more important than might be evident at first.
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: fuzzynavol on October 06, 2021, 03:47:15 PM
My GUESSES:

UGA 27  Arky 17
Mizzou 30  Tenn 20
Bama 45  Ole Miss 20

Troy 26  USCe 24
Florida 34  UK 17
A&M 37  MSU 31

Uconn 29  Vandy 17
LSU 26  Auburn 20
Oh ye of little faith...

(https://c.tenor.com/IbNuKuIwA5AAAAAC/urban-meyer-coach.gif)
Title: Re: Week V
Post by: Cincydawg on October 07, 2021, 06:10:40 AM
My guesses this year have been epic, and awful.

I am usually in the OK range.