only a fool would discount Bama.
however, there is this strange dynamic that happens in this game, where skill and emotion entwine- where 'teams' form and perform at a level nobody could anticipate out of the clear blue without prior indication they could execute 'like that'...
bama has earned it's reputation. they pull on their boots and go to work. that's pretty much all they have to do as they are supremely coached and prepared.
however, there are teams on their schedule, who IF they performed at their absolute best and met Bama loafing even a little, could beat them. those teams are Florida, Auburn, LSU, and aTm.... but it isn't those that will do it imHo- it's a team sandwiched somewhere on the schedule that lets Bama look right past them- that team that maybe won't make a bowl... that team nobody believes in and is isolated in that disregard every week... who has the tools but has had no indication of what they can do with them yet...
Ole Miss, Arkansas, Miss State or Tennessee (in order of likelihood) will drop the Tide this season. What it'll take is playing at 125% of their possible game, which happens from time to time, and catching Bama just going through the motions.
now if these were armies laying in wait, or a bunch of gangs getting ready to go at it 50's style where its well known one slip up can get you killed i'd have to say Bama rolls right through the season without any real threat... but... it isn't... 'going to work', in my opinion, is a condition that can invite the fall against a team that is hungry and had their encounter circled, as if it's the only game they'll ever play, for years.
just sayin'.