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Topic: 2021 Assessment

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Cincydawg

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2021 Assessment
« on: January 18, 2021, 10:15:34 AM »
I suppose we can expect Alabama and A&M and Florida and UGA to be "in the running", with LSU and Auburn as darker horses.

Anyone else with a decent shot at winning their division?  

bamajoe

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #1 on: January 18, 2021, 10:52:38 AM »
I don't think Auburn, LSU or Florida have a snowball's chance at a divisional title next fall. Florida pretty much showed that it was a three man team against Oklahoma and those three super players are gone. Auburn looks like it's sinking with the rats abandoning ship. The transfer portal down there needs a traffic cop and recruiting really suffered after they fired Gus. LSU doesn't have a SEC level qb.

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #2 on: January 18, 2021, 11:00:56 AM »
LOL, well, I guess there's no reason to play the games then.  
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #3 on: January 18, 2021, 11:12:13 AM »
Our forecasts obviously can be upset by unexpected developments, but it's fun to consider what appears to us to be likely.

It's not too hard to predict the East will be decided in Jacksonville and the West may be decided when Bama plays A&M, but the West is not as clear cut I think.

jgvol

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #4 on: January 18, 2021, 12:48:56 PM »
Bama till it's not.

Unfortunately.

I'd love to see A&M unseat them, but we know how that goes.....

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #5 on: January 18, 2021, 06:30:02 PM »
For Florida:
QB - Emory Jones is perfect for Mullen's run/pass system.  He has a stronger arm than Trask and should have a great grasp of the offense after playing/backing up for 2 years.
RB - everyone comes back, plus a 5* Clemson transfer
WR - 2 straight years of this position being gutted is rough, but we get back Shorter and Copeland, plus FRs Henderson and Whittemore showed they'll contribute
TE - we go from All-American to merely "very good" here
OL - depends.....may lose 4 guys, but some may come back, thanks to the extra year Covid thing.  This group can't run-block worth a damn, tho.
DL - Good pass-rushers return, but lose two 300 lbers......yet we get two 300 lbers to replaced them from Penn St and Auburn.
LB - a shallow position this past year, but literally EVERYONE comes back
DB - Marco Wilson leaving early is a non-issue, he stunk.  Elam is good, but the top 3 safeties leave and the DB coach.  As the defensive backs couldn't have been worse as a group, only coaching will improve things.  The guys who have played, haven't played well.  
.
We'll be a whole different offense in 2021.  And while not as productive, it'll still be a plus-offense.  We'll run the ball a ton more and there's a chance that in itself will help the defense some.  The front 6 of the defense will be better, but the defensive backfield is a crapshoot.  If it can be merely average, that would be a big step up and allow for a good season.
.
Good punter returns and we got a transfer K from Miss State.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #6 on: January 19, 2021, 09:29:18 AM »
I'm sure nearly everyone will pick Bama in the West, and toss a coin in the East.


bamajoe

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #7 on: January 19, 2021, 09:44:44 AM »
I don't see how you can look at what Georgia has coming back and their schedule and say the East is a coin toss. Tennessee, Vanderbilt and South Carolina are in rebuild as is Auburn whom you play. Florida lost their entire offense and had no defense to start with. I doubt Kentucky and Missouri can challenge. Georgia misses Alabama and A&M, I believe. Georgia should go undefeated at least through the regular season.

Cincydawg

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #8 on: January 20, 2021, 11:44:37 AM »
I think Florida has a better coach than UGA, and I'd consider that game close to a coin toss, though I expect UGA will be favored.


OrangeAfroMan

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #9 on: January 20, 2021, 07:31:56 PM »
No, no, by all means, count us out.  It's not like Mullen is going to actually get to run his offense now, with an athletic QB.  We don't have to play Georgia, they have to play us!
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

bamajoe

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #10 on: January 20, 2021, 07:42:07 PM »
I just looked at Florida's schedule. Florida should be favored in 9 games, a toss up at LSU, and underdogs against Georgia and Alabama. I think 10 wins are within reach

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #11 on: January 20, 2021, 10:38:27 PM »
A toss up vs LSU?  Was that a shoe-throwing joke??!?  :57:
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

bamajoe

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #12 on: January 21, 2021, 08:48:53 AM »
Please educate me as to why you think Florida should be a significant favorite over LSU next fall. The game is in Baton Rouge. LSU always out recruits Florida. LSU won the last game in Gainesville despite being a huge underdog. Florida lost its entire offense. This is not 2020. IMHO this is a very dangerous game for Florida.

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #13 on: January 21, 2021, 10:33:51 AM »
Where did I say Florida should be a significant favorite over LSU next year?  Who am I to educate you on shit you're just conjuring from thin air?
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

 

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