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Topic: 2021 Assessment

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Cincydawg

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #28 on: February 06, 2021, 11:56:35 AM »
I suspect Florida will have a pretty good offense.  The QB is more Mullen's type and he does well on offense usually.

I seriously doubt UGA blows them out, unless they have bad turnovers.

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #29 on: February 06, 2021, 01:16:22 PM »
Yes, the offense will have more balance.  It won't put up as many points per game, as 2020's offense was special, but it will be good.
And the good part about the defense is that for it to improve, all it has to do is NOT be the worse Florida defense ever.  Should be pretty easy.

It's funny that some would say UGA will just easily beat Florida, considering after the first play in 2020, the Gators went on a 41-14 run against the Dawgs.  Suddenly UGA is just magically much better?  Sure, why not?
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #30 on: February 06, 2021, 01:22:18 PM »
It was was perhaps more of a 41-7 run if we count offensive points.

The UGA offense looked generally better after the QB replacement.  Obviously, I don't predict a blow out.

Cincydawg

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #31 on: February 22, 2021, 08:55:53 AM »
I wonder where A&M is with their renewal, vs Bama.  I think their game is at Bama in 21.  Bama "might" be as weak as they ever get these days.

It seems like a 4  team race to me in the overall conference and will ride on two games.

bamajoe

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #32 on: February 22, 2021, 11:59:33 AM »
Where do you think Alabama's weaknesses are and which two games do you think will determine the league status? Apparently, one is Bama-A&M and the other I think might be Georgia -Florida?

Cincydawg

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #33 on: February 22, 2021, 01:36:30 PM »
Their weakness is their usual weakness, losing a ton to the NFL.  So, the "might" be as weak as they ever are.

Which isn't very weak obviously.  The QB position comes to mind as a position soft spot.

AT least UGA has their starter returning, it helps.

bamajoe

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #34 on: February 22, 2021, 04:47:08 PM »
So having the number 1 qb prospect in the land according to the gurus and having played in nine games last year is a weakness? Typically a new qb is a cause for concern. However there are some who are ready when they arrive on campus. We'll see.

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #35 on: February 22, 2021, 10:14:03 PM »
Breaking in a new QB is MUCH less of an issue today than it was 20 years ago.  For a guy who's been on the field and a year of learning the offense, the kid is going to be who he's going to be.  
.
Florida's "new" QB has gotten lots of playing the time the past 2 years and hasn't really been able to show off his passing talents much.  Much stronger arm than Trask, but if he has the accuracy and quick knowledge of where to go with the ball is unknown.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #36 on: February 23, 2021, 08:12:48 AM »
The only point is that Bama MAY be as vulnerable as they get this year, maybe.  When else might A&M have any shot?


Cincydawg

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #37 on: February 26, 2021, 06:02:42 AM »
Who else could plausibly sneak in to either race?

Missouri?  Meh.
LSU?  Eh.
Auburn?  (Seems unlikely)

Well, it's all unlikely, I can't point to another team that has a 5% chance.  Arky?  Meh.  Usually we seem to have a team or three with a distant shot.

bamajoe

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #38 on: February 26, 2021, 09:08:37 AM »
In the East imo the only team with any chance of challenging Georgia is Florida and I would put that chance at maybe 25%. In the West I think it could be interesting. Texas, LSU, Arkansas and both Mississippi schools seem to be on the upsurge although imo only the first two have legitimate chances to challenge Alabama. Texas is loaded and only needs to reload at qb. LSU is being overlooked because of how bad they were last year. LSU is actually loaded with talent and, like Texas, only needs a qb. I would say that each has maybe a 20% chance to win the division.




OrangeAfroMan

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #39 on: February 26, 2021, 01:36:41 PM »
Is the other 75% in your butt?  I love numbers pulled from there!  
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #40 on: February 26, 2021, 05:21:09 PM »
When someone says "I would put that chance at 25%", it's obviously his opinion.  

I'd note that IF A&M and LSU have a 20% chance to win the West, it would mean Bama would have 79.9% or somesuch.  That might not be far off, I'd give A&M more of an edge, LSU less of one.  LSU might upset Bama but lose two more games.  Or more.

My GUESS is UGA will be a 3-4 point fav over Florida.  That usually means a 60% shot at winning.  But by then, one could look worse than we expected and vice versa.

What if both look worse than we expect?  Missouri???


OrangeAfroMan

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Re: 2021 Assessment
« Reply #41 on: February 26, 2021, 10:12:53 PM »
No one is going to be as bad as South Carolina in 2 years, that's all I know.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

 

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