46°F here, cloudy, no chance of rain apparently.
I was pondering how much climate would need to change in a person's lifetime that he'd notice, unaided. If you think of an average shift of say 2°F, that really isn't much to notice. A farmer might start to think about it, and a wine grape grower could notice. It would be tough to spot for most of us, who might recall that winter of '17 when it snowed this much and was below 0°F and that didn't happen any more.
And of course, we could have a severe winter that would not alter the averages much.