Yeah not sure what bwar is looking at, but the Texas hospitalization data certainly demonstrates a recent change in inflection.
Texas is doing a substantial number of tests at this point, so as we've been saying for the past 4 months now, case rates are a near-useless data point.
The hospitalization rate inflection point that indicated a trend in the wrong direction starting around 6/1, seems to have flipped the right way, around 7/5-7/8. Not anywhere close to out of the woods, but it's absolutely positive news.
Especially considering the mask orders and bar shut-downs didn't really hit until right around that second inflection point, and so I'm expecting an even more positive trend in reduction of new hospitalizations in coming weeks as that becomes factored in.