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Topic: SOC 12/1-12/2 CCG Edition

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longhorn320

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Re: SOC 12/1-12/2 CCG Edition
« Reply #588 on: December 05, 2023, 12:21:47 PM »
I'd guess they know a lot of factors that influence betting lines, and adjust accordingly.  I find it interesting how spreads can vary a point or so between houses.  They all put out nearly the same initial lines.  And the lines rarely move much from there, a couple points is an extreme case (barring injury news).

I assume they employ some algorithm or other, I don't know how that works preseason, and then a human may tickle it.
The goal of Vegas sports books is to have as many winners as losers so they make money off of the vig

if after the opening line betters start to favor a particular team the points will adjust to try to attract betters for the other team
They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

Mdot21

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Re: SOC 12/1-12/2 CCG Edition
« Reply #589 on: December 05, 2023, 12:25:22 PM »
10 most watched CFB games this season:

1. Ohio State at Michigan (19.07M)
2. Alabama vs. Georgia (17.52M)
3. Colorado at Oregon (10.03M)*
4. Michigan vs. Iowa (10.02M)
5. Ohio State at Notre Dame (9.98M)
6. Penn State at Ohio State (9.96M)
7. Colorado State at Colorado (9.30M)
8. Washington vs. Oregon (9.25M)*
9. Florida State vs. LSU (9.17M)
10. Michigan at Penn State (9.16M)


B1G with half of them. Well, 7 if you count Washington & Oregon. 

Prime Time doing work. Holy sh*t how did that many people watch crappy Colorado teams play? 

SuperMario

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Re: SOC 12/1-12/2 CCG Edition
« Reply #590 on: December 05, 2023, 12:27:57 PM »
4. Michigan vs. Iowa (10.02M)
5. Ohio State at Notre Dame (9.98M)
6. Penn State at Ohio State (9.96M)
I'm most surprised by this order. I would have thought it would be in reverse. 

medinabuckeye1

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Re: SOC 12/1-12/2 CCG Edition
« Reply #591 on: December 05, 2023, 12:33:10 PM »
I'm most surprised by this order. I would have thought it would be in reverse.
The gap between those three from top to bottom is so miniscule as to be meaningless. 

rolltidefan

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Re: SOC 12/1-12/2 CCG Edition
« Reply #592 on: December 05, 2023, 12:35:09 PM »

There's one team this year that horsewhipped our OL and blanked us for an entire half.  And it wasn't Bama, lolz.....we made their defense look average. 

hat's just cause we refuse to use a spy for some unknown, ridiculous reason. (i'm making excuses and rationalizing, leave me alone)

It is what it is.  Sucks for FSU.  Would've sucked for Bama if it had gone differently. 

wait...

I'm 100% okay with things sucking for Bama.

MrNubbz

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Re: SOC 12/1-12/2 CCG Edition
« Reply #593 on: December 05, 2023, 12:45:07 PM »
I hope you don't bet on football if you think the betting line doesn't mean anything at all.

I've explained clearly what it means.

Vegas just wants balance.

:017:

Don't go to bed with any woman crazier than you. - Frank Zappa

FearlessF

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Re: SOC 12/1-12/2 CCG Edition
« Reply #594 on: December 05, 2023, 12:51:03 PM »
Prime Time doing work. Holy sh*t how did that many people watch crappy Colorado teams play?
they won't be fooled by the hype next season
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

MrNubbz

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Re: SOC 12/1-12/2 CCG Edition
« Reply #595 on: December 05, 2023, 12:57:16 PM »
10 most watched CFB games this season:

Prime Time doing work. Holy sh*t how did that many people watch crappy Colorado teams play?
Well Prime returned Punts/Picks back for Jesus,so he's returning the favor - pays to know some one
« Last Edit: December 05, 2023, 01:19:28 PM by MrNubbz »
Don't go to bed with any woman crazier than you. - Frank Zappa

Honestbuckeye

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Re: SOC 12/1-12/2 CCG Edition
« Reply #596 on: December 05, 2023, 02:00:11 PM »

https://youtu.be/aZm3pc5HbsY?si=Sw3CvWO7-ze1Ne6z


SEC Shorts:  CFP Selection committee

Priceless 
Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please.
-Mark Twain

MikeDeTiger

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Re: SOC 12/1-12/2 CCG Edition
« Reply #597 on: December 05, 2023, 02:16:50 PM »
hat's just cause we refuse to use a spy for some unknown, ridiculous reason. (i'm making excuses and rationalizing, leave me alone)

I'm guessing because it didn't help teams who did and Bama wanted to clog the zones as much as possible.  

Didn't matter though, eventually they wised up and knocked him out of the game.  

Idiots.  They should've done that in the first quarter.  

medinabuckeye1

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Re: SOC 12/1-12/2 CCG Edition
« Reply #598 on: December 05, 2023, 02:23:47 PM »
My favorite bit was Texas not having any idea that the CFP existed and had been around for ten years.  It's funny, because it's true.
I watched the whole thing at lunch and it is hilarious. I also think you have to give the guy credit because it is very well thought out. They take shots at everybody.

The first time through it, I didn't realize who the guy in the back row was. He is "Florida" and it was well balanced because he was apparently there to watch two hated rivals (UGA and FSU) not get in to the CFP but then when the "judge" threatens to hold him in contempt he says "I don't have anywhere to go" which is a shot at UF's lack of a bowl this year.

The Texas thing was funny too. Then, at the very end the ACC guy asks "what kind of Mickey Mouse operation this is" and the camera pans to an ESPN logo, with everyone knowing that Mickey Mouse owns ESPN.

Really well done and hilarious.

MrNubbz

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Re: SOC 12/1-12/2 CCG Edition
« Reply #599 on: December 05, 2023, 02:46:42 PM »
I missed that forgot who owned them as they are now a bad investment
Don't go to bed with any woman crazier than you. - Frank Zappa

Honestbuckeye

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Re: SOC 12/1-12/2 CCG Edition
« Reply #600 on: December 05, 2023, 02:57:29 PM »
Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please.
-Mark Twain

bayareabadger

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Re: SOC 12/1-12/2 CCG Edition
« Reply #601 on: December 05, 2023, 02:57:49 PM »
I'd guess they know a lot of factors that influence betting lines, and adjust accordingly.  I find it interesting how spreads can vary a point or so between houses.  They all put out nearly the same initial lines.  And the lines rarely move much from there, a couple points is an extreme case (barring injury news).

I assume they employ some algorithm or other, I don't know how that works preseason, and then a human may tickle it.
It’s based on computer rankings that produce power ratings. That sets the initial line.

Then what matters is which side the money is coming in on. Also quarterback injuries. Those can put a pretty big dent in the line

 

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