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ACC-Atlantic:

• Clemson has clinched and will be in the ACCCG

ACC-Coastal (still the most interesting race):

• 5-2 Virginia:  The Cavaliers have an OOC game this week then VaTech next week.  If they win the VaTech game they will face Clemson in the ACCCG because they already beat Pitt.  
• 4-2 VaTech:  The Hokies are the ones to watch because they play the other two top teams the next two weeks.  If they win both, they are going to face Clemson in the ACCCG.  
• 4-2 Pitt:  The Panthers need to beat VaTech in Blacksburg this weekend then they need the Hokies to turn around and win at Virginia the next week.  It is a tall order but it could happen.  
• 4-3 Miami:  The Hurricanes could still theoretically tie for the division championship but they need to beat Dook on 11/30 and they need a lot of help elsewhere.  

The potential ties:
As many as four teams (the four listed above) could all finish 5-3.  However, if VaTech beats Pitt then all of this goes out the window because after that the UVA/VaTech winner would win the division outright at 6-2.  So all of these require, at a minimum:

• VaTech to lose to Pitt but beat UVA and finish 5-3
• Virginia to lose to VaTech (see #1) and finish 5-3
• Pitt to lose to BC to finish 5-3

In addition to those things:

• Miami would join the 5-3 party if they beat Dook.  

Potential ties:
A three-way tie between UVA, VaTech, and Pitt:

• H2H2H:  They would all be 1-1 (UVA>Pitt>VaTech>UVA)
• Divisional record:  Pitt would be 4-2, UVA would be 4-2, VaTech would be 4-2
• Record against the next best team(s) in the division.  This would be either Miami or Miami and UNC.  Either way VaTech wins because they beat both the Hurricanes and the Tar Heels while the Hurricanes beat both the Cavaliers and the Panthers.  VaTech wins.  

A four-way tie between UVA, VaTech, Pitt, and Miami, first the scenario:

• VaTech loses to Pitt but beats Virginia, and
• Pitt loses to BC, and
• Miami beats Dook

Now the tiebreakers:
The first tiebreaker is H2H2H2H:

• VaTech would be 2-1:  Beat UVA and Miami, lost to Pitt
• Miami would be 2-1:  Beat Pitt and UVA, lost to VaTech
• Virginia would be 1-2:  Beat Pitt, lost to VaTech and Miami
• Pitt would be 1-2:  Beat VaTech, lost to Miami and UVA

The ACC rules stipulate that once a multi-team tie is reduced to two teams, those two revert to the two-team tiebreaker of H2H so VaTech would go to the ACCCG due to their H2H win over Miami.  

SEC-East:

• Georgia has clinched and will play in the SECCG

SEC-West:

• 6-0 LSU: will play UGA in the SECCG if they win at least one of their two remaining games (vsArk, vsaTm)
• 6-1 Bama:  Can get to the SECCG only if they win their remaining SEC game (@Auburn) and LSU loses out.  

P12-North:

• Oregon has clinched and will play in the P12CG

P12-South:

• 6-1 Utah:  The Utes control their own destiny and will play Oregon in the P12CG if they win out.  However, they lost H2H to the 6-2 Trojans so if the Utes lose, the Trojans would control their own destiny.  
• 6-2 USC:  The Trojans need to win their last P12 game (vsUCLA) and hope for a Utah loss.  
• 4-3 UCLA:  If the Burins win out (@USC, vs Cal) and the Utes lose out (@Zona, vsColo) it would create a three-way tie at 6-3 between the Utes, Trojans, and Bruins, see tiebreaker below:

P12 Three-team tiebreaker, first the scenario:

• Utah loses out (@Zona, vsColorado), and
• UCLA wins out (@USC, vsCal

The tiebreaker:

• H2H2H:  All three would be 1-1 (USC>Utah>UCLA>USC)
• Divisional Record:  USC would be 5-1, UCLA would be 4-2, Utah would be 3-3.  Thus, USC would win the tie and play Oregon in the P12CG.  

The divisionless B12:

• 6-1 Oklahoma:  The Sooners clinch if they win either of their remaining games (vsTCU, @OkSU)
• 6-1 Baylor:  The Bears clinch if they win either of their remaining games (vsTX, @KU)
• 4-3 OkSU:  The Cowboys are theoretically in the race if they win out (@WVU, vsOU)
• 4-3 Texas:  The Longhorns are theoretically in the race if they win out (@Baylor, vsTxTech)
• 4-3 ISU:  The Cyclones are theoretically in the race if they win out (vsKU, @KSU)

The B12's two-team tiebreaker is H2H.  Their multi-team tiebreaker stipulates (like most of the other conferences) that once it gets back to two teams, those two revert to the two-team H2H tiebreaker.  

None of this can happen unless:

• Either OU (vsTCU, @OkSU) or Baylor (vsTX, @KU) loses out, and
• Either OkSU (@WVU, vsOU), Texas (@Baylor, vsTxTech), or ISU (vsKU, @KSU) wins out

In theory the whole thing could end up in a five-way tie at 6-3.  All of this is highly unlikely and the Sooners and Bears can end the suspense this weekend by beating TCU and Texas.  

In theory the whole thing could end up in a five-way tie at 6-3.  All of this is highly unlikely and the Sooners and Bears can end the suspense this weekend by beating TCU and Texas. 

Which is definitely the most likely outcome, by far.  We'll know more in 6 days I suppose.

Which two teams would play in the Big XII ccg, if it were to finish in this theoretical five way tie at 6-3?

You just love asking these questions and I find this kind of thing fascinating so I'll indulge.  

First the scenario:

• Oklahoma loses out (vsTCU, @OkSU) to finish 6-3, and 
• Baylor loses out (vsTx, @KU) to finish 6-3, and
• OkSU wins their other game (@WVU) to finish 6-3, and
• ISU wins out (vsKU, @KSU) to finish 6-3, and
• Texas win their other game (vsTxTech) to finish 6-3

Those five would all be 6-3.  The rest of the conference (because it might matter) would be:

• 5-4 or 4-5 TCU (currently 3-4, has to beat OU)
• 4-5 or 3-6 KSU (currently 3-4, has to lose to ISU)
• 3-6 or 2-7 TxTech (currently 2-5, has to lose to Texas)
• 3-6 or 2-7 WVU (currently 2-5, has to lose to OkSU)
• 2-7 Kansas (currently 1-6, has to lose to ISU and beat Baylor)

Per the B12 website, the first tiebreaker is the multi-team H2H or in this case H2H2H2H2H:

• 3-1 Oklahoma:  Wins over Baylor, ISU, and TX, loss to OkSU
• 2-2 Baylor:  Wins over OkSU and ISU, losses to OU and Texas
• 2-2 Texas:  Wins over Baylor and OkSU, losses to OU and ISU
• 2-2 OkSU:  Wins over OU and ISU, losses to TX and Baylor
• 1-3 ISU:  Win over Texas, losses to OU, OkSU, and Baylor

As I read the B12 tiebreaker this means that Oklahoma would be in and ISU would be out.  

That still leaves Baylor, Texas, and OkSU for one spot.  I'm not certain what happens next.  If we start over with just those three, the H2H2H among them is:

• 2-0 Texas:  Wins over Baylor and OkSU
• 1-1 Baylor:  Win over OkSU, loss to TX
• 0-2 OkSU:  Losses to TX and Baylor

In that case Texas would get the other spot.  

If not that, then we would proceed to the next tiebreaker but with (I think) only those three teams.  The next tiebreaker is record against the best team(s) in the conference.  The next best team would be either 5-4 TCU or 4-5 TCU or 4-5 TCU AND KSU.  
Against TCU:

• Texas lost
• Baylor won
• OkSU won

Against KSU:

• Texas won
• Baylor won
• OkSU won

In either case, Texas is out.  At that point Baylor and OkSU would revert to the two-team tiebreaker of H2H which Baylor won so Baylor would go.  

Bottom line, Oklahoma would be in and the other team would either be Texas or Baylor depending on how you read the B12's tiebreaking rules.  

All of this is moot, of course.

OU will win out, Baylor will go 1-1 at worst, and the two of them will have their rematch in the Big 12's totally-unnecessary-and-done-only-for-the-money CCG.

All of this is moot, of course.

OU will win out, Baylor will go 1-1 at worst, and the two of them will have their rematch in the Big 12's totally-unnecessary-and-done-only-for-the-money CCG.

Well, not JUST for the money.  How could you forget that it's also a result of the selection committee infamously commenting they wanted to see a "13th data point" for the B12 when Baylor and TCU were tied at the top of the league a few years back?

Nevermind that the "13th data point" wasn't required for OU a year later, or Notre Dame who never plays 13, or Alabama and Ohio State teams that didn't play in their CCG...

Variations from year-to-year are inherent in the system.  They are looking for the best four teams in the current year. 

Look at the BCS era for a comparison.  The BCS era lasted 16 years from 1998-2013.  Of those 16 years LSU's 2007 team could only have made the CG in one, 2007.  Of those 16 years, Auburn's 2004 team could only have missed in one, 2004.  LSU was just lucky to have that 2-loss year in 2007 when 2-losses wasn't a disqualifier and Auburn was just unlucky to have that undefeated year in 2004 when that wasn't enough. 

The CG is a double-edged sword for every league.  In 2014 it got Ohio State in but in 2017 it kept Wisconsin out.  That is just the way the ball bounces.

I'll echo NorthernOhioBuckeye (I think).  I'd just like them to shut up about their reasoning and their critera, since the reasoning and the criteria vary from week to week and from year to year.  One time it's best losses, another time it's best wins, another time it's body of work, another time the 13 data point is all-important, another time it's offense-defense balance, another time it's taking injuries into account.  I wish they'd just pick the four teams and not tell us a bunch of lies about all the chicken entrails they inspected.

I don't see it that way.