I don't generally do mid-week updates to the projections but I am making an exception here for two reasons:
- It is close to the end of the season so it matters more, and
- All three of last night's results were "upsets" so there have been a lot of changes.
The new projected final standings/BTT seeds are:
- 14-6/22-9 Michigan State
- 14-6/24-7 Maryland
- 13-7/21-10 Illinois
- 13-7/20-11 Wisconsin
- 12-8/22-9 Penn State
- 11-9/20-11 Iowa
- 11-9/21-10 Ohio State
- 10-10/19-12 Michigan
- 10-10/17-14 Purdue
- 10-10/19-12 Rutgers
- 10-10/20-11 Indiana
- 8-12/14-16 Minnesota
- 2-18/7-23 Northwestern
- 2-18/7-24 Nebraska
The tiebreakers:
For the two-way tie for 1st/2nd at 14-6 the first tiebreaker is H2H but they split the series with each team winning on the other team's court. Thus, we move to the second tiebreaker, record against the two 13-7 teams:
- 3-1 Michigan State (played both twice, won both home games and won at IL)
- 2-1 Maryland (did not host Wisconsin, lost at Wisconsin and beat Illinois twice)
For the two-way tie for 3rd/4th at 13-7 the first tiebreaker is H2H. They only played once, in Madison, and the Illini won.
For the two-way tie for 6th/7th at 11-9 the first tiebreaker is H2H. They only played once, in Iowa City, and the Hawkeyes won.
For the four-way tie for 8th/9th/10th/11th the first tiebreaker is H2H2H2H:
- 5-0 Michigan: Did not play in Bloomington, won in West Lafayette and Picastaway
- 3-3 Purdue: Won in Bloomington, lost at home to Michigan
- 2-3 Rutgers: Did not play in Bloomington, lost at home to Michigan
- 0-4 Indiana: Did not host Michigan or Rutgers, lost at home to Purdue
For the two-way tie for 13th/14th at 2-18 the first tiebreaker is H2H. They played twice and Northwestern won both games.
Thus, the updated projected BTT match-ups would be:
Wednesday, March 11:
- #11 Indiana vs #14 Nebraska, 930 on BTN
- #12 Minnesota vs #13 Northwestern, 6 on BTN
Thursday, March 12:
- #5 Penn State vs MN/NU, 230 on BTN
- #6 Iowa vs IU/UNL, 9 on BTN
- #7 Ohio State vs #10 Rutgers, 630 on BTN
- #8 Michigan vs #9 Purdue, noon on BTN
Friday, March 13:
- #1 Michigan State vs M/PU, noon on BTN
- #2 Maryland vs tOSU/RU, 630 on BTN
- #3 Illinois vs IA/IU/UNL, 9 on BTN
- #4 Wisconsin vs PSU/MN/NU, 230 on BTN
Saturday, March 14:
- MSU/M/PU vs UW/PSU/MN/NU, 1 on CBS
- UMD/tOSU/RU vs IL/IA/IU/UNL, 330 on CBS
Sunday, March 15:
- MSU/M/PU/UW/PSU/MN/NU vs UMD/tOSU/RU/IL/IA/IU/UNL, 330 on CBS