Wisconsin made a nice jump in Kenpom yesterday. But still only predicted to win 16 games.
Right now, assuming they beat Rider, they have a two-game gap in the uncanny valley of .500 or better in conference but also chasing win volume. So UW needs to go 10-8 in the real Big Ten stretch to get to 18-13, probably need a BTT win there, and 11-7 almost assuredly has them in.
If they don’t make it, they have those two bad losses in the holiday tournament to blame. Just win 1, you’re in much better shape (couldn’t win both obviously).