2018-2019 B1G Basketball Thread

[847badgerfan]

Not seeing it tonight. I think this one is over. IU plays the roach again.

[ELA]

Indiana has the most dangerous ceiling of any 4-12 Big Ten team ever

And yet, this is why they are 4-12

[medinabuckeye1]

OT in Bloomington. 

[bayareabadger]

Man, all IU’s bad luck got barfed back up in good luck. 


UW blew that. Weird flagrant, off calls, FTS, utter insanity down the stretch. I got nothing. 

[medinabuckeye1]

More OT

[grillrat]

Wisconsin has nobody to blame but themselves and their horrid free throw shooting.

[847badgerfan]

Wisconsin has nobody to blame but themselves and their horrid free throw shooting.

Correct. IU had the officials too though. That was a bad game for the zebras.

[medinabuckeye1]

Indiana's upset win over Wisconsin changes the projections in that the Badgers are now projected as the #5 seed in the BTT:

• We project PU and MSU to both win out and finish tied for #1/#2 at 17-3.  MSU wins that tie.  
• We project UMD to finish alone in the #3 slot at 15-5.  
• We project M and UW to finish 14-6 and tied for #4/#5.  M wins that tie (record against MSU and PU).  
• We project Iowa to finish alone in the #6 slot (two games behind #5 and three games ahead of #7).  
• We project IL to finish alone in the #7 slot at 9-11.  
• We project tOSU to finish alone in the #8 slot at 8-12.  
• We project MN and RU to finish tied for #8/#10 at 7-13.  MN wins that tie.  
• We project IU to finish alone in the #11 slot at 6-14.  
• We project UNL and NU to finish tied for #12/#13 at 5-15.  UNL wins that tie but it only determines jersey color in the #12/#13 game.  
• We project PSU to finish alone in last place at 4-16.  

FWIW:
I think Indiana is still technically on the bubble.  Their best-case-scenario (short of winning the BTT) would be to win their last three scheduled games then go 3-1 in the BTT with a loss in the CG.  That would put them at 11-13/20-15 and with their quality wins (Marquette, Louisville, MSU, UW, MSU again, BTT) that would get them in.  As a practical matter I don't think they can pull all of that off but as a mathematical issue, I think they are still in the race.  

[ELA]

Wisconsin has nobody to blame but themselves and their horrid free throw shooting.

Same problem that hit MSU when Indiana beat us.  Hoosiers certainly appear to have the best clutch FT defense in the conference.

[ELA]

Mock NCAA and NIT bracket, based on the data through Sunday, using the Massey Composite for seeding (with moves for conference rematches and geography), but KenPom for conference tourney upsets

EAST

#1 Duke vs. #16 Texas Southern/Fairleigh Dickinson

#8 Oklahoma vs. #9 VCU

#5 WISCONSIN vs. #12 Lipscomb

#4 Nevada vs. #13 Yale

#3 Texas Tech vs. #14 Old Dominion

#6 Auburn vs. #11 Clemson

#7 Cincinnati vs. #10 Baylor

#2 MICHIGAN vs. #15 Radford

.

MIDWEST

#1 North Carolina vs. #16 Colgate

#8 Washington vs. #9 TCU

#5 Buffalo vs. #12 Saint Mary's/NEBRASKA

#4 Marquette vs. #13 Murray State

#3 Kansas vs. #14 South Dakota State

#6 Louisville vs. #11 St. John's

#7 IOWA vs. #10 NC State

#2 Kentucky vs. #15 Loyola(Ill)

.

SOUTH

#1 Virginia vs. #16 Rider/Norfolk State

#8 Wofford vs. #9 Texas

#5 Florida State vs. #12 MINNESOTA/Arizona State

#4 LSU vs. #13 Vermont

#3 PURDUE vs. #14 Georgia Southern

#6 Kansas State vs. #11 Ole Miss

#7 Villanova vs. #10 OHIO STATE

#2 Tennessee vs. #15 Northern Kentucky

.

WEST

#1 Gonzaga vs. #16 Abilene Christian

#8 Syracuse vs. #9 Florida

#5 MARYLAND vs. #12 New Mexico State

#4 Virginia Tech vs. #13 Hofstra

#3 Houston vs. #14 UC Irvine

#6 Iowa State vs. #11 Utah State

#7 Mississippi State vs. #10 Central Florida

#2 MICHIGAN STATE vs. #15 Montana

*=current standings leader, projected by KenPom to lose in their conference tourney, and thus get an NIT auto-bid.  Teams must be at least .500

#1 Belmont* vs. #8 Prairie View A&M

#4 Oregon State vs. #5 Arkansas

#3 Furman vs. #6 BYU

#2 Seton Hall vs. #7 Texas State*

.

#1 Temple vs. #8 Missouri State

#4 East Tennessee State vs. #5 Xavier

#3 Davidson vs. #6 Oregon

#2 Creighton vs. #7 Sam Houston State*

.

#1 Butler vs. #8 St. Francis(PA)

#4 Fresno State vs. #5 UNC Greensboro

#3 Dayton vs. #6 South Carolina

#2 Toledo vs. #7 Wright State*

.

#1 Alabama vs. #8 Iona

#4 Georgetown vs. #5 Arizona

#3 Memphis vs. #6 Providence

#2 San Francisco vs. #7 Bucknell*

That is not an NIT that ESPN is hoping for, would get even more dismal numbers than normal.  What, 6 Power 5 teams?  A bunch of Big East teams I guess.

[GopherRock]

https://twitter.com/KyleRowland/status/1100575690548830208?s=19

One of these times, we're going to watch him stroke out on the sideline. He needs to disappear for a while and deal with his anger problems. 

[ELA]

That's defining the early going as much as anything.

Listened to a breakdown that this was very intentional, and the failure to switch back wasn't a failure.  In the whole punch-counterpunch, as MSU's offense became "outdated," Izzo countered against an offense that doesn't teach post ups, doesn't run post ups, and said, "here is your mismatch, all you have to do is post up and have solid entry passes.  Basketball 101 from a decade or two decades ago.  And Michigan couldn't do it, because it's something they never do.  MSU's defense looked so good, because what they gave Michigan, was something Michigan's offense wasn't capable of doing.  Now it's Beilein's turn to counterpunch, and he's too good an offensive coach not to figure something out.

[fezzador]

Correct. IU had the officials too though. That was a bad game for the zebras.

The quality of the refs in the B1G is embarrassing.  I can't remember a time when the whole league has been plagued by such crappy officiating.

[ELA]

Same problem that hit MSU when Indiana beat us.  Hoosiers certainly appear to have the best clutch FT defense in the conference.

That was a joke, but apparently Indiana does have the "best" FT defense in the nation, at 62.4%

Wisconsin and Michigan are tied for 2nd in the Big Ten, #16 nationally, at 66.0%.  So yesterday was ripe for some poor FT shooting.
Out of curiosity, North Dakota is worst at 78.5%.  How is that even possible?  Only three teams shoot better than that, but at least there, it's the same guys, so maybe you just have a good collection of FT shooters.  How do you wind up having your opponents, across a 30 game (maybe 15ish team) sample size, shoot that well against you.