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Topic: Florida @ LSU

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OrangeAfroMan

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Florida @ LSU
« on: October 07, 2019, 01:38:43 AM »
Interested to see how ole Joe Burrow fares against a big-boy defense.  
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

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Re: Florida @ LSU
« Reply #1 on: October 07, 2019, 08:10:34 AM »
Interesting to what the LSU defense throws at a freshman QB with a porous OL.

This might get ugly.

MikeDeTiger

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Re: Florida @ LSU
« Reply #2 on: October 07, 2019, 10:55:15 AM »
Interested to see how long it will take LSU fans to get Trask's phone number.  

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Florida @ LSU
« Reply #3 on: October 07, 2019, 06:52:34 PM »
Interesting to what the LSU defense throws at a freshman QB with a porous OL.

This might get ugly.
Mullen did a masterful job against a great DL with an OL that can't run block.  He didn't shy away from running the ball - getting 2 yards at a time or no gain, etc. - just sort of keeping the defense honest.  The OL is decent at pass pro, and he can work with that.  Florida is a different offense without the running of Franks.
Perine busting a long TD run was sort of a bonus, but it goes to show why you keep running the ball "enough" while it's ineffective.  I don't know why LSU's defense would be any bigger a task than Auburn's was. 

“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Florida @ LSU
« Reply #4 on: October 08, 2019, 02:58:34 AM »
LSU is a 13.5 point favorite.  Wow...why did we bother beating Auburn?  


I'm not going to sit here and say Florida will win or that LSU won't score plenty, but I'm amazed that the pedestrian, defensive team is once again being looked down upon vs the high-scoring machine that hasn't played anyone lately.  LSU has a sound offensive plan, I'm sure...but how will they fare when they get punched in the mouth and the Plan A doesn't work with ease?  




I don't doubt Burrow's ability and the home crowd will help if the offense faces a valid resistance...but LSU's Plan B is an unknown.  They haven't had to go to it yet this year.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

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Re: Florida @ LSU
« Reply #5 on: October 08, 2019, 08:51:41 AM »
I'd probably take Florida and the points, but I'd take LSU to win, something like 28-20 or so.

And I think LSU will be creative on blitzing and perhaps confuse the Gator QB.  That's what I'd do anyway.  UGA did it in the second half against the Vols, I don't know why they waited exactly.  Maybe they figured Mauer would not be that accurate passing.

The Gator QB of course has more experience now, so he's not exactly raw.

MikeDeTiger

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Re: Florida @ LSU
« Reply #6 on: October 08, 2019, 09:24:48 AM »
Odd rash of injuries and defections has left LSU pretty thin in the defensive backfield.  Safety Todd Harris lost for the year against NW St.  CB Flott injured last week against Utah St. and won't be available.  CBs Kelvin Joseph and Kenan Jones entered the transfer portal, both would have played this year. 

Kary Vincent struggled so far this year after playing very well last year, so last week they moved him to more of a safety role which looked to suit him better.  The shuffle allowed Fulton to move to a slot corner position where teams have been lining up their best WR on us.  The result was nice, but can they do it now with all the injuries? 

With Flott out and assuming Jones is red-shirted, LSU is down to Stingley, Fulton and Ward for scholarship CBs.  Hope nobody gets hurt.  

That includes the UF QB.  I really hope they're not rolling the dice with that kid's knee.  If he gets hit and hurts it, that's not gonna be a good look.  

Good news is we may be getting some defensive starters back who have been out since the Texas game.  They're not 100% and may not even play, but the staff says a couple of them are "available" this week.  

Cincydawg

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Re: Florida @ LSU
« Reply #7 on: October 08, 2019, 09:44:16 AM »
Everybody is dinged up of course.  Florida lost their starting QB, a situation which would flush the season for many teams.

UGA without Fromm would be in trouble.

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Florida @ LSU
« Reply #8 on: October 08, 2019, 12:08:26 PM »
Florida wouldn't have put Trask back in the Auburn game if he was hurt-hurt.  And the guy behind him will play vs LSU as well - as planned.  He's not a run-first guy with a limited playbook, either.  He'd be fine if pressed into full-time duty.  We have actual QB depth!


Trask is decent at knowing to get the ball out quickly on a blitz, but his biggest weakness is feeling pressure around him.  He holds the ball when there isn't a blitz and hasn't been scooting up when there's a big open area in the front of the pocket.  The DL gets behind him and causes fumbles because he doesn't feel it yet.


But he's a new starter and if that's his biggest problem, he's doing something right.  IF - big if - LSU is one-dimensional, and either can't run or abandons the run, that will play into Florida's hands.  We're among the national leaders in both sacks and picks.  
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Cincydawg

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Re: Florida @ LSU
« Reply #9 on: October 08, 2019, 01:14:21 PM »
There is I guy I see on the running track who has an LSU hat on, sometimes I walk with him a bit, he knows his football.  He's pretty confident while saying it's obviously not a sure thing, and he was also surprised at the size of the spread.  We both figured maybe 31-21.  He said he was not sold on Auburn this season and wasn't surprised they struggled on offense and had TOs.

I usually run/walk/jog, I've been out of it traveling and it's tough getting back.  Nice day today at least.

MikeDeTiger

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Re: Florida @ LSU
« Reply #10 on: October 08, 2019, 03:25:05 PM »
Well I just wrote a bunch of stuff on my phone and then it got magically deleted.  There's 15 minutes I'm never getting back. 

Basically the key matchup for me is LSU OL vs. Florida DL.  That will determine the pace of the game and maybe the winner.  

Gators wear jorts. 

Cincydawg

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Re: Florida @ LSU
« Reply #11 on: October 08, 2019, 03:27:51 PM »
Turnovers might determine the outcome (duh).  The guy with the LSU cap on says their defense is getting healthy now for the first time.


MikeDeTiger

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Re: Florida @ LSU
« Reply #12 on: October 08, 2019, 04:52:08 PM »
They were healthy for Georgia State and they started healthy for Texas.  So this wouldn't technically be healthy for the first time, although I think he's overstating it a bit. 

One of the guys hurt in the UT game is back for sure and looks fine.  Two others "may play" according to the coach, but all indications say they're not 100% if they do play.  A fourth guy is still definitely out.  

We also lost a CB for this week, tho he wasn't hurt in the Texas game.  It's going to be a bit before I'd term the defense "healthy," or, back to its original lineup.

We can go with the guys we have.  They just need to tackle and not do stupid stuff. 

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Florida @ LSU
« Reply #13 on: October 08, 2019, 07:52:10 PM »
We get DE Zungia back.  He was dressed vs Auburn, but never actually went in.


If I was LSU, I'd strickly run between the tackles, because our edge guys are stupid-good.  I'd shy away from throwing Henderson's way and focus on throwing on Marco Wilson.  He hasn't been as good since he's been back as he was before.  And if #29 Jaewan Taylor is on the field, throw his way every time - he couldn't cover a sneeze.



“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

 

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