I waited until Wednesday so that I could use the CFP rankings:
- 9-0 Ohio State -32.5 vs UCLA, Sat at 730 on NBC
- 10-0 Indiana -29.5 vs UW Sat at noon on BTN
- 9-0 Texas A&M -19.5 vs USCe Sat at noon on ESPN
- 8-1 Alabama -5.5 vs #11 OU Sat at 330 on ABC
- 8-1 Georgia -5.5 vs #10 Texas, Sat at 730 on ABC
- 9-1 Texas Tech -23.5 vs UCF, Sat at 330 on FOX
- 9-1 Ole Miss -15.5 vs UF, Sat at 7 on ESPN
- 8-1 Oregon -25.5 vs Minnesota Friday at 9 on FOX
- 7-2 Notre Dame -12.5 at #22 Pitt Sat at noon on ABC
- 7-2 Texas +5.5 at #5 UGA, Sat at 730 on ABC
- 7-2 Oklahoma +5.5 at #4 Bama Sat at 330 on ABC
- 8-1 BYU -4.5 vs TCU, Sat at 10:15 on ESPN
- 7-2 Utah -8.5 at Baylor, Sat at 7 on ESPN2
- 8-2 Vanderbilt is off
- 7-2 Miami -14.5 vs NCST, Sat at 330 on ESPN
- 8-1 Georgia Tech -16.5 at BC, Sat at 330 on ACCN
- 7-2 USC -6.5 vs #21 Iowa, Sat at 330 on BTN
- 7-2 Michigan -12.5 at NU Sat at noon on FOX
- 8-2 Virginia +5.5 at Duke, Sat at 330 on ESPN2
- 7-2 Louisville -2.5 vs Clemson, Friday at 730 on ESPN
- 6-3 Iowa +6.5 at #17 USC, Sat at 330 on BTN
- 7-2 Pittsburgh +12.5 vs #9 ND Sat at noon on ABC
- 6-3 Tennessee -41.5 vs NMST, Sat at 4:15 on SECN
- 7-2 South Florida -9.5 at Navy, Sat at noon on ESPN2
- 7-2 Cincinnati -6.5 vs Arizona Sat at noon on FS1
#14 Vanderbilt is off, the other 24 teams are in action this weekend. The ranked vs ranked games are:
- #4 Bama -5.5 vs #11 OU, Sat at 330 on ABC
- #5 UGA -5.5 vs #10 TX, Sat at 730 on ABC
- #9 ND -12.5 at #22 Pitt, Sat at noon on ABC <-College GameDay
- #17 USC -6.5 vs #21 Iowa, Sat at 330 on BTN
In addition to those eight ranked teams with challenging games, the following are underdogs or favored by single digits:
- #12 BYU is just a 4.5 point favorite vs TCU
- #13 Utah is just a 8.5 point favorite at Baylor
- #19 Virginia is a 5.5 point UNDERDOG at Dook
- #20 Louisville is just a 2.5 point favorite at Clemson
- #24 USF is just a 9.5 point favorite at Navy
- #25 Cincy is just at 6.5 point favorite vs Zona
It may seem odd that GameDay is going to Pitt for the Notre Dame/Pitt game when they have higher-ranked matchups in Tuscaloosa and Athens but the Pitt/ND game is more important than you may realize. Realistically, this is Notre Dame's last challenging game. After Pitt they host the Orange and visit the Tree. Syracuse and Stanford are two of the worst teams in the ACC so Notre Dame should cruise in those games. That means that if they beat Pitt they will almost certainly end up 10-2 and on a 10-game winning streak. Given that they are currently ranked #9, that their losses were both close, that their losses were to teams ranked #3 and #15, and that some other teams will necessarily lose, Notre Dame is a near-lock for the playoff at 10-2 and has basically no chance at 9-3 so this game is important to all those teams on or near the bubble.
Finally, I'll point out that I think some teams are effectively playing to clinch CFP bids. Ohio State and aTm are both 9-0 and I am fairly certain that either would make the field at 10-2 so a win this weekend locks up a bid. Indiana at 10-0 may have already locked up a bid but a win this weekend would eliminate any lingering doubt.
Now the B1G:
- 7-0/10-0 Indiana -29.5 vs UW, Sat at noon on BTN
- 6-0/9-0 Ohio State -32.5 vs UCLA, Sat at 730 on NBC
- 5-1/8-1 Oregon -25.5 vs MN, Fri at 9 on FOX
- 5-1/7-2 USC -6.5 vs Iowa, Sat at 330 on BTN
- 5-1/7-2 Michigan -11.5 at NU, Sat at noon on FOX
- 4-2/6-3 Iowa +6.5 at USC, Sat at 330 on BTN
- 4-2/6-3 Minnesota +25.5 at ORE, Fri at 9 on FOX
- 4-3/7-3 Nebraska
- 3-3/6-3 Illinois -14.5 vs UMD, Sat at 330 on FS1
- 3-3/6-3 Washington -16.5 vs PU, Sat at 7 on FS1
- 3-3/5-4 Northwestern +11.5 vs M, Sat at noon on FOX
- 3-3/3-6 UCLA +32.5 at tOSU, Sat at 730 on NBC
- 2-5/5-5 Rutgers
- 1-5/4-5 Maryland +14.5 at IL, Sat at 330 on FS1
- 1-5/3-6 Wisconsin +29.5 at IU, Sat at noon on BTN
- 0-6/3-6 Michigan State +7.5 vs PSU, Sat at 330 on CBS
- 0-6/3-6 Penn State -7.5 at MSU, Sat at 330 on CBS
- 0-7/2-8 Purdue +16.5 at UDub, Sat at 7 on FS1
Nebraska and Rutgers are off this week.
A lot of teams are sitting at six losses and will be eliminated from bowl consideration with one more loss. The MSU/PSU loser is out as are UW and UCLA if they lose to IU and tOSU respectively.