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Topic: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy

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Cincydawg

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Cincydawg

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #11341 on: December 08, 2024, 03:44:13 PM »
Wind and Solar Can't Support the Grid - Climate Etc.
Wind and Solar Can't Support the Grid - Climate Etc.

In October of 2024, the isolated small city of  Broken Hill in New South Wales, Australia with a 36 MW load (including the large nearby mines) could not be reliably served by 200 MW of wind, a 53 MW solar array, significant residential solar, and a large 50 MW battery all supplemented by diesel generators.

Many people falsely believe that wind, solar and batteries have been demonstrated to provide grid support and deliver energy independently in large real word applications. Few people realize that we are a long way away from having wind, solar and batteries support a large power system without significant amounts of conventional spinning generation (nuclear, gas, coal, hydro, geothermal) on-line to support the grid.
Broken Hill Outage – Wind, Solar and Battery Can Not Support the Grid
The recent outages occurring in Broken Hill help illustrate the inability of wind, solar and batteries to support electric grids without significant help from machines rotating in synchronism with the grid. (Note – wind power is produced by rotation but not in synchronism with the grid).
Around 20,000 people live in the Broken Hill area. Over $650 million in investment made Broken Hill home to a 200 MW wind plant, a 53 MW solar array, and a large battery that could provide 50 MW of power for 100 MWh through advanced grid forming inverters. Broken Hill is home to over 6,000 small-scale solar systems providing a per capita energy small solar production level almost twice the Australian average.  The area also contains two poorly maintained diesel-powered gas turbine generators in the area, one which was off-line for maintenance.
Broken Hill became renewable energy industry’s Potemkin Village:



FearlessF

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #11342 on: December 11, 2024, 11:52:19 AM »
Texas leaders are reviving uranium mining to fuel nuclear reactors aimed at meeting growing energy needs, but locals fear groundwater contamination from mining and waste disposal.

In short:

Texas is promoting nuclear power as a zero-carbon energy source to support high-demand industries like tech and hydrogen production.
Uranium mining sites in South Texas, dormant for decades, are being reactivated, raising concerns about groundwater contamination.
Administrative rulings favoring environmental safety have been repeatedly overturned by state regulators, enabling mining projects to advance.
Key quote:

“We’re talking about mining at the same elevation as people get their groundwater. There isn’t another source of water for these residents.”

— Terrell Graham, board member of the Goliad County Groundwater Conservation District

Why this matters:

Nuclear power is gaining momentum as a reliable, low-carbon energy solution, but its risks include water contamination from uranium mining and radioactive waste. The expansion in Texas highlights tensions between industrial growth and environmental protection, with potential long-term impacts on drinking water supplies.
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

FearlessF

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #11343 on: December 13, 2024, 07:55:27 AM »
MATSUE, Japan (Kyodo) -- The only nuclear plant located in a Japanese prefectural capital was restarted Saturday in the city of Matsue after meeting stricter safety requirements introduced following the 2011 Fukushima disaster
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

Cincydawg

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #11344 on: December 13, 2024, 08:09:09 AM »
The updated NOAA outlook shows a 90% chance of an above-normal hurricane season, with 17 to 24 named storms, 8 to 13 hurricanes, and 4 to 7 major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher). Similarly, CSU forecasts a very active season, with 23 named storms, 12 hurricanes, and 6 major hurricanes.Aug 18, 2024

Hurricane Season 2024 Retrospective: How the reality compared to the forecast - AS USA
Throughout the 2024 season, there were eighteen named storms, eleven of which developed into hurricanes, exceeding NOAA’s forecast.
Five were “major storms,” which fall within the range projected by the public agency. The season got off to a strong start with Hurricane Beryl, which broke records as the earliest category 5 storm to develop in the Atlantic. Hurricane Beryl battered the Lesser Antilles and Windward Islands, which are not often the targets of hurricanes, particularly too early in the season.

An average season produces 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes. The Atlantic hurricane season lasts from 1 June to 30 November and is carefully monitored by the World Meteorological Organization Tropical Cyclone Programme.

Cincydawg

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #11345 on: December 13, 2024, 08:10:16 AM »
So, average is 14/7/3 and we experienced 18/11/5.


Cincydawg

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #11346 on: December 13, 2024, 09:16:42 AM »

Cincydawg

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #11347 on: December 13, 2024, 10:27:58 AM »
So, average is 14/7/3 and we experienced 18/11/5.
If I just predicted "average" year after year, I wouldn't be that far off.  I don't know that these long range forecasts are much better than just random wobble.  But they said the season would be up, and it was a bit, which is better than they have done in some past years.

FearlessF

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #11348 on: December 13, 2024, 10:50:25 AM »
I suggest a performance based raise for at least 10%
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Cincydawg

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #11349 on: December 15, 2024, 04:09:49 PM »
The US should help the world get the plastics treaty it deserves

I don't really understand what such a treaty can do practicably.  OK, maybe it would mean countries use somewhat less plastic.  That won't begin to solve the problem.  And some countries will ignore it of course.  Doing something about disposal would help, a lot of countries dump stuff into rivers.

I'd like to read more about what is being proposed.

Cincydawg

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #11350 on: December 15, 2024, 04:13:26 PM »
Back in the day, I got sucked in big time to making "biodegradable" polymers, and then "compostable polymers".  There was a TON of excitement and work and money being spent on it all, and then .... it quietly went away.  Part of the story was landfills were getting full, which was a complete lie.  Another part was we needed to make plastics from something other than petroleum for some reason, OK.  Plants were built to make stuff, and very very little really ever hit the market.

I went to work one day and it all was shut down at our company, no explanation, no anything, just stop working on it.  I was spending money by the gobs, my director said don't worry about it, go as fast as you can.

I may have been partly responsible for shutting it down, I wrote some rather scathing memos that got into the wrong hands a time or three.

Cincydawg

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #11351 on: December 16, 2024, 06:24:32 AM »
Consequences and Effects of Global Warming -- What is the Impact?

But there's also good news. By aggressively reducing our global emissions now, “we can avoid a lot of the severe consequences that climate change would otherwise bring,” says Limaye. While change must happen at the highest levels of government and business, your voice matters too: to your friends, to your families, and to your community leaders. Together, we can envision a safer, healthier, more equitable future—and build toward it. You can join with millions of people around the world fighting climate change and even work to reduce fossil fuels in your own life.


We can envision .... have at it, envision all you want, none of this is "good news" and cannot be in the future.

FearlessF

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #11352 on: December 16, 2024, 07:49:56 AM »
When you hear the name Amazon.com, a couple of things probably pop to mind. E-commerce, first and most obviously -- after all, Amazon is the world's biggest e-commerce company -- and then cloud computing. At $90 billion in annual revenue, Amazon Web Services (AWS) is bigger than Microsoft's Azure, and far larger than Google Cloud.

One thing you almost certainly do not associate with Amazon.com, though, is nuclear power production. But maybe you should.

Amazon goes nuclear
Cloud computing and nuclear power, after all, seem destined to go hand in hand. Newspaper headlines these past few months have announced news of Microsoft's tie-up with Constellation Energy, for example, to restart Three Mile Island and provide nuclear power to Microsoft's server farms. Alphabet has similarly teamed up with privately held Kairos Power to build nuclear power plants for its data centers.

This trend didn't go unnoticed at Amazon.

In November, PBS News reported that Amazon has become the "biggest investor" in an Energy Northwest project to build four small modular nuclear reactors (SMRs) in Hanford, Wash., outputting 320 megawatts of power (so 80 MW each) for local use. Over time, the project could grow to 12 SMRs putting out nearly as much as one full-scale, traditional-size nuclear reactor -- 960 MW.


To help get the ball rolling, Amazon will ante up $334 million to fund a "multiyear feasibility study" before work begins.

Why Amazon is interested in nuclear power
Amazon's investment will give it "first access" to any power produced at the site, which it can use to run its Pacific Northwest data centers. Assured access to all this power is therefore one reason Amazon is interested in nuclear power. In theory, Amazon could even use all the power produced at the site. One large AWS data center located in Pennsylvania, for example, has been reliably estimated to consume 960 MW per year -- coincidentally the same estimated maximum output of the Washington site.

A second, long-term reason is that a successful SMR project in Washington State could turn Amazon into a major player in nuclear power generation nationally.

How? Well, it turns out that the Washington project, although owned and operated by Energy Northwest, would use SMRs manufactured by a private company called X-energy. In October, Amazon (alongside four other investors) invested $500 million in X-energy, aiming to eventually develop five gigawatts of SMRs across the U.S. by 2039.

Amazon's pet nuclear company
It's not 100% clear how much of the $500 million consortium-investment in X-energy comes from Amazon itself. However, in a press release, X-energy did call Amazon its "anchor" investor, suggesting that its share is the biggest in the funding round.

Depending on precisely how much cash Amazon anted up, its total investment in Energy Northwest and X-energy combined could approach $1 billion. Amazon's ownership stake in X-energy in particular might be 50% or more. We know this because, prior to the October investment, in 2023, X-energy's private market value was estimated at $1.05 billion. We also know that this market value had been falling, because in late 2022, the company had been valued at $2 billion.

While it's often hard to get a firm handle on valuations of privately owned companies, the downward trajectory in X-energy's value does suggest that Amazon's $500 million investment could make it majority owner of an up-and-coming nuclear stock. At the very least, Amazon is now almost certainly one of X-energy's largest shareholders.
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

utee94

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Re: Weather, Climate, Environment, and Energy
« Reply #11353 on: December 16, 2024, 03:34:52 PM »


 

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