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Took our boat out this AM for a little fishing. Called it off about 9 am, too windy and rainy and the fishing wasn’t good.

what kind of sled do you run these days Marcus ? 

Sorry just saw this.  We're now the proud part-owners of a Mastercraft X45 wakeboarding/wakesurfing boat.  It's huge, plenty big enough for the kids and lots of friends.  And it throws a really great wake for wakeboarding and surfing.

Terrible wake for actual skiing though.  I need to find a friend with an 80s Correctcraft or something.

Luckily the rain held off and we got about 5 great hours on the water, before coming back in town for my folks' annual Hatch green chile rellenos.  Man those were tasty!

The one in orange has an 80% chance of forming into the next storm over the next 5 days, which would be Danielle.

New climate law has bipartisan roots — we need leadership from both parties to realize its potential | The Hill


I have looked for how many degrees C this new climate (etc.) bill will reduce warming long term.  I can't find an estimate.  It should be pretty easy to contrive.  I asked the MIT Climate Group to produce one, but they never responded.

I suspect I know why.

Is it because the answer is none?  Because until the rest of the world (China) gets serious about it we're only spinning our wheels.  

The IRA is predicted to reduce emissions by 40%. It’s not that simple. - The Washington Post

Depending on how you read that 40 percent estimate, it could be a bit misleading. This is a case of where the models may be correct, but not widely appreciated. The bill is expected to cut emissions by 40 percent compared with 2005 levels — not compared to current U.S. emissions. That’s because emissions have already decreased substantially since 2005. Between 2005 and 2020, CO2 emissions dropped by about 21 percent, thanks largely to a shift from heavily polluting coal to less-polluting natural gas. (The COVID-19 pandemic also caused a dramatic decline in emissions, as millions of cars and planes ground to a halt virtually overnight.)

Over the next eight years, emissions are expected to continue to trend slowly downward, thanks to cheap solar and wind power and a gradual shift to electric vehicles.
Indeed, according to the same three modeling groups, by 2030, emissions are expected to decline by 24 to 32 percent — even without the Inflation Reduction Act.
That doesn’t mean that the bill is without impact, of course. While it might not be as dramatic a shift as it seems initially, in a world in which every extra ton of CO2 not emitted into the atmosphere can help can help curb global warming, an additional 10 to 15 percent reduction in emissions will help to avert serious environmental damage.

CO2 capture is working directly against entropy ina huge way.  The only way to overcome entropy of course is with energy.  This is something we can't get around at all, ever.

But sure, with enough energy we could remove CO2 from the air.

There's Still Time to Fix Climate--About 11 Years - Scientific American
There's Still Time to Fix Climate--About 11 Years - Scientific American

 As of July 30, the U.N. report says, 113 of the 191 nations that signed the Paris Accord had made some level of commitment to reduce emissions. Under the latest promises, global emissions by 2030 would actually be 5.0 percent higher than in 2019—not lower—in the midrange scenario the IPCC uses. The report notes that emissions from the nations that have issued revised goals since 2015, as a group, would indeed be lower in 2030 compared with 2019, so the net increase worldwide would come from the countries that have not improved their original commitments and countries that have never committed.