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Topic: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas

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longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14770 on: August 11, 2021, 01:17:23 PM »
didn't we have this scientific experience last year with schools?

what makes you think folks will actually collect this data this year with any accuracy and consistency?
and then put it together properly to draw a conclusion
Last year most schools were from home

we collected this data in the past

as far as accuracy is concerned there will be many eyes looking at it so one just has to hope

They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14771 on: August 11, 2021, 01:19:17 PM »
b)  if the benefit of masks is one fucking life, then yeah, stop bitching about it and mask up
This type of reasoning is a fallacy. 

Literally the world is full of things that we could do differently that would save 'one effing life' and we don't do those things. 

In fact, there are a lot of things that we could do differently that would save far more lives. 

  • We could make tobacco products illegal.
  • We could ban sales of alcohol.
  • We could institute 25 mph speed limits on all public roads.
  • We could ban drive-through restaurants (or some other ban targeted at fast food products).

The biggest killers in the US are heart disease, cancer, accidents, and chronic respiratory diseases.

Banning tobacco would take a big step out of heart disease, cancer, and respiratory diseases, and lower death rates by those causes. Banning fast food or otherwise forcing Americans into a healthier diet would help considerably with heart disease and diabetes and obesity, and lower death rates by those causes. Motor vehicle fatalities are around 35K annually--I'll bet you could drop that 50% by mandating a 25 mph speed limit coast to coast. 


We don't do these things because there's a balancing test between freedom, cost, efficiency, and safety. 

We wore masks to protect the vulnerable. Now the vulnerable have access to vaccines which are FAR more effective than masks to protect them. So why do we still need the masks?

utee94

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14772 on: August 11, 2021, 01:24:48 PM »
didn't we have this scientific experience last year with schools?

what makes you think folks will actually collect this data this year with any accuracy and consistency?
and then put it together properly to draw a conclusion
No, not at all.

Last year, in Texas at least, any and all schools that were in-person, were 100% masked.  My kids went to school from September 2020-May 2021, and wore masks every single day.  That is true of all other children in Texas who went in-person.

This year, there will be large school districts that maintain mask mandates, but there will also be large school districts that do not.  And it's going to be easy to determine if we see a pop in cases/hospitalizations/ICU/death based on those well-defined geographical boundaries, within the school-aged cohorts under investigation.

We're getting an almost perfect scientific control group and test groups out of this occurrence.

I'll certainly be paying attention to the data.
« Last Edit: August 11, 2021, 01:32:06 PM by utee94 »

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14773 on: August 11, 2021, 01:32:51 PM »
No, not at all.

Last year, in Texas at least, any and all schools that were in-person, were 100% masked.  My kids went to school from September 2020-May 2021, and wore masks every single day.  That is true of all other children in Texas who went in-person.

This year, there will be large school districts that maintain mask mandates, but there will also be large school districts that do not.  And it's going to be easy to determine if we see a pop in cases/hospitalizations/ICU/death based on those well-defined geographical boundaries.

We're getting an almost perfect scientific control group and test groups out of this occurrence.

I'll certainly be paying attention to the data.
California has a statewide mask mandate in schools. 

By comparison to some states like TX/FL that are banning mandates statewide, it definitely should give us comparison data.

That data (and the conclusions it should generate) will be agreed upon by almost nobody and almost everyone will have the same opinions on masks at the conclusion of the 2021-22 school year as they did before the year started. 

utee94

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14774 on: August 11, 2021, 01:37:19 PM »
California has a statewide mask mandate in schools.

By comparison to some states like TX/FL that are banning mandates statewide, it definitely should give us comparison data.

That data (and the conclusions it should generate) will be agreed upon by almost nobody and almost everyone will have the same opinions on masks at the conclusion of the 2021-22 school year as they did before the year started.


Totally agree with this statement, but it's really just for my own journey of scientific discovery. I'm very interested in this because I'm ambivalent about the outcomes here.

And comparing state to state is good, but the fact that large side-by-side school districts within the state of Texas, are going to go 100% opposite one another on this, is going to provide an even finer resulting data set.

Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14775 on: August 11, 2021, 01:41:42 PM »
With a credible base size in the millions, we might see a small difference.

847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14776 on: August 11, 2021, 01:47:50 PM »
Schools were open here last year - all year - no masks. Zoom was optional, if the parent so chose. Not sure that's an option this year. Haven't looked into it.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

FearlessF

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14777 on: August 11, 2021, 01:52:38 PM »
That data (and the conclusions it should generate) will be agreed upon by almost nobody and almost everyone will have the same opinions on masks at the conclusion of the 2021-22 school year as they did before the year started.
my opinion exactly

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Gigem

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14778 on: August 11, 2021, 01:53:02 PM »
No, not at all.

Last year, in Texas at least, any and all schools that were in-person, were 100% masked.  My kids went to school from September 2020-May 2021, and wore masks every single day.  That is true of all other children in Texas who went in-person.

This year, there will be large school districts that maintain mask mandates, but there will also be large school districts that do not.  And it's going to be easy to determine if we see a pop in cases/hospitalizations/ICU/death based on those well-defined geographical boundaries, within the school-aged cohorts under investigation.

We're getting an almost perfect scientific control group and test groups out of this occurrence.

I'll certainly be paying attention to the data.

Wrong.  Our district ditched the masks during the latter part of the spring semester.  Seems like it was March or April but the last few months they did not wear masks.  The sky did not fall, no more or no less kids got corona, and the kids that I know that got corona didn't really get sick either.  

Most importantly no kids or teachers died and I don't even think any teachers had to be hospitalized.  

longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14779 on: August 11, 2021, 01:58:08 PM »
Wrong.  Our district ditched the masks during the latter part of the spring semester.  Seems like it was March or April but the last few months they did not wear masks.  The sky did not fall, no more or no less kids got corona, and the kids that I know that got corona didn't really get sick either. 

Most importantly no kids or teachers died and I don't even think any teachers had to be hospitalized. 
course all the mask supporters will argue that your past experience was not with the new variant delta

but I dont think it will make a difference and some experts say that even though this new strain is faster spreading that its not as strong

They won't let me give blood anymore. The burnt orange color scares the hell out of the doctors.

Gigem

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14780 on: August 11, 2021, 01:58:38 PM »
The most likely outcome on the mask mandate in public school is somebody will purposely have their kid  not wear a mask in school, the district will attempt to force them or remove them, the parent will put up a legal fight and it will go to court where the court will rule in favor of the parent most likely since there is a state wide ban.  So once it's established that the district cannot legally do this I think a lot of parents/kids will ignore the district mandate, if you can call it that.  

I know a lot of teachers here in our rural district, most are against the masks and in fact a lot of teachers and people I know have already had corona and are not afraid.  

Gigem

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14781 on: August 11, 2021, 02:00:11 PM »
course all the mask supporters will argue that your past experience was not with the new variant delta

but I dont think it will make a difference and some experts say that even though this new strain is faster spreading that its not as strong
I would like to know how they even know it was delta?  I don't think your run of the mill test will tell you that, the only way to know is to do a sequence on it and I wonder how many of those are being done?  

Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14782 on: August 11, 2021, 02:03:31 PM »
If a mask is say 10% effective against one variant, it should be the same with Delta as well.

Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #14783 on: August 11, 2021, 02:04:28 PM »
There will be additional noise if kids under 12 start getting vaccinated in disparate numbers.

 

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