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Topic: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas

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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #1316 on: April 05, 2020, 09:23:43 PM »
I posted, but you're acting awfully severe and I'm not sure why.  Your post didn't even yield anything conclusive, did it?  I posted over there, but don't put parameters on me again.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #1317 on: April 05, 2020, 09:25:06 PM »
I posted, but you're acting awfully severe and I'm not sure why.  Your post didn't even yield anything conclusive, did it?  I posted over there, but don't put parameters on me again.
My research results:



Why is that? 
It's tough to say, but I think demographics play a part. Income level and overall health are probably big factors, but I did not drill into those, and I won't.

 
MunicipalityPopulationPercent WPercent BCovid-19 Cases
Birmingham2120002273376
Montgomery200000415797
Huntsville1930006830126
Mobile1900004851168
Tuscaloosa100000554344


Those are the 5 largest municipalities in the State of Alabama. The Covid-19 numbers I was able to get include the municipality and its county, and it is my assumption that the vast majority of the cases are in the municipality.

The State's total population is 4.8 Million. The State has 1,666 confirmed cases of Covid-19 today, which is about 0.035% of the State. In Birmingham metro, the rate of infection is 1.8%. The demographics are given in the table.

Now, it is impossible to draw any conclusions from this data as we are too early in the process. Current projections show that roughly 7 percent of the State's population will end up with the virus, with half of those hospitalized. The numbers for Birmingham would be staggering, if the percentages hold true.

Some states seem to be releasing demographic information, but it's not consistent by state.


https://atlantablackstar.com/2020/04/05/in-several-states-black-people-are-being-diagnosed-with-and-dying-from-covid-19-at-disproportionate-rates/


Interesting article.






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847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #1318 on: April 05, 2020, 09:26:46 PM »
Feel free to comment, or opine.
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847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #1319 on: April 05, 2020, 09:53:03 PM »
I was able to drill into Illinois' data tonight.

274 deaths.

132 Black or Hispanic. 106 white. Illinois reports a figure that it's population is 71.5% white. That death total for minorities is clearly out of proportion. This is a big problem, clearly, but those minorities have a voice when it comes to who represents them. I would assume that most of the minority deaths are in Crook County/Chicago.

Other stats on deaths:

84 are 80+ years old. 81 between 70-79 years old. That makes 165, or 60%, for those who don't like math.
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847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #1320 on: April 05, 2020, 10:39:32 PM »
I'm pretty sure that the population in Alabama that is most at risk will not be wearing MAGA hats. I'm pretty sure they weren't saying this was a hoax. I'm pretty sure they didn't know much about any of this. I'm sure that's somebody else's fault.

I'll stand by for a response. 

I'm tired. I got up early today to do research, and I need to get up even earlier tomorrow, so I can work to help keep our economy going.
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #1321 on: April 05, 2020, 11:37:45 PM »
I'm pretty sure that the population in Alabama that is most at risk will not be wearing MAGA hats. I'm pretty sure they weren't saying this was a hoax. I'm pretty sure they didn't know much about any of this. I'm sure that's somebody else's fault.

I'll stand by for a response.

I'm tired. I got up early today to do research, and I need to get up even earlier tomorrow, so I can work to help keep our economy going.
The old, the poor, the unhealthy.......that's a majority of Alabama, no matter the race. 
Illinois may be 75% white, but Chicago certainly isn't, lol.  You're posting this stuff and I'm not seeing anything meaningful to glean from it.  You give the racial makeup of a state, when the virus is highest in urban areas.  
.
You see the Birmingham data, but Montgomery negates it.  And why do you want my opinion so much?  Here, OAM, here's a scatter of data that doesn't point towards anything, whattaya think? 
.
I don't think much of anything of it.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Hawkinole

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #1322 on: April 06, 2020, 02:42:14 AM »
We still have little testing available in Iowa. We look so clean as a state. I think my secretary had a 50% chance of having it and recovering. She tested negative for flu and strep 2-weeks ago, but she didn't qualify for another test when she had a respiratory condition and she is mid-30s two weeks ago. Her 12-year old daughter brought it home from school and recovered quickly. Secretary had it a week or so. She was in here 1.5 hours 2-weeks ago. I insisted she go home, but I relented to her pleas because she is a single mother, for 1.5 hours, as I had dictation on queue.  After which I reminded her of her liberal vacation benefits she could burn. I asked her to leave. I am a one man law office. 

We still have little testing in Iowa. Our governor closed schools early, but we have no stay-at-home order.


Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #1323 on: April 06, 2020, 06:20:21 AM »
The step daughter is still pretty sick and tested negative (which her MD said meant almost nothing, she wondered why they bothered).

It could well be influenza, she had the classic symptoms early on but they have not developed into the dry cough and fever typical of COVID.  Her husband has not been sick.  They live in a tiny village about 60 miles outside Paris.

09:30 GMT - Austria plans to start reopening shops from next week
Austria plans to reopen smaller shops from next week in its first step to loosen a lockdown that has slowed the spread of the coronavirus, as long as the public continue to observe the lockdown broadly, Chancellor Sebastian Kurz has said.
Kurz told a news conference that since Austria had acted earlier than most countries, that gave it the ability to reopen shops sooner as well.
If all goes well, it will reopen non-essential shops of less than 400 square metres and DIY shops on April 14, followed by all shops and malls on May 1, he said.



Clearly, the Austrians care nothing about lives and just want to make their economy grow.

Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #1324 on: April 06, 2020, 06:35:36 AM »
The aggregate news this morning is rather hopeful, I think, the numbers are coming in under the projections in the US, the southern European countries and NYC MAY have crested and started to decline.  There is a NOTION that some of us, more than thought, have been infected and have some herd immunity with no symptoms, I'm not ready to accept that at this point but it is one explanation for this thing.

The stock market futures are up sharply at this point.  I tend to view them as a bell weather of sorts.

847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #1325 on: April 06, 2020, 06:51:12 AM »
And why do you want my opinion so much?
Because you gave an opinion about Alabama (and the South in general) based on a very flawed map.
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847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #1326 on: April 06, 2020, 06:51:41 AM »
The aggregate news this morning is rather hopeful, I think, the numbers are coming in under the projections in the US, the southern European countries and NYC MAY have crested and started to decline.  There is a NOTION that some of us, more than thought, have been infected and have some herd immunity with no symptoms, I'm not ready to accept that at this point but it is one explanation for this thing.

The stock market futures are up sharply at this point.  I tend to view them as a bell weather of sorts.
Very encouraging. Thank you.
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Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #1327 on: April 06, 2020, 07:16:37 AM »
 I posted over there, but don't put parameters on me again.
What sort of "parameters" would anyone put on you, were they so inclined to do so?

I see people jogging at times carrying "parameters" and figure it's to enhance their exercise.

utee94

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #1328 on: April 06, 2020, 09:17:59 AM »
Good morning all, everyone still alive and breathing well?  All good here in the ATX.

Some encouraging news coming in from around the nation and globe for sure.

Honestbuckeye

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #1329 on: April 06, 2020, 09:43:37 AM »
Good morning all, everyone still alive and breathing well?  All good here in the ATX.

Some encouraging news coming in from around the nation and globe for sure.
Depends who you ask lol.  In some circles it’s against the rules to be encouraged ;)
Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please.
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