Perhaps the BEST B1G Forum anywhere, here at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

Elko is an idiot

I'd opine that about 8-10 teams have a realistic shot.  Some lower ranked teams have some finite percentage, but it's single digit if that.  In most seasons, about five teams are roughly the same, each can beat the other about half the time.  They are followed by five more that are competitive, but maybe would beat the top five 30% of the time.

If you run percentages, obviously a team's chances of winning a playoff decline as playoffs involve more and more games.  The "best team" might have an 80% chance of winning round one, 70% in round two, and 60% in round three.  Collectively those are not very good odds (about 1 in 3).

Do you think this is a result of poor markeing, some change in preferences due to an aging clientel, or something else?

I've never liked Dr. P or Pepsi, I do like Coke but don't drink it, maybe once a year, I think the negative health aspects of any of these is pretty severe.

I disagree.

Not that surprised to see UNL off the list. It's a small state and a big school, and I think the "shine" of UNL has fallen off that there aren't anywhere NEAR as many casual bandwagon fans as there were maybe in the 80s & 90s. 

I agree that I'm surprised that USC isn't on there. It's a relatively small school that's a traditional football power in a massive metro area. 

That said, these are just 10 schools which meet the criteria (90% of fan base didn't attend the school). Exclusion from this list doesn't necessarily mean that UNL or USC doesn't meet the criteria. There may be some other reason it's not included--if UNL is in fact >90%, it might have been excluded because the fan base is too small. Potentially, the same thing may be true for USC. (But that then wouldn't explain why Miami is on there?)