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Topic: OT-Politics Thread: please TRY to keep it civil, you damned dirty apes

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Cincydawg

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Re: OT-Politics Thread: please TRY to keep it civil, you damned dirty apes
« Reply #46522 on: July 07, 2025, 04:56:34 PM »
California's High-Speed Rail Boondoggle Needs Another $100 Billion To Finish
California's High-Speed Rail Boondoggle Needs Another $100 Billion To Finish

medinabuckeye1

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Re: OT-Politics Thread: please TRY to keep it civil, you damned dirty apes
« Reply #46523 on: July 07, 2025, 04:59:33 PM »
Summary from the AllSides News Team

Floods in Texas have killed over 95 people, prompting media to split on how the Trump administration’s cuts to the National Weather Service (NWS) could have affected response efforts.
From The Left: Some outlets from the left have suggested federal cuts could have negatively impacted responses. The New York Times (Lean Left bias) reported that “crucial positions” at Texas’ arm of the NWS were vacant as the floods happened. The Guardian (Left) published a similar article. CNN (Lean Left), in television coverage, said, “What’s… unclear is whether cuts to the National Weather Service impacted how warnings were disseminated.” WIRED (Left), on the other hand, reported speaking to experts who said that despite the hundreds of jobs cut, the NWS “accurately predicted the state's weekend flood risk.” Associated Press (Left) highlighted scrutiny faced by officials, but at the end of its coverage reported that the NWS called in extra staff during the storms.
From The Center: Newsweek (Center) reported speaking to White House spokesperson Abigail Jackson, who said, “False claims about the NWS have been repeatedly debunked by meteorologists, experts, and other public reporting.”
From The Right: The Center Square (Lean Right) highlighted that despite national and state warnings issued days in advance, many of those killed did not evacuate. The New York Post (Lean Right) highlighted reports that Texas officials in Kerr County, where 27 people at a Christian summer camp were killed, chose not to install a flash flood warning system because it was too expensive.
Pretty clear that Trump/cuts had nothing to do with it because even the leftists are calling it "unclear" at worst and "accurately predicted . . ." at best.  

847badgerfan

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Re: OT-Politics Thread: please TRY to keep it civil, you damned dirty apes
« Reply #46524 on: July 07, 2025, 04:59:55 PM »
There were no cuts to the NWS.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

utee94

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Re: OT-Politics Thread: please TRY to keep it civil, you damned dirty apes
« Reply #46525 on: July 07, 2025, 05:16:03 PM »
There were no cuts to the NWS.
And even if there had been, the NWS still appropriately issued a warning with proper level of severity ahead of time with enough notice to save everyone's life had the warnings been heard, and heeded.  It's not the job of the NWS to ensure that local authorities are tuned in and paying attention, nor is it their job to ensure their warnings are heeded and acted upon.

medinabuckeye1

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Re: OT-Politics Thread: please TRY to keep it civil, you damned dirty apes
« Reply #46526 on: July 07, 2025, 05:39:38 PM »
causes me to wonder what a proposal such as this would do to the overall numbers
8%: $0 to $23,850
18%: $23,851 to $96,950
25%: $96,951 to $206,700
27%: $206,701 to $394,600
35%: $394,601 to $501,050
38%: $501,051 to $751,600
40%: $751,601 or more

you know....... tax the rich
A few notes:
Adopting Fearless' proposal would reduce taxes for all MFJ's with taxable income less than $31,800.  That break-even is as follows:
  • At current they pay 10% of the first $23,850 or $2,385 then 12% on income from 23,851-31,800.  That is $7,950 taxed at 12% which works out to $954.  Add the $954 to the $2,385 and you get a total tax of $3,339.  
  • Per Fearless' proposal they would pay 8% of the first $23,850 or $1,908 then 18% on income from $23,851-31,800.  That is $7,950 taxed at 18% which works out to $1,431.  Add the $1,431 to the $1,908 and you get a total tax of $3,339.  

Biggest tax cut is for a married coupe with a taxable income of exactly $23,850.  Their tax drops $477 from $2,385 to $1,908.  


Measured in dollars, the increase would be the most for the biggest earners but measured in percentage the biggest increase would be on a married coupe with a taxable income of exactly $96,950: 
  • At present they pay 10% of the first $23,850 ($2,385) then 12% on the income from $23,851 up to $96,950 which works out to $8,772 for a total tax burden of $11,157 or 11.51%.  
  • Under @FearlessF 's proposal they would pay only 8% on the first $23,850 ($1,908) but then 18% on the income from $23,851 up to $96,950 which works out to $13,158 for a total tax burden of $15,066 or 15.54%.  The increase for a MFJ at $96,950 would be $3,909.  

I find it interesting that although Fearless presented it as a proposal to "tax the rich", the biggest percentage impact would be on a married couple at just under $100k.  For a couple at about three-quarters of a Million their absolute increase is more ($10,710) but their taxes are only going up by about 12% as compared to the couple at a little under $100k whose taxes would go up by nearly 45%.  

The numbers:


Now, with all of that said, @Cincydawg has said a few times in this thread that European Countries typically hit the middle class a LOT harder than we do here in the US.  The reason is simply that they have to.  As great as taxing "the rich" sounds on paper, in the real world it isn't easy.  The very wealthy have a lot of flexibility.  They can shift investments.  They can spend a lot on accountants and tax lawyers to minimize their burden.  At the end of the day, some of them can simply move.  If the tax burden gets too heavy in the US, they can leave.  

People with more moderate incomes simply don't have that much flexibility.  It also isn't practical for the moderately well off to spend a boatload of cash on tax lawyers.  Look at the chart above (either one).  A MFJ Couple with taxable income of a little under $400k is paying ~$70k in tax now and would pay ~$80k under Fearless' proposal.  If you pay a tax lawyer $5 Grand to look at it (and that would barely get you in the door with a truly high-end specialist), they'd have to reduce your AGI by about $20k (5%) just for you to break even.  If you are REALLY wealthy the math works a lot better for an EXPENSIVE tax lawyer.  If you have taxable income of $1M then you could pay $10k to a tax lawyer and you'd break even as long as they reduced your taxable income by $25k (2.5% at Fearless' proposal) or $27k (2.7% at current rates).  

Final note:
If you had the data, it would be fairly easy to calculate what this proposal would have brought in "Ceteris Paribus" but the actual change is a lot murkier.  "Ceteris Paribus" is Latin for "with other conditions remaining the same".  It is a phrase that Economists use a lot because their models only really work if nothing else changes.  The problem here is that an increase like this WOULD change "other conditions".  

FearlessF

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Re: OT-Politics Thread: please TRY to keep it civil, you damned dirty apes
« Reply #46527 on: July 07, 2025, 05:54:53 PM »
I imagine what most liberals would want would be something similar to this...........


1%: $0 to $23,850
8%: $23,851 to $96,950
29%: $96,951 to $206,700
37%: $206,701 to $394,600
45%: $394,601 to $501,050
55%: $501,051 to $751,600
69%: $751,601 or more

you know....... tax the filthy rich
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: OT-Politics Thread: please TRY to keep it civil, you damned dirty apes
« Reply #46528 on: July 07, 2025, 06:18:38 PM »

A simple concept that hardly anyone understands.

In our peak earning year, we paid $80K+ in taxes and used no services (except roads).

Our unfair share was paid.
You are delusional.
Who patrolled your community as you slept?
You didn't dial it, but what number would you have dialed to save your ass in an emergency?
What entity educated everyone around you in order to contribute to a pleasant community of businesses, customers, and public service?


Used no services my ass.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Honestbuckeye

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Re: OT-Politics Thread: please TRY to keep it civil, you damned dirty apes
« Reply #46529 on: July 07, 2025, 07:11:45 PM »
I imagine what most liberals would want would be something similar to this...........


1%: $0 to $23,850
8%: $23,851 to $96,950
29%: $96,951 to $206,700
37%: $206,701 to $394,600
45%: $394,601 to $501,050
55%: $501,051 to $751,600
69%: $751,601 or more

you know....... tax the filthy rich

This would drive revenue down.   Nobody would want to be productive to then give the government 70% of their earnings.  You would actually keep more( or close to it) by earning less.  
Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please.
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Honestbuckeye

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Re: OT-Politics Thread: please TRY to keep it civil, you damned dirty apes
« Reply #46530 on: July 07, 2025, 07:12:29 PM »
And even if there had been, the NWS still appropriately issued a warning with proper level of severity ahead of time with enough notice to save everyone's life had the warnings been heard, and heeded.  It's not the job of the NWS to ensure that local authorities are tuned in and paying attention, nor is it their job to ensure their warnings are heeded and acted upon.
Amen.  The idiots that are trying to make this an issue are just that. Idiots. They don’t even believe it to be true.   
Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please.
-Mark Twain

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: OT-Politics Thread: please TRY to keep it civil, you damned dirty apes
« Reply #46531 on: July 07, 2025, 07:14:42 PM »
I love that the general response to having rich people actually pay taxes is "nah, it wouldn't work."  

What if people making $40K replied that way?  
Stop giving people a pass who skirt the system.  Fix the system.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

Honestbuckeye

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Re: OT-Politics Thread: please TRY to keep it civil, you damned dirty apes
« Reply #46532 on: July 07, 2025, 07:16:15 PM »
I love that the general response to having rich people actually pay taxes is "nah, it wouldn't work." 

What if people making $40K replied that way? 
Stop giving people a pass who skirt the system.  Fix the system.
Not giving anybody a pass. And I agree, fix the system. But that won’t do it.   Do the math. At the rates he listed somebody making 751,000 would keep the exact same amount as somebody making 550,000.   People would just be asking for demotions, being less productive where they get paid bonuses, or quit being productive when they reach the 550 level.  
Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please.
-Mark Twain

FearlessF

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Re: OT-Politics Thread: please TRY to keep it civil, you damned dirty apes
« Reply #46533 on: July 07, 2025, 07:22:10 PM »
This would drive revenue down.  Nobody would want to be productive to then give the government 70% of their earnings.  You would actually keep more( or close to it) by earning less. 
I'm not so sure.  Folks seem to like living in the states.
I know big money folks in Europe moved around a bit to avoid high tax rates.  But, some didn't move very far, similar to someone moving from Cali to Texas or less.  And some moved to the USA.
many folks have threatened to leave the USA over political issues, not many have.
It may be something to try if things get bad enough.  Sooner or later, someone is gonna have to pay back a large share of the deficit.
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

jgvol

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Re: OT-Politics Thread: please TRY to keep it civil, you damned dirty apes
« Reply #46534 on: July 07, 2025, 07:28:57 PM »
I'm not so sure.  Folks seem to like living in the states.
I know big money folks in Europe moved around a bit to avoid high tax rates.  But, some didn't move very far, similar to someone moving from Cali to Texas or less.  And some moved to the USA.
many folks have threatened to leave the USA over political issues, not many have.
It may be something to try if things get bad enough.  Sooner or later, someone is gonna have to pay back a large share of the deficit.

Yep. It will be our grandchildren.  

That’s the someone.  

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: OT-Politics Thread: please TRY to keep it civil, you damned dirty apes
« Reply #46535 on: July 07, 2025, 08:27:11 PM »
A certain portion of our leaders only care about the now.  Their lives.  And couldn't care less if the earth exploded the day after their deaths.  

“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

 

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