I am basing my guesses on what has happened in the past. I'm sure when Bush 1 took office, it looked dark for Democrats.
Since Truman, we had Ike for 8, then JFK/LBJ for 8, then Nixon/Ford for 8, then Carter for 4, breaking the pattern, then Reagan/Bush for 12, breaking the pattern, then Clinton for 8, then Bush for 8, then Obama for 8. We oscillate back and forth, and at times either party may seem out of touch and about to die.
That's my read on the American people.