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Topic: OT-Politics Thread: please TRY to keep it civil, you damned dirty apes

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medinabuckeye1

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #33124 on: June 17, 2024, 02:39:25 PM »
Taxes on specific items often have unintended consequences.

Europe tried a wealth tax for a while, nearly every country reversed that.
I agree wholeheartedly with this. 

One obvious problem is that it encourages tax avoidance schemes. For example with the luxury tax on expensive boats, one could perhaps avoid the tax by buying:
  • An empty hull from a boat builder, then
  • Interior appointments from a second vendor, then
  • Engines and lower units from a third vendor.


betarhoalphadelta

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #33125 on: June 17, 2024, 02:39:30 PM »
Your argument about trade-offs can't even be addressed currently because we have absolutely NO IDEA who or how many are arriving.
But we were talking about hypotheticals. "Town with 100 people and 5 murders vs 1000 people and 10 murders." That doesn't even mention the economic value of the new arrivals but you said things like 'ZERO immigrant crime is the answer' and that if the 1000 with 10 murders meant 900 new arrivals including 5 murders, you'd prefer that not be the case. 

What I'm getting at is that you're embedding your belief about immigration into the outcome. You aren't trying to balance economic benefit vs the cost of increased crime, because you don't believe immigration is an economic benefit. (Or at least, not the way immigration has happened in the US.)

Some of us will do a cost/benefit analysis. You don't do that because you believe it's a cost/cost analysis, and there's no benefit.

Cincydawg

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #33126 on: June 17, 2024, 02:44:33 PM »
I think immigration is a net positive for the US, but I also think we need to secure the southern border to a better extent.

I don't think it can be completely secure, ever, no matter what.  

Having people turn themselves in and request asylum and being turned loose into the hinterlands without the ability to work legally is a disaster, in my view.  We see plenty of city mayors agreeing with that.

Some of this can be influenced with Presidential verbiage, symbolic steps and words.  Some needs new legislation.  Some needs current laws being enforced to a better degree.  (If an illegal is connected to a crime and convicted, I think he should be summarily turned over to ICE and removed.)

847badgerfan

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #33127 on: June 17, 2024, 02:46:28 PM »
I think immigration is a net positive for the US, but I also think we need to secure the southern border to a better extent.

I don't think it can be completely secure, ever, no matter what. 

Having people turn themselves in and request asylum and being turned loose into the hinterlands without the ability to work legally is a disaster, in my view.  We see plenty of city mayors agreeing with that.

Some of this can be influenced with Presidential verbiage, symbolic steps and words.  Some needs new legislation.  Some needs current laws being enforced to a better degree.  (If an illegal is connected to a crime and convicted, I think he should be summarily turned over to ICE and removed.)
Only to come right back in.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

GopherRock

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #33128 on: June 17, 2024, 02:49:11 PM »




medinabuckeye1

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #33129 on: June 17, 2024, 03:01:31 PM »
But we were talking about hypotheticals. "Town with 100 people and 5 murders vs 1000 people and 10 murders." That doesn't even mention the economic value of the new arrivals but you said things like 'ZERO immigrant crime is the answer' and that if the 1000 with 10 murders meant 900 new arrivals including 5 murders, you'd prefer that not be the case.

What I'm getting at is that you're embedding your belief about immigration into the outcome. You aren't trying to balance economic benefit vs the cost of increased crime, because you don't believe immigration is an economic benefit. (Or at least, not the way immigration has happened in the US.)

Some of us will do a cost/benefit analysis. You don't do that because you believe it's a cost/cost analysis, and there's no benefit.
Of course there are benefits.

There are also costs.

With respect to unskilled immigrants, the costs clearly outweigh the benefits. If you disagree, we can have that discussion.

America does get a lot of highly skilled immigrants and I'm not really addressing them. That is a tougher question. I'm mainly addressing the unskilled immigrants because they clearly do NOT provide enough benefit to outweigh their costs.

I know you lean Libertarian so I'll make this argument on your terms, Milton Friedman said:
"You cannot simultaneously have free immigration and a welfare state. ... I am in favor of the unilateral reduction of tariffs, but the movement of goods is a substitute for the movement of people. As long as you have a welfare state, I do not believe you can have a unilateral open immigration. I would like to see a world in which you could have open immigration, but stop kidding yourselves. On the other hand, the welfare state does not prevent unilateral free trade. I believe that they are in different categories."

The US had very high levels of immigration from the late 1800's up until restrictionst policies were adopted in the mid 1920's but a number of things were different then including:
  • We didn't have a welfare state. There was no Social Security, no Medicare, no Medicaid, no AFDC, no Food Stamps, etc. Back then we didn't have to screen out free riders because there were not a lot of free rides.
  • Assimilation was the agreed upon policy of the vast majority of the population INCLUDING the immigrants. We taught English at schools and didn't provide ESL or any government documents in other languages. The goal of more-or-less everyone was for the immigrants to assimilate and become "Americans" like the rest of us, not for them to be foreign in perpetuity. This is no longer true.
  • In the aforementioned earlier time immigrants were less likely to become a block of "foreigners" because we were importing a multitude of differing cultures. Today a very high percentage share a common language and general culture. In the 1890's a Norwegian and a Ukrainian working together at a Steel Mill communicated with each other in English out of Necessity because neither could understand the other's native tongue. That isn't true for Central and South American immigrants today because all except the Brasilians speak the same language already.
  • The economy of that time had an insatiable appetite for unskilled laborers. The value of a strong back was much higher then relative to the value of a strong mind.

That is just a few of the differences.


medinabuckeye1

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #33130 on: June 17, 2024, 03:04:57 PM »
[img width=274.381 height=329]https://preview.redd.it/qtuqzy10r8g61.jpg?width=1080&crop=smart&auto=webp&s=38dfecec7e9b765b6d569ac42662999c27aca48e[/img]
This might be valid IF the rich were trying to turn us against immigration but they aren't. The Koch/Soros (R/D) money is nearly all in FAVOR of more immigration.

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #33131 on: June 17, 2024, 03:26:06 PM »
Of course there are benefits.

There are also costs.

With respect to unskilled immigrants, the costs clearly outweigh the benefits. If you disagree, we can have that discussion.

America does get a lot of highly skilled immigrants and I'm not really addressing them. That is a tougher question. I'm mainly addressing the unskilled immigrants because they clearly do NOT provide enough benefit to outweigh their costs.
Right. I know you're not necessarily addressing higher skilled immigrants, but you have before, and have said at least as it relates to government programs (such as SS/Medicare) it's not a clear economic benefit unless they come in basically right at the start of their working careers, because they'll never have enough time paying in compared to what they get taking out. An engineer who immigrates and naturalizes at the age of 43 might be a net positive until he retires, but probably won't balance out his government outlays in retirement the way a native-born engineer who starts their career at 22 will do. 

My entire point here is you're conflating two things; economic value and crime. Crime is basically universally a cost. If you think that the primary numbers of immigration (low-skill) is a cost, and that maybe the high-skilled is close to a wash economically either way, then you already think immigration is a net economic negative. Therefore, adding some qualifier of 'ZERO immigrant crime is the only acceptable answer' is assuming the antecedent, i.e. that your opinion of the economic value being net negative is already true. If you thought the net economic value was positive, even slightly so, you'd be asking "okay, how much crime is acceptable for the good stuff." 

Cincydawg

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #33132 on: June 17, 2024, 03:29:53 PM »
This might be valid IF the rich were trying to turn us against immigration but they aren't. The Koch/Soros (R/D) money is nearly all in FAVOR of more immigration.
I don't think the rich are characterized by just a few examples.

847badgerfan

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #33133 on: June 17, 2024, 03:37:57 PM »
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

847badgerfan

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #33134 on: June 17, 2024, 03:42:47 PM »
You cannot be over 45 years old to move to New Zealand. And

U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

utee94

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #33135 on: June 17, 2024, 03:45:33 PM »
You cannot be over 45 years old to move to New Zealand. And

[img width=500 height=328.996]https://i.imgur.com/lMnJgO2.png[/img]

Buncha bigoted xenophobes.  They should be called out on the international stage.

medinabuckeye1

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #33136 on: June 17, 2024, 03:49:35 PM »
On the whole immigration issue:

In the past, @OrangeAfroMan has pointed out that we (the group of us who post here) are a fairly wealthy group. I guess a blind squirrel finds a nut once in a while because on this point he is correct. We have @Cincydawg talking about flights to France, @847badgerfan talking about his yacht, and nearly all of us have at least a college degree. Many here have advanced degrees and it also seems to me that we have a high percentage of people with serious degrees such as STEM fields.

Nationally only about 1/2 of Americans have degrees and a sizable percentage of them have 'soft' degrees that contribute little or nothing to their employment prospects. 

For us (described above) we get immediate benefits of unskilled immigration in the form of lower labor costs. Most of us purchase that labor indirectly but we still benefit. 

That is fine for those of us in that top half. Please don't screw over your less fortunate fellow citizens with even MORE competition for the jobs they are capable of when their employment prospects are increasingly dire in the modern 'knowledge based' economy.

Construction workers have seen their real wages fall for decades. Yet I'm sure that Max will point me to a study that claims the laws of supply and demand have been suspended and this has nothing to do with all the immigrants working in construction. 

medinabuckeye1

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Re: OT-Catch all thread - Personal attacks will result in a time out
« Reply #33137 on: June 17, 2024, 03:52:03 PM »
I don't think the rich are characterized by just a few examples.
Well ok:
NYT, WSJ, WaPo, both parties (with the exception of Trump's followers), ABC, NBC, CBS, Kochs, Soros, Slim are all in favor (partial list). Who are the rich and powerful speaking up on behalf of American workers?

 

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