Perhaps the BEST B1G Forum anywhere, here at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

Rankings, records, teams, and games remaining:

• 8-0 Bama, @LSU, Ark?
• 9-0 Notre Dame, vs Cuse
• 8-1 Clemson, @VaTech
• 4-0 Ohio State, @MSU, vM
• 6-1 aTm, @Aub, @TN
• 7-1 Florida, @TN, vLSU
• 8-0 Cincy, @ #24 Tulsa
• 6-2 Georgia, vs Vandy
• 7-2 Iowa State, vs WVU
• 7-1 Miami, @Dook, vs #17 UNC, vs GaTech
• 6-2 Oklahoma, vs Baylor, @ WVU
• 5-1 Indiana, @ #16 UW, vs PU
• 9-0 BYU, vs SDSU
• 5-1 Northwestern, vs IL
• 6-2 Oklahoma State, @TCU, @ Baylor
• 2-1 Wisconsin, vs #12 IU, @ #19 IA
• 6-3 North Carolina, vs WCU, @ #10 Miami
• 9-0 Coastal Carolina, vs Lib, @ Troy
• 4-2 Iowa, @IL, vs #16 UW
• 3-0 USC, vs WSU, @ UCLA
• 7-0 Marshall, vs Rice, @ FIU
• 3-0 Washington, vs Stan, @ #23 Ore
• 3-1 Oregon, @ Cal, vs #22 UW
• 5-1 Tulsa, @ Navy, vs #7 Cincy
• 8-1 Louisiana, @ApSt

The teams in bold are teams that I believe control their own destiny to the CFP:

• 8-0 #1 Bama:  If they win out (@LSU, ARK?, SECCG probably vs #6 UF), they are obviously in.  
• 9-0 #2 ND:  If they win out (vs Cuse, ACCCG probably vs #3 Clemson), they are obviously in.  
• 8-1 #3 Clemson:  If they win out (@VaTech, ACCCG vs #2 ND), they are obviously in.  
• 4-0 #4 tOSU:  If they win out (@MSU, vM, B1GCG probably vs #14 NU), they are obviously in.  
• 7-1 #6 UF:  If they win out (@TN, vLSU, SECCG probably vs #1 Bama), they are obviously in.  
• 3-0 #20 USC:  If they win out (vWSU, @UCLA, P12CG probably vs #22 UW) they would probably jump enough teams to get in.  
• 3-0 #22 Washington:  If they win out (vsStan, @#23 Ore, P12CG probably vs #20 USC) they would probably jump enough teams to get in.  

Everybody else needs help and probably lots of it.  

if it's not Georgia, it's Florida, or A&M

it's ALWAYS an SEC team, regardless

Yeah, I'm not quite criticizing that trend as much as noting it, I have noted it the past few years since UGA got to be, um, highly ranked.

I would argue that USC and Washington do not yet control their own destiny.  Teams in front of them need to lose for them to jump into the top 4.

You could be right and I did say "probably" for them because winning out *MIGHT* not be enough, but bottom line, I don't think they need any help.  

They are way down at #20 and #22 right now so that looks problematic but if either of them were to win out they would be an undefeated P5 Champion.  

To your point, I do think that some of it has to do with how well the other one does.  Ie, if they both win out to the P12CG, then I think the winner is almost certainly guaranteed of a spot because they'd both be something like top-10 by then so that would give the winner a signature victory.  

Who are you thinking would stay ahead of them?

I'm thinking ONLY the following:

• The SEC Champion (almost certainly either Bama or Florida).  
• The ACC Champion (almost certainly either Clemson or ND).  
• The B1G Champion if they are undefeated (could only be tOSU).  

That is it.  What other team or teams do you think would be ahead of an undefeated P12 Champion USC or Washington?  

I would argue that USC and Washington do not yet control their own destiny.  Teams in front of them need to lose for them to jump into the top 4.

This.
The PAC is not making the playoff.  The argument will be sample size.  6-0 isn't gonna cut it, sorry. They're behind Cincinnati, at least 1 SEC team, 1 ACC team, possibly OSU, probably BYU, and a 2-loss preseason top 10 team (or 2).

You're entertaining only yourself.

Often my jokes have an audience of 1. 

They still make me smile.