I've seen a few articles, you probably have too.
The big question that I have is will the worst teams play in these added play-in games or will it be the worst at-large teams or some combination of the two?
As it is presently set up (not that anyone doesn't know but just to set the existing baseline):
- 31 auto-bids
- 37 at-large bids
- 68 total slots
- the four weakest at-large play each other in Dayton for the last two at-large spots
- the four weakest auto-bids play each other in Dayton for the last two auto-bid spots
The eight additional teams will all be at-large unless a new conference forms. The increase will require 12 rather than just 4 play-in games. I don't *THINK* they can cram 12 games into Dayton but they also probably don't want the 12 play-in games at first/second round sites so I would assume that they'll have three play-in sites each hosting four play-in games as follows:
Tuesday:
- 2 games at each play-in site
- 6 games total to get down to 70 from 76 teams.
Wednesday:
- 2 games at each play-in site
- 6 games total to get down to 64 from 70 teams.
My guess is that they'll keep the Dayton site, add a site somewhere in the Southeast, and add another site somewhere out west.
This just leaves the above-referenced question of whether the additional play-in games will be between the worst teams or the worst at-large teams or some combination. Has anyone seen anything indicating what the plan is?
If I had to guess, I'd guess that they'll continue the established pattern of splitting it in half so the last 12 auto-bids will play each other for the last two #15 seeds and all four #16 seeds while meanwhile the last 12 at-large teams will play each other for what would probably end up being roughly the last two #11 seeds and all four #12 seeds.
It doesn't seem like this will make much money since nearly nobody watches the mid-week play-in games anyway so it seems the primary benefactors will be the coaches of power-conference bubble teams because now eight more of them will get in.