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Topic: B1G Power Rankings, Week 14

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medinabuckeye1

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B1G Power Rankings, Week 14
« on: November 29, 2019, 08:44:23 AM »
Link to last week's rankings
Link to last week's rankings. 

Sorry I am later than normal with the results this week.  We had 19 voters, votes through HawkFrenzy:

Drop the high and low:

Graph of rankings so far this year:

Preseason ranking to current ranking comparison aka COTY prediction graph:

Vote distribution:

SoS/Performance table:


What I find really unusual this year is the relative lack of upsets.  I'm defining "upset" here as a game in which a higher ranked team (current rankings, not as of game time) lost to a lower ranked team.  There were only six this year:
  • #2 Wisconsin lost on the road to #8 Illinois by one point.  
  • #3 Penn State lost on the road to #5 Minnesota by 5 points.  
  • #5 Minnesota lost on the road to #6 Iowa by 4 points.  
  • #7 Indiana lost on the road to #9 Michigan State by 9 points.  
  • #8 Illinois lost at home to #11 Nebraska by 4 points.  
  • #8 Illinois lost at home to #12 Northwestern by 19 points.  

In addition to there being relatively few upsets, all but the two Illinois losses were cases where the superior team was on the road and all but the Wisconsin loss to Illinois involved a team losing to a team ranked only a few spots below them.  Also, all but the Illinois loss to Northwestern were effectively one-score losses.  I am referring to MSU's 9 point win over IU as "effectively" a one score loss because MSU's last six points came on an Indiana fumble returned for a TD on the game's last play.  Until the fumble-return TD it was a three point game.  






« Last Edit: December 05, 2019, 12:24:34 PM by medinabuckeye1 »
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LittlePig

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 14
« Reply #1 on: November 30, 2019, 09:08:04 PM »
1.  OSU
2.  Wisc
I already had Wiscy #2 before this week, but the blowout win at Minny removed any doubt I had.  (3-0 vs #2  to #6)
3.  PSU
(2-1 vs #2 to #6.  Best win over Mich)
4.  Minn
Not a strong finish to their season.  (1-2 vs #2 to #6.  Best win over PSU)
5.  Mich
Some Mich fans were drinking the kool-aid  before the OSU game, but boy they got snapped back to reality real fast by the Buckeyes.  (1-2 vs #2 to #6.  Best win over Iowa)
6.  Iowa
(1-3 vs #2 to #6.  Best win over Minny)
7.  Indy
8.  ILL
9.  Pur
10.  Neb
11.  MSU
12.  NW
13.  MD
14.  Rut
« Last Edit: November 30, 2019, 09:33:56 PM by LittlePig »
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Abba

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 14
« Reply #2 on: November 30, 2019, 09:25:06 PM »
1. Ohio State
2. Wisconsin - Big wins over 4 and 5 put them here
3. Penn State - Just barely...3-5 are very tight
4. Michigan
5. Minnesota
6. Iowa - Home loss to PSU puts them a step back
7. Indiana - Big drop from 6, congrats on a nice year
8. Michigan State - Much better than their record
9. Purdue - Also much better than their record
10. Illinois - Had to get a lot of breaks to be 6-6
11. Nebraska - Deja Vu with some hopes for next year
12. Northwestern - Finally showed some life
13. At least they are good at basketball
14. At least they fenced the garden once
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TyphonInc

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 14
« Reply #3 on: December 01, 2019, 07:30:50 AM »
no changes from last week.

1) Ohio State
2) Wisconsin
3) Penn State
4) Michigan

5) Iowa
6) Minnesota

7) Indiana
8) Michigan State
9) Illinois

10) Purdue
11) Nebraska
12) Maryland
13) Northwestern
14) Rutgers
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MaximumSam

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 14
« Reply #4 on: December 01, 2019, 07:46:30 AM »
1. Ohio State: The best offensive performance in the modern history of the Game?  Certainly not the best defensive performance. The best part of having three Heisman candidates is if one guy isn't having his best game (Chase Young) and one is inconsistent (Fields) you still have another one (Dobbins) who runs for 211 yards and 49 yards receiving.  Tough to stop.

2. Wisconsin: Jumping them up because they are #2 by performance, also they convincingly beat a good team on the road.  Knuckled down on Gophs rushing attack, left them unable to get consistent yards and then points.

3. Michigan: Welp.  Offensively, they started off amazing - Patterson looked like a five star quarterback, receivers were open everywhere, and they were blocking Chase Young.  It couldn't last, but it was good enough to win the game if they got anything at all out of their defense.  Which they didn't.

4. Minnesota: A deflating loss given the circumstances and the score, but no shame to be had here.  They had some chances, and it didn't quite work out.  Getting down near the goal line and not scoring hurt.  Also, don't punt when you have 4th and 2 at the opponent's 35 yard line.

5. Penn State: I know they had their backup QB in, but getting outgained by Rutgers is...not good.

6. Iowa: Nice win to end the season a perfect Iowaish 9-3.

7. Indiana: Hoosiers are 8-4 and win a game in OT.  

Woof

8. Nebraska: I don't care, I had been putting Illinois here but I simply cannot.  Nebraska at least made for entertainment.

9. Purdue: Same.  Also, check back next year to see where this is going.  Well I guess you could say that about Nebraska too.

10. Michigan State: Somehow found themselves in a competetive game with Maryland.  Impressive.  Well not really.

11.  Illinois: Somehow got blown out at home by Northwestern, who passed for 55 yards.

12. Northwestern: Victory

13. Maryland: Almost a victory

14. Rutgers: Hey they outgained PSU, they should get hats.  Also bring on Schiano.
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iahawk15

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 14
« Reply #5 on: December 01, 2019, 11:12:53 AM »
1) Ohio State (1)
2) Wisconsin (3)
3) Michigan (2)
4) Penn State (4)
5) Minnesota (5)
6) Iowa (6)
7) Indiana (7)
8) Purdue (9)
9) Nebraska (10)
10) Illinois (8)
11) Michigan State (11)
12) Northwestern (13)
13) Maryland (12)
14) Rutgers (14)


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Temp430

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 14
« Reply #6 on: December 01, 2019, 12:18:50 PM »
1. Ohio State
2. Wisconsin
3. Minnesota
4. Penn State
5. Michigan
6. Iowa
7. Indiana
8. Michigan State
9. Illinois
10. Nebraska
11. Purdue
12. Maryland
13. Northwestern
14. Rutgers

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847badgerfan

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 14
« Reply #7 on: December 01, 2019, 01:02:17 PM »
1. Ohio State. And it's not remotely close to...


2. Wisconsin. And it's not remotely close to #1. Has all of its rivalry trophies.
3. Penn State. That was ugly.
4. Minnesota. Reality bites. Hard.
5. Michigan, but barely, over...
6. Iowa. Has 3 out 4 of its rivalry trophies.

7. Indiana. Seems to be turning a corner.
8. Nebraska. Wishes it was turning a corner.
9. Michigan State. Needs a coaching overhaul.
10. Purdue. Considering injuries, not too shabby.
11. Northwestern. You just had to go and cock up the season for...
12. Illinois. You just had to let #11 cock up your season.

13. Maryland. Don't know what to say, but you're better than...









114.

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847badgerfan

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 14
« Reply #8 on: December 01, 2019, 02:04:18 PM »
Posted by Fearless, in the week 13 board, this morning. I think he meant to put it here.



Quote from: FearlessF on December 01, 2019, 10:34:55 AM

1. OSU
2. PSU
3. Wisconsin
4. Minnesota
5. Michigan
6. Iowa
7. Indiana
9. Illinois
10. MSU
10. Purdue
11. Nebraska
12. Maryland
----
13. Northwestern
14. Rutgers


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FearlessF

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 14
« Reply #9 on: December 01, 2019, 02:43:55 PM »
correct

I just can't seem to hit this the past few weeks

getting old and the stress of losing seasons is wearing on me
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Hawkinole

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 14
« Reply #10 on: December 01, 2019, 06:51:39 PM »
1. Ohio State
2. Wisconsin
3. Penn State
4. Michigan
5. Iowa
6. Minnesota
7. Indiana
8. Illinois
9. Michigan State
10. Purdue
11. Nebraska
13. Northwestern
12. Maryland
14. Rutgers


I see Lil Pig's contention that Iowa went 1-3 against 2 through 6, and is therefore 6th.  Minnesota went 1-2 against 2 through 6. Iowa had a more difficult schedule that included Penn State, Michigan and Rutgers from the East, whereas Minnesota played Penn State, Rutgers and Maryland.

The Massey poll of computer polls ranks Iowa 17th and Minnesota 18th. 

Minnesota played nonconference foes South Dakota State Univ. (W - 28-21) (8-4 FCS-team); Fresno State (W 38-35 2-OT) (4-8); and Georgia Southern (W 35-32) (7-5).


Iowa played nonconference foes Miami Ohio (W - 38-14) (7-5); Iowa State (W 18-17) (7-5); and Middle Tennessee State (W - 48-3)  (4-8 FBS-team).


Head-To-Head, Iowa defeated Minnesota. If I could I would rate Iowa and Minnesota at 5.5, but it isn't possible in this polling.

It has been an interesting season. Minnesota and Indiana made advances. Nebraska remains down more than many of us expected.



« Last Edit: December 02, 2019, 01:33:36 AM by Hawkinole »
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 14
« Reply #11 on: December 02, 2019, 01:59:52 AM »
Teams listed by opponents' records minus that team's results (SOS - conference games only):
41-31 Wisconsin
40-32 Michigan, Rutgers, Northwestern
39-33 Penn St
37-35 Nebraska
36-36 Maryland
35-37 Michigan St, Iowa, Purdue
34-38 Ohio St, 
32-40 Illinois
30-42 Minnesota, Indiana
.
So we see here that the Gophers, Illini, and Hoosiers took advantage of weak schedules to have upstart years.  That's not to dismiss them, many mediocre programs don't take advantage during such seasons, so good on them.
.
Rutgers and N'Western may have been awful for a good reason this year - SOS.  
.
Ohio State's weekly blowouts is what happens when the most talented team also has a weak conference schedule.  But a great team should blow out lesser teams, and that's what they did.  
.
Wisconsin earned its West title, for sure.
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 14
« Reply #12 on: December 02, 2019, 02:12:23 AM »
I wanted to post that as a precursor to these rankings.  I'm simply going to multiply conference SOS (above) with conference win% (who you played and how you did).  That's how they'll be ranked here:
1. OSU (.472)
2. Wisconsin (.442)
3. Penn St (.422)
4. Michigan (.370)
5.(tie) Minnesota & Iowa (.324) - sorry if this messes up the average
7. Indiana (.232)
8. Michigan St (.216)
9. Illinois (.197)
10. Nebraska (.171)
11. Purdue (.162)
12. N'Western (.062)
13. Maryland (.056)
14. Rutgers (.000)
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NorthernOhioBuckeye

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Re: B1G Power Rankings, Week 14
« Reply #13 on: December 02, 2019, 09:20:30 AM »
1. Ohio State - Proved on the field to this point. We'll know for sure after this weekend
---

2. Wisconsin - Best team not named tOSU in the B1G
3. Minnesota - Still a very good season. Just didn't have the horses to take down the Badgers.
4. Penn State - Didn't look that good vs Rutgers. Perhaps they were just playing out the schedule. 
5. Michigan - Looked good in the first half on offense, but just couldn't keep up down the stretch. 
6. Iowa - Iowa being Iowa. Not great, but pretty good.
---

7. Indiana - First winning B1G schedule in 25 years? Congrats
8. Illinois - Disappointing loss to NW, but still going bowling. 
9. Michigan State - Bowl eligible, barely. Struggled to beat Maryland. Not a good sign.
---

10. Nebraska - Gave Iowa a good game. Showed some life this year. But they have a long way to go to be relevant in the West. 
11. Purdue - Great game, just came up short. Bad news, no bowl. Good news, a lot of Freshmen got valuable experience this year. 
12. Northwestern - Good finish to a disappointing season. 
13. Maryland - Hung tough with Sparty.
14. Rutgers - Gave Penn St. a good game. 
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