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Topic: B1G 2018 O/U

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betarhoalphadelta

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B1G 2018 O/U
« on: May 01, 2018, 05:04:42 PM »
What say you? (you need to click to see the whole table).

<br /><br />

I think that's a fair number for Purdue, given the schedule. I think upside is more likely than downside, though.

Brutus Buckeye

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Re: B1G 2018 O/U
« Reply #1 on: May 01, 2018, 05:14:47 PM »
1919, 20, 21, 28, 29, 31, 34, 35, 36, 37, 42, 44
WWH: 1952, 54, 55, 57, 58, 60, 61, 62, 63, 65, 67, 68, 70, 72, 74, 75
1979, 81, 82, 84, 87, 94, 98
2001, 02, 04, 05, 06, 07, 08, 09, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: B1G 2018 O/U
« Reply #2 on: May 01, 2018, 06:55:35 PM »
20 years ago, imagine telling someone Nebraska and Tennessee's predicted wins for 2018 would be 5.5......
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

MarqHusker

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Re: B1G 2018 O/U
« Reply #3 on: May 01, 2018, 07:59:01 PM »
I like N under 5.5 but not at that moneyline.  Better value elsewhere.

Entropy

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Re: B1G 2018 O/U
« Reply #4 on: May 01, 2018, 08:54:58 PM »
UNL will win more than 5 games this year..

847badgerfan

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Re: B1G 2018 O/U
« Reply #5 on: May 01, 2018, 09:43:06 PM »
20 years ago, imagine telling someone Nebraska and Tennessee's predicted wins for 2018 would be 5.5......
Things change in 20 years. Or 70.

In 1950, Army or Minnesota would be favorites to win the MNC. Or Michigan.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

847badgerfan

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Re: B1G 2018 O/U
« Reply #6 on: May 01, 2018, 09:43:51 PM »
UNL will win more than 5 games this year..
I have them at 8.
U RAH RAH! WIS CON SIN!

Entropy

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Re: B1G 2018 O/U
« Reply #7 on: May 01, 2018, 09:46:29 PM »
heh at the "Or Michigan"

I'll be shocked if UNL hits 8, but I think they'll be bowling this year.   Good first step for Frost's first year at UNL

Brutus Buckeye

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Re: B1G 2018 O/U
« Reply #8 on: May 01, 2018, 09:52:08 PM »
Michigan got their azz kicked by Army in 1950. 27-6. 

They also lost to Illinois and Michigan State. They tied the Gophers.

But they did win the Rose Bowl that season. 
1919, 20, 21, 28, 29, 31, 34, 35, 36, 37, 42, 44
WWH: 1952, 54, 55, 57, 58, 60, 61, 62, 63, 65, 67, 68, 70, 72, 74, 75
1979, 81, 82, 84, 87, 94, 98
2001, 02, 04, 05, 06, 07, 08, 09, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19

MarqHusker

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Re: B1G 2018 O/U
« Reply #9 on: May 01, 2018, 10:01:04 PM »
I of course will likely have a different view come September 1, but I don't see 8 wins on that schedule.   I expect to convince myself that they will win 6 by then.

FearlessF

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Re: B1G 2018 O/U
« Reply #10 on: May 01, 2018, 10:54:57 PM »
I have UNL at 6 wins

5.5 is a good mark

I'll be satisfied with 6

7 or 8 and I'll be a firm believer in Frosty
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

Hawkinole

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Re: B1G 2018 O/U
« Reply #11 on: May 02, 2018, 12:13:21 AM »
I looked at Purdue's 5 and thought, "That's low." I looked at Purdue's schedule, and then thought, "That's about right."
I view Iowa as a 9-win team this season, because of the schedule, and my thought Clayton Thorson won't be moving so well, if he even plays. But Maryland and Iowa State could sneak out wins in Iowa City. Penn State and Wisconsin will be formidable, but Penn State will probably not be as formidable as the past 2-years, so there is a possible road win for Iowa. I suppose 8.5 would be a more accurate win projection, but Iowa has never won 8.5 games.

ELA

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Re: B1G 2018 O/U
« Reply #12 on: May 02, 2018, 07:56:18 AM »
8.5 seems low for MSU given the schedule.

Give them losses at PSU, and home against Michigan and Ohio State.  And?  Home against Northwestern?  Road at Nebraska?  After that, road at Arizona State or home against Purdue I guess are the next toughest.  They obviously could come up short, I can find 4 losses there.  But to get there they'd have to basically lose every game they could lose.  2016 wasn't that long ago, so that's why I don't bet.  But it seems like with the schedule being what it is, 8-4 would be a massive disappointment.

ALA2262

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Re: B1G 2018 O/U
« Reply #13 on: May 02, 2018, 08:50:29 AM »
%
8.5 seems low for MSU given the schedule.

Give them losses at PSU, and home against Michigan and Ohio State.  And?  Home against Northwestern?  Road at Nebraska?  After that, road at Arizona State or home against Purdue I guess are the next toughest.  They obviously could come up short, I can find 4 losses there.  But to get there they'd have to basically lose every game they could lose.  2016 wasn't that long ago, so that's why I don't bet.  But it seems like with the schedule being what it is, 8-4 would be a massive disappointment.
I have you in the CFP. Safe to say it will take more than 8 wins to get there. You return NINETEEN starters. Plus the PK and P. 92% of your Off production. 91 % of your Def production. From a team that won 9 regular season games playing tOSU and Michigan on the road. You have them at home and they set your O/U at 8.5!? Insane!

https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2018/1/31/16950222/2018-ncaa-football-returning-starters-experience
« Last Edit: May 02, 2018, 09:14:55 AM by ALA2262 »

 

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