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Topic: #4 Penn State (2-1, 5-1) at #3 Iowa (3-0, 6-0) Post-Game

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Hawkinole

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#4 Penn State (2-1, 5-1) at #3 Iowa (3-0, 6-0) Post-Game
« on: October 04, 2021, 12:54:28 AM »
Start time is 3:00 p.m. Central Time on Fox.
Iowa's defense has been masterful at take-aways. Leads the nation in turnover margin at +2.4. Penn State is 7th in the nation at turnover margin at +1.5.
Iowa's defense is 12th at YPG, and Penn State's defense is 34th at YPG.
Penn State is 2nd in scoring defense at 10.8, and Iowa is 3rd at 11.6.
Iowa is 34th in points per game at 33.2; Penn State is 63rd at 28.0 points per game, a surprising comparison statistic.
Iowa has a real good punt and kick returner, and top notch punting (44 yards per punt) whereas Penn State is (36 yard per punt) and field goal kicking (Iowa 88.89%) vs. (Penn State 71.43%).
According to Sagarin, Iowa is 10th in strength of schedule, and Penn State is 21st. And, I believe SOS is misleading because Sagarin seems to rank SOS as of the date the teams played rather than what it is today, so I am going to say Penn State's SOS is arguably somewhat stronger.
No predictions here, but homefield is a slight advantage for Iowa. But, as Lee Corso would say, "Not so fast my friend!"
Penn State is 10-4 in games played in Iowa City, whereas Iowa is 8-7 in games played in Pennsylvania, so throw out homefield advantage; it is visitingfield advantage.
« Last Edit: October 10, 2021, 01:39:17 AM by Hawkinole »
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Hawkinole

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Re: #4 Penn State (2-0, 5-0) at #3 Iowa (2-0, 5-0) Game Week
« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2021, 02:42:38 AM »
The early line I read is Iowa by 2.5 points. Penn State vs. Iowa odds: Opening line, spread, total for Week 6 Big Ten matchup - DraftKings Nation
Over/Under is 42.5. I suppose all this means Iowa 23 Penn State 20.
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LittlePig

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Re: #4 Penn State (2-0, 5-0) at #3 Iowa (2-0, 5-0) Game Week
« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2021, 07:08:49 AM »
Iowa and PSU both are on impressive winning streaks.

After losing its first 2 games in 2020,  Iowa has won 11 games in a row overall and really only 1 of those 11 wins was close.  Spencer Petras has been the starting QB for all 13 of Iowa's games in 2020 and 2021

2020
Pur 24, Iowa 20.-----  NW 21, Iowa 20 ----- Iowa 49, MSU 7 ------  Iowa 35, Minn 7 ------Iowa 41,  PSU 21 ----- Iowa 26, Neb 20 ------ Iowa 35, ILL 21 ------  Iowa 28, Wisc 7

2021
Iowa 34, Ind 6 -----  Iowa 27, ISU 17 ----- Iowa 30, KentSt 7 ----- Iowa 24, ColSt 14 -----  Iowa 51, MD 14

PSU has a streak of its own going,  after losing its first 5 games in 2020, PSU has won 9 games in a row since then.

2020
Ind 36, PSU 35. -----  OSU 38, PSU 25 ----- MD 35,  PSU 19. -----  Neb 30, PSU 23 ------ Iowa 41, PSU 21 ----- PSU 27, Mich 17 ----- PSU 23, Rut 7 ---- PSU 39, MSU 24 -----  PSU 56, ILL 21

2021
PSU 16, Wisc 10 ----- PSU 44, BallSt 13 ----PSU 28, Auburn 20 ----- PSU 38, Vill 17 -----  PSU 24, Ind 0

So PSU's last loss was to Iowa 41-21 in 2020 in Happy Valley.
« Last Edit: October 04, 2021, 07:23:39 AM by LittlePig »
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Cincydawg

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Re: #4 Penn State (2-0, 5-0) at #3 Iowa (2-0, 5-0) Game Week
« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2021, 07:11:36 AM »
I'm not sold on PSU yet, Iowa is looking strong, at home, to me, low scoring, something like 24-17 I'd guess.

Iowa wins.
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Temp430

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Re: #4 Penn State (2-0, 5-0) at #3 Iowa (2-0, 5-0) Game Week
« Reply #4 on: October 04, 2021, 07:11:45 AM »
Wish this game was at night when Kinnick is the most deadly.  
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LittlePig

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Re: #4 Penn State (2-0, 5-0) at #3 Iowa (2-0, 5-0) Game Week
« Reply #5 on: October 04, 2021, 07:37:30 AM »
Quote from: Temp430 on October 04, 2021, 07:11:45 AM
Wish this game was at night when Kinnick is the most deadly. 
Yes, how did a game between the #3 and #4 teams in the polls end up on FOX at 3pm CDT instead of in Prime time?

I am guessing the fact the Ok-Tex game is the same day threw things off.  ABC must have grabbed that game first and ESPN GameDay is going to Dallas instead of Iowa city to promote that game on ABC, which is always at 11am CDT every year.

Big Fox,  whatever the name of their pre-game show is, will be in Iowa City on Saturday.  Still not sure why Fox did not put it on Prime Time.  Maybe they got a baseball game on, I don't know.

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Cincydawg

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Re: #4 Penn State (2-0, 5-0) at #3 Iowa (2-0, 5-0) Game Week
« Reply #6 on: October 04, 2021, 07:43:14 AM »
We just had two games between top 12 teams at noon and 3:30, and ND Cincy was afternoon as well.  

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Mdot21

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Re: #4 Penn State (2-0, 5-0) at #3 Iowa (2-0, 5-0) Game Week
« Reply #7 on: October 04, 2021, 07:50:53 AM »
how the fk is Michigan-Nebraska a night game, but #4 at #3 not?
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Cincydawg

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Re: #4 Penn State (2-0, 5-0) at #3 Iowa (2-0, 5-0) Game Week
« Reply #8 on: October 04, 2021, 07:52:27 AM »
I had thought the 3:30 time slot was the most prestigious, maybe that has changed to night games now?

Michigan - Nebbie might have more viewers in general.

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Geolion91

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Re: #4 Penn State (2-0, 5-0) at #3 Iowa (2-0, 5-0) Game Week
« Reply #9 on: October 04, 2021, 08:17:54 AM »
Night games are certainly the rowdiest and most electric, but maybe afternoon games draw the largest TV ratings.  I understand why the Iowa fans would want a night game, I think the home field advantage is strongest at night.
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Cincydawg

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Re: #4 Penn State (2-0, 5-0) at #3 Iowa (2-0, 5-0) Game Week
« Reply #10 on: October 04, 2021, 08:24:07 AM »
That is my impression, TV prefers afternoon time slots for major games.

It's all about TV, and the benjamins.
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MrNubbz

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Re: #4 Penn State (2-0, 5-0) at #3 Iowa (2-0, 5-0) Game Week
« Reply #11 on: October 04, 2021, 08:45:55 AM »
Quote from: Temp430 on October 04, 2021, 07:11:45 AM
Wish this game was at night when Kinnick is the most deadly. 
Hawks beat M/tOSU last time during daylight hours
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847badgerfan

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Re: #4 Penn State (2-0, 5-0) at #3 Iowa (2-0, 5-0) Game Week
« Reply #12 on: October 04, 2021, 08:56:36 AM »
Just be happy we're not seeing this game at 11AM central. 

I'm happy (well, kinda) that UW probably won't have any more B1G Noon games this year. Not happy it's because they suck.
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GopherRock

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Re: #4 Penn State (2-0, 5-0) at #3 Iowa (2-0, 5-0) Game Week
« Reply #13 on: October 04, 2021, 08:58:25 AM »
Also, I believe Iowa is something like 5-2 against Top 10 teams at Kinnick since Captain Kirk took the helm. Mordor is where MNC hopes go to die. 
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