It's gonna be worse next year if they keep Fickell. Honestly, I think a bowl game this year is a toss-up.
E. Michigan: should be a win (2-1).
@ Penn State: L (2-2) (0-1)
MSU: toss up, but call it a win (3-2) (1-1)
@ UCLA: L (3-3) (1-2)
USC: L (3-4) (1-3)
@ Iowa: L (3-5) (1-4)
Rutgers: W (4-5) (2-4)
@ Maryland: toss-up
@ Purdue: W (5-5) (3-4)
Minnesota: toss-up
Those two games could very easily go against the Badgers--so could the MSU game. Right now Maryland looks decent, but it's September, so who knows. Also, How will this team react to being 3-5 with a three-game losing streak? If it's 2-6 because of a loss to MSU, they are cooked.
The good news is a 5-win season should guarantee a coaching change. Six and a bowl game? Should still get him canned. Seven and a bowl game, but uncompetitive against Penn State, USC, and Iowa? Should still get him canned, but probably will not. I'll be surprised if they win more than 7.
Oh, and the opener against Southern Illinois isn't exactly going to pack them in.