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Topic: 2022-2023 B1G Bowl Stream of Consciousness

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847badgerfan

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Bowl Stream of Consciousness
« Reply #14 on: December 27, 2022, 11:57:16 PM »
LET'S GO RED!!



Yeah, I'm still up. Fighting off a cold with some coffee and Johnnie Walker RED.
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bayareabadger

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Bowl Stream of Consciousness
« Reply #15 on: December 28, 2022, 01:03:25 AM »
Quote from: 847badgerfan on December 27, 2022, 11:57:16 PM
LET'S GO RED!!



Yeah, I'm still up. Fighting off a cold with some coffee and Johnnie Walker RED.
The old man's FourLoko (or vodka Redbull)
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Honestbuckeye

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Bowl Stream of Consciousness
« Reply #16 on: December 28, 2022, 01:14:48 AM »
9 minutes left.  Looking good.  
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bayareabadger

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Bowl Stream of Consciousness
« Reply #17 on: December 28, 2022, 01:26:52 AM »
Quote from: Honestbuckeye on December 28, 2022, 01:14:48 AM
9 minutes left.  Looking good. 
OkSU gonna get a shot.

UW dialed up a nice play, but a great defensive play stopped it. Time to tense up. 
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bayareabadger

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Bowl Stream of Consciousness
« Reply #18 on: December 28, 2022, 01:35:48 AM »
Well that was fun. Good guys win, finished above .500, something that was far from guaranteed after five games. 
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FearlessF

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Bowl Stream of Consciousness
« Reply #19 on: December 28, 2022, 01:36:05 AM »
good win
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847badgerfan

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Bowl Stream of Consciousness
« Reply #20 on: December 28, 2022, 08:52:19 AM »
I'll take it.
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847badgerfan

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Bowl Stream of Consciousness
« Reply #21 on: December 28, 2022, 09:03:56 AM »
Next up for the B1G we have Minnesota against Syracuse in NYC, but that's tomorrow. No B1G games today.

I was looking at the schedule, and the B1G teams are the "away" team for all 9 bowl games this year. Has that ever happened? Why is Michigan the "away" team when it's a higher seen than TCU?

Maybe bigten.org has it wrong?

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bayareabadger

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Bowl Stream of Consciousness
« Reply #22 on: December 28, 2022, 10:00:51 AM »
Quote from: 847badgerfan on December 28, 2022, 09:03:56 AM
Next up for the B1G we have Minnesota against Syracuse in NYC, but that's tomorrow. No B1G games today.

I was looking at the schedule, and the B1G teams are the "away" team for all 9 bowl games this year. Has that ever happened? Why is Michigan the "away" team when it's a higher seen than TCU?

Maybe bigten.org has it wrong?


I wonder if it’s just about jerseys.
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847badgerfan

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Bowl Stream of Consciousness
« Reply #23 on: December 28, 2022, 11:10:20 AM »
Michigan should be wearing blue tops, no?
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medinabuckeye1

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Bowl Stream of Consciousness
« Reply #24 on: December 28, 2022, 12:21:09 PM »
Congratulations Wisconsin. The B1G is now 1-0 and here is what is left (sorted by pointspread from most to least favorable to the B1G):

  • Minnesota -10 vs Cuse in the Pinstripe
  • Michigan -7.5 vs TCU in the Fiesta
  • Iowa -2.5 vs Kentucky in the Music City
  • Illinois even vs MsSt in the ReliaQuest
  • Maryland +1 vs NCST in the Duke's Mayo
  • Penn State +2.5 vs Utah in the Rose
  • Ohio State +6.5 vs Georgia in the Peach
  • Purdue +14.5 vs LSU in the Citrus

Nine total bowls with a chance for one more (which could involve two B1G teams):
  • One winner.
  • Three more favorites.
  • One pick.
  • Four underdogs.
  • Michigan is favored to get an extra game. They would be an underdog against UGA, not sure against tOSU*.
  • Ohio State is NOT favored to get an extra game. If they do, they'll be favored against TCU, not sure about Michigan*.

*My guess is that tOSU would be favored because the necessary win over UGA to get there would improve the perception of tOSU FAR more than Michigan's win over TCU would improve the perception of Michigan and this would likely be true even if tOSU won controversially in OT while Michigan won in a blowout. Thus:
  • If Michigan gets an extra game it will be as an underdog.
  • If Ohio State gets an extra game it will be as a favorite.

« Last Edit: December 28, 2022, 12:27:22 PM by medinabuckeye1 »
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Cincydawg

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Bowl Stream of Consciousness
« Reply #25 on: December 28, 2022, 01:54:53 PM »
I saw some ESPiN thing giving UGA a 58% change of beating OSU, which of course is near enough to a coin flip as to make whatever methodology used to be silly really.  Historically, a 7 point favorite wins about 2/3rds of the time, which I think is less than many would expect.  So, a third of the time we call it an upset, a suprise, a shock even.

Not really.  Outcomes in competitive games often hinge on the unpredictable.
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FearlessF

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Bowl Stream of Consciousness
« Reply #26 on: December 28, 2022, 02:32:41 PM »
so, yer sayin there's a chance?
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Cincydawg

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Re: 2022-2023 B1G Bowl Stream of Consciousness
« Reply #27 on: December 28, 2022, 03:38:41 PM »
There certainly is a chance, more than many think, if it's 1 in 3, which would be my guess.  OSU has a lot of talented players who know how to play and are well coached.

TCU has about the same apparent chance over UM.  I think "fans" tend to get way too up or down on a given team because of some single recent result.
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