Or you could look at CDC data: https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/pdfs/mm6924e2-H.pdf
3.7% in that age group who have a confirmed case of COVID need hospitalization. That's 3700 out of 100,000.
0.9% in that age group who have a confirmed case of COVID need ICU admission. That's 900 out of 100,000.
0.1% in that age group who have a confirmed case of COVID die. That's 100 out of 100,000.
Even if you assume a 10x difference between actual infections and confirmed infections (which wouldn't be the case in a football team population where they're being tested multiple times a week as a precaution), you can't get to 5 out of 100K. At best you could get to 10 out of 100K dying.
That guy is probably referring to maybe 5 out of 100,000 in that entire population have needed hospitalization so far regardless of whether they have COVID or not, or potentially [it's happened before] just pulling a statistic out of thin air.
Interesting data. So by those numbers, if you figure 14 teams times an 85 man roster, we can expect roughly 120 of these players to die if they play??
does anybody here believe that? Do you believe that? My guess is pretty much nobody does.
but why is that?
when you look at those CDC stats does it take into account how many of the people had pre-existing conditions or were susceptible to the virus? And subsequently how many of the Big Ten athletes would fall into that category versus be considered extremely healthy?
Also, those statistics go back to the beginning when, and I’m trying not to be political here, certain geographies had horrible spread rates hospitalization rates and death rates because let’s just say we didn’t know what we were doing. Is our performance better now? Have you at least improved any of the treatments, or catching it early?
Forget that guy. We all agree that this challenge is some type of balance between normal life/economic pain and actual death of real people, but we just have huge variety of opinions of where the best balance is.
given that the players, and their parents, have every opportunity to opt out or opt in, I think it is a tragic mistake to cancel football or at least it try. Other sports are figuring it out as they go and making it work.
if by some chance the other conferences make it through the season, the repercussions for the Big Ten and those who don’t play will be severe and long term.