With just two games remaining I can usually do a look-ahead that covers each team's best-case and worst-case scenarios. This year, with the teams so bunched up that is prohibitively complicated so what I will do instead is a projection for each team's finish but with the assumption that all games not involving the team in question go as projected by the tiers:
23-6/13-5 Maryland: Their last two games are @RU and vM and we project them to win both. If they do, they will be outright B1G Champs (regardless of what happens elsewhere). If they go 1-1 instead we project that they will win the B1G outright anyway. It lose their last two games they will finish 26-8/13-7 and we project that to be a five-way tie with PSU, IL, MSU, and UW for 1st through 5th place.
20-9/12-6 Michigan State: Their last two games are @PSU and vstOSU. We project them to win the home game and lose the road game. If they do, we project them to finish in a four-way tie for 2nd-5th with PSU, IL, and UW. They end up with the #4 seed in that scenario. If they go 2-0 instead we project that they would finish alone in 2nd place. If they lose their last two they will finish 20-11/12-8 and we project that to be tied with Iowa for 5th/6th.
20-9/12-6 Illinois: Their last two games are @tOSU and vs IA. We project them to win the home game and lose the road game. If they do, we project them to finish in a four-way tie for 2nd-5th with PSU, MSU, and UW. They end up with the #5 seed in that scenario. If they go 2-0 instead we project that they would finish alone in 2nd place. If they lose their last two they will finish 20-11/12-8 and we project that to be alone in 6th.
19-10/12-6 Wisconsin: Their last two games are vNU and @IU. We project them to win the home game and lose the road game. If they do, we project them to finish in a four-way tie for 2nd-4th with MSU, IL, and PSU. They end up with the #2 seed in that scenario. If they go 2-0 instead we project that they would finish alone in 2nd place. If they lose their last two they will finish 19-12/12-8 and we project that to be tied with Iowa for 5th/6th.
21-8/11-7 Penn State: Their last two games are vMSU and @NU and we project them to win both. If they do, we project them to finish in a four-way tie for 2nd-5th with IL, MSU, and UW. They end up with the #3 seed in that scenario. If they go 1-1 instead we project that they would finish tied with Iowa for 5th/6th. If they lose their last two they will finish 21-10/11-9 and we project that to be tied with Ohio State for 6th/7th. PSU would win that tie.
20-9/11-7 Iowa: Their last two games are vPU and @IL and we project them to win the home game and lose the road game. If they do, we project them to finish alone in sixth place. If they go 2-0 instead, they would simply replace Illinois in the four-way tie for 2nd-5th. If they lose their last two they will finish 20-11/11-9 and we project that to be tied with Ohio State for 6th/7th. Iowa would win that tie.
20-9/10-8 Ohio State: Their last two games are vIL and @MSU. We project them to win the home game and lose the road game. If they do, we project them to finish alone in seventh place. If they go 2-0 instead we project that they would finish tied with Iowa for 6th/7th but Ohio State would lose that tie and get the #7 seed anyway. If they lose their last two they will finish 20-11/10-10 and we project that to be tied with IU and M for 7th/8th/9th but Ohio State would win that tie and get the #7 seed anyway.
18-11/9-9 Michigan: Their last two games are vUNL and @UMD. We project them to win the home game and lose the road game. If they do, we project them to finish tied with IU for 8th/9th. Michigan wins that tie and would get the #8 seed. If they go 2-0 instead we project that they would finish tied with Ohio State for 7th/8th but Michigan would lose that tie and get the #8 seed anyway. If they lose their last two they will finish 18-13/9-11 and we project that to be tied with RU and PU for 9th/10th/11th. Michigan would win that tie and end up in the 8/9 game anyway.
18-11/9-9 Rutgers: Their last two games are vUMD and @PU. We project them to lose both. If they do, we project them to finish tied with Purdue for 10th/11th. Rutgers would win that tie and get the #10 seed. If they go 1-1 instead we project that they would finish tied with IU and M for 8th/9th/10th. If they go 2-0 instead, we project that they would finish tied with Ohio State for 7th/8th. Rutgers would lose that tie and get the #8 seed.
18-11/8-10 Indiana: Their last two games are vMN and vUW. We project them to win both. If they do, we project them to finish tied with M for 8th/9th. Indiana would lose that tie (which only determines jersey color in the 8/9 game) and get the #9 seed. If they go 1-1 instead it depends on whether the loss is to MN or UW. If they go 1-1 with a loss to UW they would finish 9-11 and we project that to be tied with RU and PU for 9th/10th/11th. If they go 1-1 with a loss to MN they would finish 9-11 and we project that to be tied with RU, PU, and MN for 9th/10th/11th/12th. If they lose their last two they will finish 18-13/8-12 and we project that to be alone in 12th place.
15-14/8-10 Purdue: Their last two games are @IA and vsRU. We project them to win the home game and lose the road game. If they do, we project them to finish tied with RU for 10th/11th. Purdue loses that tie and gets the #11 seed and a game next Wednesday in Indianapolis. If they go 2-0 instead, we project that they would finish tied with IU and M for 8th/9th/10th. If they lose their last two they will finish 15-16/8-12 and we project that to be tied with MN for 11th/12th.
13-15/7-11 Minnesota: Their last two games are @IU and vUNL. We project them to win the home game and lose the road game. If they do, we project them to finish alone in 12th place. If they go 2-0 instead, we project that they would finish tied with IU, RU, and PU for 9th/10th/11th/12th. If they lose their last two they will finish 13-17/7-13 and we project that that would be alone in 12th place.
7-21/2-16 Northwestern: Their last two games are @M and @MN and we project them to lose both. Nonetheless, we project them to finish tied with Nebraska for 13th/14th and win that tie to get the #13 seed. If they were to go 1-1 or 2-0 we project that they would finish alone in 13th place.
7-22/2-16 Nebraska: Their last two games are @UW and vPSU and we project them to lose both. If they do, we project that they will finish tied with Northwestern for 13th/14th. They would lose that tie and get the #14 seed. If they go 1-1 or 2-0 we project that they would finish alone in 13th place.
