Before the UGA-Texas game, I glanced at scores of course, and noted Texas had been in some close ones against lesser quality teams, and of course got ambushed in the Swamp. On the other hand, they have a ton of talent, enough to be very dangerous. They beat OU in a rivalry of course and Vandy, who looks pretty solid. But like GaTech, a team with a nice record but a lot of close wins might not be all that and "regress to the mean".
Anyway, we all know real rivalry games seem often to go against the spread.