concacaf wcq kicks back up this week. usmnt has 3 games, must have at least 6 points from this round. 7+ preferred, but canada playing really well so far this cycle could be hard to get result there.
6 points leaves us with needing only 3 from final round to have a 90%+ chance of auto qualifying and a 100% chance to at least be in the playoff.
7 points leaves us needing only 4 points from final round to have a 99%+ chance to auto qualify.
9 points puts us at the 90/100% chance mentioned above before final round, and leaves us needing only 4 points to 100% auto qualify.
1-4 points and we'll need at least 6 points in final round.
0 points and we'll need all 9 from final round to have hope.