Note that we have never seen two teams over .900 at the same time but we are REALLY close to three of them now and, at least theoretically, two or even all three could get there in the next two years:
- .9083, Ohio State is 99-10 over the eight years from 2012-2019
- .9027, Bama is 102-11 over the eight years from 2012-2019
- .8938, Clemson is 101-12 over the eight years from 2012-2019
What each would need to do over the next two years to hit at least .900 for 2012-2021:
Ohio State:
The Buckeyes will make it if they lose three or less games over the next two years. 27-4 over the next two years would get the Buckeyes to exactly .900 at 126-14 but that would take 31 games which isn't possible on the existing schedule. At this point the max per year is 15 (12 scheduled, CCG, CFP semi-final, CFP Championship). Assuming a maximum of 30 games, the Buckeyes would have to lose three or less games over the next two years. The number of wins, as a practical matter, does not matter. If the Buckeyes went 27-3 in 30 games (2 B1GCG appearances, 2 CFPCG appearances) they would be 126-13 or .9065. If they managed to miss the B1GCG and the CFPCG both years and only played 26 games with three losses that would get them to 122-13 or .9037.
Bama:
The Tide will make it if they lose three or less games over the next two years provided that they make at least one SECCG or CFPCG appearance*. 24-3 over the next two years would get the Tide to exactly .900 at 126-14 in 27 games which works mathematically (24 scheduled plus at least two CFP/bowl games plus one either SECCG or CFPCG). 27-3 (two SECCG's, two CFPCG's) would get them to 129-14 or .9021. If they somehow managed to miss the SECCG and CFPCG both years and only played 26 games with three losses that would be just short.
Clemson:
The Tigers will make if if they lose two or less games over the next two years provided that they make at least one ACCCG or CFPCG appearance*. 28-2 (two ACCCG's, two CFPCG's) would get them to 129-14 or .9021 while 25-2 (only one combined ACCCG or CFPCG appearance) would get them to 126-14 or .9000.
*This is because 23-3 for Bama or 24-2 for Clemson would get them to 125-14 or .8993, just short. Thus, if Bama lost only three games the next two years but missed both SECCG's and both CFPCG's or if Clemson lost only two games the next two years but missed both ACCCG's and both CFPCG's they would come up just short. As a practical matter it would be nearly impossible for Bama to somehow go 23-3 over the next two years but miss the SECCG and CFPCG both years and it would be even less likely for Clemson to go 24-2 but miss the ACCCG and CFPCG both years.
It is mathematically possible for all three to make it to .900 for 2012-2021 which would be astounding because we've never even had two at the same time let alone three.
