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Topic: The 80% Club

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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: The 80% Club
« Reply #28 on: July 23, 2018, 03:03:59 PM »
Where are you compiling these numbers? 

847badgerfan

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Re: The 80% Club
« Reply #29 on: July 23, 2018, 03:08:39 PM »
Where are you compiling these numbers?
In his head. Big giant brain.
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Entropy

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Re: The 80% Club
« Reply #30 on: July 23, 2018, 03:10:23 PM »
Replying to @Kris61 and Entropy:

I agree that Boise dominates the space that they are in, but that doesn't make it the same thing as doing it against P5 competition.  For that matter, if all we are talking about is dominating the space you are in then a Pee Wee team that goes undefeated should be discussed alongside Bama.  
Dominating Div III isn't the same as Div I... we get it.  But I don't see the harm.  We all discount it to an extent.  Still, nobody else is doing it.  So that is an accomplishment in itself.

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: The 80% Club
« Reply #31 on: July 23, 2018, 03:13:38 PM »
If I were to list Boise State's best 10 wins in their ~20 years or so of FBS play, the first 5 would probably be impressive for anyone, and then I'm afraid they'd fall off a cliff.

2001 - beat #8 Fresno St
2003 - beat #19 TCU
2006 - beat #7 Oklahoma
2008 - beat #17 Oregon
2009 - beat #16 Oregon, beat #3 TCU
2010 - beat #13 Va Tech, beat #20 Utah
2011 - beat #19 Georgia
2014 - beat #12 Arizona
2017 - beat #19 San Diego St

Okay, so 5 of the 11 wins over ranked teams are non-P5 programs.  Those would be sort of ho-hum wins for an Alabama or Ohio State, right (except maybe TCU at #3).  Anyways, look at what's missing.  In the seasons skipped over, Boise either lost to any ranked teams they played, or more often, did not play even one ranked team.  

Now let's look at 2016 Alabama, who lost to Clemson in the national championship game.
beat #20 USC
beat #19 Ole Miss
beat #16 Arkansas
beat #9 Tennessee
beat #6 Texas A&M
beat #15 LSU
beat #16 Auburn
beat #15 Florida
beat #4 Washington
The Tide had nearly as many wins over ranked teams in one season as Boise has had....ever.  No, this Alabama season isn't the norm.  No, Boise hasn't had as many opportunities, etc.  That's all true.  But fair or not, Boise hasn't amassed it's impressive winning percentage against anything resembling even an average schedule.  Credit to them for their record, credit to them for moving up in conference quality through the years, but they're still not on even ground with the P5 programs.



« Last Edit: July 23, 2018, 03:16:08 PM by OrangeAfroMan »
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: The 80% Club
« Reply #32 on: July 23, 2018, 03:14:29 PM »
Where are you compiling these numbers?
From a website that you can specify the seasons you want to look at.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

FearlessF

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Re: The 80% Club
« Reply #33 on: July 23, 2018, 03:15:10 PM »
Boise's all-time strength of schedule, by year, since joining FBS:
106
107
106
102
113
looks like the Huskers and Sooners in the old Big 8
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Entropy

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Re: The 80% Club
« Reply #34 on: July 23, 2018, 03:15:33 PM »

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: The 80% Club
« Reply #35 on: July 23, 2018, 03:16:58 PM »
In his head. Big giant brain.
You're too kind.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

FearlessF

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Re: The 80% Club
« Reply #36 on: July 23, 2018, 03:17:12 PM »
From a website that you can specify the seasons you want to look at.
http://football.stassen.com/records/
"Courage; Generosity; Fairness; Honor; In these are the true awards of manly sport."

Entropy

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Re: The 80% Club
« Reply #37 on: July 23, 2018, 03:24:56 PM »
I mentioned earlier that TO was the power behind UNL's run.  He joined the Husker staff in 1964 and retired in 1997.  During his time with UNL, they won 83.211% of their games. 

Entropy

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Re: The 80% Club
« Reply #38 on: July 23, 2018, 03:26:31 PM »
and if you take the years to was the OC...... then from 1969 to 1997 TO won 84.366% of his games. (TO was the HC and OC for UNL from 1973 to 1997)

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: The 80% Club
« Reply #39 on: July 23, 2018, 04:12:13 PM »
Wow. Purdue's best 10-year [post-war] stretch was 1960-1969, at 0.693 winning percentage. So they don't have a decade above 70%.

Even Tiller's best stretch, his first 10 years, 1997-2006, was just BARELY over 60%, at 0.605. Even going one year farther to his years 2-11 dropped back below 60%.

847badgerfan

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Re: The 80% Club
« Reply #40 on: July 23, 2018, 04:19:17 PM »
Paul Chryst is clipping along at 83 percent for UW. Only 7 years to go.
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rolltidefan

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Re: The 80% Club
« Reply #41 on: July 23, 2018, 05:02:50 PM »
does anyone have a 90% decade?

next season (if i did my math correct) IF bama has either 13+ wins or only 1 loss (even at 11-1) they will top 90%.

my math:
as it is now, last decade (08-17) 125-14-0 (.89928)
take away 12-2 season (08) and replace with any of the following gets above 90%: 11-1 (.90511), 12-1 (.90580), 13-2 (.90000), 13-1 (.90648), 14-1 (.90714), 15-0 (.91427).

 

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