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Arizona isn't winning anything, because our governor's face is endlessly obscured by a former president's ball sack.  

13,000 dead Arizonans, and most of those would have voted for him in the next election.  Ooops!

This is a good example of how an "analysis" can be flawed, by seizing on what one HOPES is true, without challenging that belief.  IF we had two roughly comparable states and one shut down and the other didn't, we'd have a point of comparison.  Just to assert CA is dropping because of draconian measures of course ignores similar declines in other states without such measures.

But, it's supportive of one's initial bias, so don't look further.

Deaths/Million

Lots of Lockdown states on that list, eh?

Everyone bitches about California, but it's not in the top half of either of those lists.  No credit for the draconian measures actually working, I see. 

If California is divided into north/south halves Southern California makes the Top 15 of the Deaths/1M pop list at +1,700 Deaths/1M. Which follows the trends seen in Arizona, Las Vegas, and what's going on in NW Mexico. 

Northern California more so parallels the rates seen in Washington/Oregon.

In other words, the hotter, sunnier, desert-y Southwest region has a distinct path of numbers different, despite state borders, from the cooler, rainier, Northwest region from the Bay Area up through Seattle.

Arizona isn't winning anything, because our governor's face is endlessly obscured by a former president's ball sack. 

13,000 dead Arizonans, and most of those would have voted for him in the next election.  Ooops!

You really are either totally blind to reality or just don't care to see the truth. 

Go talk to any Trump supporter in Arizona and see if any of them think that Ducey was following Trump and his way of handling Covid.

You will find that most if not all thing that Ducey has been almost as bad as the Democratic governors of other states.  

Ducey had plans to run for Senate since he is term limited as governor, however because he has alienated his base (very large cross section being Trump supporters) by what is perceived as an overaggressive power grab and has no chance to win, he has recently stated he will not run for senate.

Georgia his a peak in mid-January of around 7,400 reported new cases, and then the case rate was cut in half, in three weeks, with no additional governmental restrictions.  I don't personally see any change in habits around me, but it certainly is possible the numbers scared people into staying home more or avoiding others.

And the Holiday impact is possible of course, air travel was up considerably.

I still don't have a good explanation for these bumps and drops.

Things get better, and people let their guard down.

I believe this is definitely a significant contributing factor in the "waves."