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Topic: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas

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847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #9940 on: October 28, 2020, 04:56:33 PM »
...

Now they’re hit with a renewed restriction — shutting down dining rooms again — that will cost them more significant revenue. This is devastating to a backbone of Illinois’ economy. 

“All I can say is that there are a lot of tears in this place,” restaurateur Rick Bayless told the Tribune. He fears for the future of his operation, which includes Frontera Grill and Topolobampo, two of Chicago’s premier restaurants. “We didn’t know if we could make it to the end of the year anyway, and this will about cinch it.”

...

Like many employers, Pete Bournas of Psistaria Greek Taverna in Lincolnwood has endured a lifetime’s worth of turmoil since COVID-19 hit, but he also has risen to the challenge to protect his family business, his workers and customers. Psistaria serves delicious Greek fare (we’re fans). He had just reopened after remodeling when the pandemic forced him to close. He shifted the business model to takeout food and then added a large tent in the parking lot for outdoor summer dining. Business was finally humming again with socially distant dining indoors — and then came Pritzker’s order this week to close his dining room.

“I worry about the restaurant. I worry about my employees,” he tells us. “I have 40 people on staff that I’m going to have to juggle days and make sure they can put food on their own table. I’m extremely worried, but I try not to show it."

...
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Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #9941 on: October 28, 2020, 05:02:00 PM »
Hospitality won't make it aside from the Big Guys, and they are going to be hammered without bail outs.

That means folks who own the buildings will get hit, workers get hit, and so on down the line.  If we shut down again, it could end the economy as we know it.

FearlessF

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #9942 on: October 28, 2020, 05:04:14 PM »
It may have worked in Asia pretty well, and we don't know how bad things would be without masks.

oh, I'm sure masks are somewhat effective.  Things would obviously be worse w/o them.

So, Asia just hasn't had the percentage of cases or deaths as most of the rest of the world???

different strain or different behaviors (forced or otherwise) or different something??
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847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #9943 on: October 28, 2020, 05:04:31 PM »
Florida is not going to shut down again, aside from maybe Miami via local mandate, and maybe some of the college areas. 

The rest of the state is doing pretty good.

Restaurants are not causing this spread. It's parties and other large gatherings.
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847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #9944 on: October 28, 2020, 05:06:01 PM »
oh, I'm sure masks are somewhat effective.  Things would obviously be worse w/o them.

So, Asia just hasn't had the percentage of cases or deaths as most of the rest of the world???

different strain or different behaviors (forced or otherwise) or different something??
CCP is not being truthful in their reporting.

Japan and South Korea are essentially islands (I know SK is not, but when your only neighbor is North Korea, it may as well be).
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FearlessF

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #9945 on: October 28, 2020, 05:10:12 PM »
I'd like to think that if everyone wore a mask properly and every time they went out or got close to another person the virus would be defeated, but I'm just not believing it.
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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #9946 on: October 28, 2020, 05:13:37 PM »
I don't agree that it's random chance.  Viruses mutate and evolve in pretty predictable ways.  There's a reason they tend to mutate toward the weaker and less deadly, otherwise they choke themselves out.  Arguably the Spanish Flu did exactly that.

But now I'm picking nits, which is what engineers tend to do, especially with one another.  I'd say you and I are probably about 95% agreed on most of this stuff. :)
Well, most mutations are bad. By that I don't mean "more dangerous", I mean most mutations make the virus less effective at being a successful virus. 

Which makes sense. You've mutated to be so good at what you do that you've created a global pandemic. You're on top of the evolutionary heap! Where do you have to go from there but down? 

So I agree that viruses tend to mutate toward weaker, because if they get TOO good at killing people, then they usually don't spread as quickly. 

But the bold parts are important words, because they signify that these tendencies aren't hard laws of nature that are never controverted. 

So yeah, we agree. I just hate when people assume that we won't see a more dangerous mutation because we don't usually see that. As the Spanish Flu showed, maybe it choked itself out more quickly regarding how many people overall it infected, but it killed a HELL of a lot more people than we think the original strain would have which was less deadly. 

Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #9947 on: October 28, 2020, 05:21:07 PM »
I'd like to think that if everyone wore a mask properly and every time they went out or got close to another person the virus would be defeated, but I'm just not believing it.
Of course it wouldn't be defeated.  A mask is at best an incomplete and only partially effective measure, but it's likely better than nothing.

Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #9948 on: October 28, 2020, 05:23:50 PM »
oh, I'm sure masks are somewhat effective.  Things would obviously be worse w/o them.

So, Asia just hasn't had the percentage of cases or deaths as most of the rest of the world???

different strain or different behaviors (forced or otherwise) or different something??
There is some evidence for different strain.  Mask wearing of course is socially mandated in effect in most Asian countries, including places like Hong Kong where the numbers MAY be accurate.  Africa is also not seeing high rates of infection.

There is a LOT about this I do not understand at all, I've said for months I think we're missing something important.

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #9949 on: October 28, 2020, 05:32:33 PM »
oh, I'm sure masks are somewhat effective.  Things would obviously be worse w/o them.

So, Asia just hasn't had the percentage of cases or deaths as most of the rest of the world???

different strain or different behaviors (forced or otherwise) or different something??
The sciencedaily article I posted a few days ago regarding strains might mean quite a bit here. The strains that appeared in Europe in Jan/Feb have pretty much taken over, which suggests they're much more transmissible than the original Wuhan strain. 

So you couple aggressive containment measures that started before those mutations with limited opportunity for those mutations to have been introduced into Asian countries, AND a very mask-friendly culture, and to me it gives you an explanation for why they haven't gotten hit on the 2nd wave. 



betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #9950 on: October 28, 2020, 05:48:43 PM »
I'd like to think that if everyone wore a mask properly and every time they went out or got close to another person the virus would be defeated, but I'm just not believing it.
Yeah, but you have to think about how most people consider masks...

  • "I wear a mask every time I go out! I wear them at the store, at work, when I'm getting my hair cut, etc!"
  • "But didn't you just have your three closest friends over for a dinner party at home without a mask?"
  • "Yeah, but I'm sure they're safe. They wear masks a lot too!"
  • "And then didn't you take your kids to a birthday party with their friends and all their parents were there, without masks?"
  • "Yeah, but the party was outside, not inside. That's safe, right?"
  • "And then didn't you go to a family event with your siblings and parents for Labor Day? Without masks?"
  • "Yeah, but MY family doesn't have COVID, they're safe!"

We wear masks around strangers, because stranger danger. And then we don't have the same policy around people we know personally, because we have a natural human instinct to think they're safer than strangers. This is human behavior. I'm guilty of it too. 

utee94

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #9951 on: October 28, 2020, 06:25:41 PM »
I don't think outdoor spread is really much of a thing, so that birthday party was fine.

I mean, sitting directly next to an infected person for an hour, under a low canopy, with no breeze at all?  Maybe.

But that's not the way any outdoor events I've attended, have gone.

« Last Edit: October 28, 2020, 06:45:22 PM by utee94 »

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #9952 on: October 28, 2020, 11:15:21 PM »
Hospitality won't make it aside from the Big Guys, and they are going to be hammered without bail outs.

That means folks who own the buildings will get hit, workers get hit, and so on down the line.  If we shut down again, it could end the economy as we know it.
Yeah, we'll go back to living in caves and using the barter system.....
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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #9953 on: October 28, 2020, 11:45:18 PM »
Yeah, we'll go back to living in caves and using the barter system.....
Have you ever considered that hyperbole isn't the best discussion strategy? 

 

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