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The next couple of weeks will tell us a lot... 

Below is the graph of cases vs deaths with a 3-week lag built in between the two. We saw during the summer spike that deaths largely followed the 3-week delayed trend line of cases. Since Sep 29, the case numbers have increased markedly, so we'll see if anything has meaningfully changed to keep our death rate down.

Unless it takes us down.

As I said before, starting a trade war is like setting your house on fire to ruin your neighbor's property value.

A) It won’t take us down. It’ll however only make us stronger. They need us more than we need them. By a lot.

B) Bad analogy. 

President Donald Trump said Monday that he will take a coronavirus test before his next debate with Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden later this week.

Is that happening?Hope so

The next couple of weeks will tell us a lot...

Below is the graph of cases vs deaths with a 3-week lag built in between the two. We saw during the summer spike that deaths largely followed the 3-week delayed trend line of cases. Since Sep 29, the case numbers have increased markedly, so we'll see if anything has meaningfully changed to keep our death rate down.


[img width=500 height=242.969]https://i.imgur.com/r5vS1r5.png[/img]

This graph actually shows the upward trend in cases began somewhere around September 15th.  If three weeks is the appropriate lag time, then I would have expected the deaths to begin trending upward two weeks ago, around 10/6.

This graph actually shows the upward trend in cases began somewhere around September 15th.  If three weeks is the appropriate lag time, then I would have expected the deaths to begin trending upward two weeks ago, around 10/6.

Well, there was a weird dip in the 7-day MA of cases between about Sep 6 and Sep 18, which didn't seem to show up in the 7-day MA of deaths 3 weeks later. 

But if you look at the 7-day MA of cases, it was pretty stable between late Aug and Sep 29 with the exception of that weird trough. 

I can't explain why that trough didn't show up as a decrease in the daily deaths 3 weeks later. 

But hey, I'll give him credit. Trump is known for punching down...

...in this case, the national approval ratings re: coronavirus are much higher for Fauci than Trump, so he's finally punching up!

I thought we agreed the politics was for the other thread?  Your TDS fits better over there. 

Well to be fair the president was criticizing Dr. Fauci's ability to throw a baseball so it is sports related