Perhaps the BEST B1G Forum anywhere, here at College Football Fan Site, CFB51!!!

My feelings are all hurt.

hoping with you!

Also been thinking that 2020 is the new cuss number.



As in, go 2020 yourself.

The wife thinks the French are "ungovernable" and will do whatever they feel like and that contributes to this latest outbreak.  She was commenting back in August about how they all went on vacation as usual and partied hard.  There could be something to that, but now they are approaching a true crisis phase.  

Spain and the UK are in similar dire straits.  Italy not quite yet.  The "area under the curve" model is incorrect as there are significant differences by country.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/05/paris-to-be-put-on-maximum-alert-with-more-covid-19-restrictions-.html

I don't really understand why this is happening now in Europe suddenly.  The climate is not really a factor as yet.

Italy is up modestly, but France, Spain, and the UK are all up sharply to very high levels.

The wife thinks the French are "ungovernable" and will do whatever they feel like and that contributes to this latest outbreak.  She was commenting back in August about how they all went on vacation as usual and partied hard.  There could be something to that, but now they are approaching a true crisis phase. 

Spain and the UK are in similar dire straits.  Italy not quite yet.  The "area under the curve" model is incorrect as there are significant differences by country.

It's happening in Europe because those countries stopped adhering to the super-strict restrictions and guidelines.  People accustomed to living in free countries can only be suppressed for so long, and then behavior returns to the norm.  The Germans have always been great rule followers, but it can't last forever even there.  Eventually they'll see a second wave, unless the government imposes martial law, permanently.

And I disagree that the "area under the curve" model is incorrect.  This second wave is actually more proof that it IS correct, but that those countries locked down too hard and too fast, and not enough of their population was infected early, so they had not yet exhausted their area under the curve.  Eventually they will.  Eventually we all will, and then this novel coronavirus retreats to just one more in a group of viruses that affect humans annually.  It won't be as severe, because it will have already affected the most vulnerable in the population.

This virus isn't going away.  Ever.  We will have no choice but to learn to live with it among us.

I'm not pessimistic, just realistic, based on all of our previous encounters with coronaviruses.

And it's not really doom and gloom-- once the novelty wears off, it won't do anywhere near as much damage.  Based on hospitalization and death rates in Europe now during their second wave, compared to the devastation it caused in the first wave, there's evidence suggesting we're already on our way to that outcome, globally.

I hope you get to see your son!