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Topic: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas

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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6468 on: July 08, 2020, 04:39:12 PM »
Quote from: Riffraft on July 08, 2020, 04:04:07 PM
Arizona had a record number of death reported (117) the other day. Everybody harped on it, turns out that a fair number of deaths were from people who had died as far back as April, but were just now getting reported. ICU usage is at 84% with 85% of them being non-Covid cases. As I stated earlier the hospitalization rate has gone from 11% to 5% of cases. And a good part of the increase in hospital usage has come from elective things that people had been putting off either by choice or by force.
Yeah, I saw the AZ number yesterday and it was eye-popping. Hadn't seen the clarification on it being a lag. I'll keep my eye on that. 

I gotta say that if you're at 84% ICU usage and 85% of those are non-COVID, that means that you probably don't have enough ICU capacity... If you're at 71% capacity without factoring in COVID, that doesn't give you much room for outlier effects. 
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Entropy

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6469 on: July 08, 2020, 04:47:35 PM »
Quote from: Cincydawg on July 08, 2020, 04:15:34 PM
Georgia is exploding in cases, and hospitalizations are going up pretty fast as well, reported deaths remain quite low however.

https://www.ajc.com/news/coronavirus-georgia-covid-dashboard/jvoLBozRtBSVSNQDDAuZxH/

Hospital beds have gone from 800 to 2,000 in a month.  New cases per day from 600 to  nearly 3,500.  Deaths remain around 15-20 per day.

I don't understand it.  We were walking today and most people wear masks now unless they are well clear of anyone else and they take steps to stay clear when possible.  This area I'd opine is mostly well educated people, so that may not be a pervasive situation.




We have seen data that suggest poor urban communities have been hit harder than wealthier suburbs... I believe that poor white neighborhoods will soon join that group has one of the hardest hit.  
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Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6470 on: July 08, 2020, 04:50:17 PM »
The local map suggests the immigrant communities have been hardest hit around here.  There is one rural county east of us 100 miles that went red.

Atlanta in the city has not yet reported high rates of infection.
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Entropy

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6471 on: July 08, 2020, 04:57:22 PM »
nationally I believe African Americans make up about 1/4 of the total deaths, yet they are 13% of the population.
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longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6472 on: July 08, 2020, 05:25:56 PM »
Quote from: Entropy on July 08, 2020, 04:57:22 PM
nationally I believe African Americans make up about 1/4 of the total deaths, yet they are 13% of the population.
and here is where I could make a snarky comment but I shall not
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847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6473 on: July 08, 2020, 06:23:29 PM »
It's the damn kiddies, dammit.
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Big Beef Tacosupreme

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6474 on: July 08, 2020, 09:27:02 PM »
Quote from: longhorn320 on June 29, 2020, 09:02:45 PM
yes we know your view on this

I think youre wrong


Unfortunately, Texas has now joined the 100 deaths per day club.  

Still 12 days to go until 7/20. #longhorn320
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Brutus Buckeye

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6475 on: July 08, 2020, 10:08:07 PM »
Saw this on another board. Posters are all anonymous, of course, so take it with a grain of salt. 

friend of mine is an AD for a low/mid D1 in the northeast.  His opinion is that there will be some college sports this season, with fans possible, but only immediate family of the athlete, and a maximum of 4 in that group.  Cancellations/forfeiture of games will be so prevalent, that there will be no official conference championships or playoffs.  Some schools within some conferences will cancel the fall sports altogether, some will carry on to the extent that they can.  There will be games that were on the schedule, and a day before, they are cancelled.  There will be last minute substitutions of a game against a team down the street, regardless of division.  Lots of contests between D1, D2, D3, and even NAIA and JC, just because of convenience and to get some games in. It will basically be an exhibition season. 


so if the Wolverines come to town, and OSU has to cancel, then they will head "down the street" and play Otterbein or Ohio Dominican? That seems pretty far fetched. 
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Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6476 on: July 09, 2020, 07:03:27 AM »
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Benthere2

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6477 on: July 09, 2020, 08:06:51 AM »
https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/college/2020/07/08/ohio-state-halts-college-sports-workouts-covid-19-tests/5402926002/

OSU shuts down practices due to COVID testing results

I am getting more worried about a football season happening without a vaccine

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Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6478 on: July 09, 2020, 08:10:05 AM »
I can't say I am "worried" about it, I've given up.  Maybe a few games are played, but if so, what can that mean?

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847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6479 on: July 09, 2020, 09:33:41 AM »
7 positives in the Wisconsin AD (out of 450 tests). Not sure how many (or if any) are football.
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Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6480 on: July 09, 2020, 09:48:09 AM »
Statistically, one might surmise 3-4 of those positives have personal interactions with players and could have transmitted the virus.  

If one player infects 2 others and they infect 2 others before it's caught .... exponents.
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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6481 on: July 09, 2020, 12:05:04 PM »
Quote from: Big Beef Tacosupreme on July 08, 2020, 09:27:02 PM
Unfortunately, Texas has now joined the 100 deaths per day club. 
Looks like Florida joined that elite group today. 
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