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Topic: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas

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847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6118 on: June 30, 2020, 01:12:35 PM »
Quote from: bwarbiany on June 30, 2020, 12:30:09 PM
Why is Texas' CFR lower than nationally? I have no clue, but it is.

Texans have bigger immune systems.
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Big Beef Tacosupreme

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6119 on: June 30, 2020, 01:20:09 PM »
Quote from: longhorn320 on June 30, 2020, 12:11:09 PM
your 2% death rate is based on early data

I think todays death rate is between .5% and 1%

no way theres a 40 day lag time its closer to 18 days


There's death rate, and there's test rate as a proportion of tested individuals.  I'm referring to the latter.
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longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6120 on: June 30, 2020, 01:25:35 PM »
Quote from: bwarbiany on June 30, 2020, 01:05:49 PM
Hey, I hope you're right...

I just wish you could back up your assertions with data or argument beyond "trust me".
well we Texans never let facts get in the way
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FearlessF

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6121 on: June 30, 2020, 01:28:29 PM »
Quote from: 847badgerfan on June 30, 2020, 01:12:35 PM
Texans have bigger immune systems.
along with bigger hats and belt buckles
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longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6122 on: June 30, 2020, 01:28:35 PM »
Quote from: Big Beef Tacosupreme on June 30, 2020, 01:20:09 PM
There's death rate, and there's test rate as a proportion of tested individuals.  I'm referring to the latter.
and Im saying the more you test the closer you get to the true number of positive cases and the death rate will go down
« Last Edit: June 30, 2020, 01:35:55 PM by longhorn320 »
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longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6123 on: June 30, 2020, 01:29:32 PM »
Quote from: FearlessF on June 30, 2020, 01:28:29 PM
along with bigger hats and belt buckles
sometimes I think you guys are all hat and no cattle
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FearlessF

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6124 on: June 30, 2020, 01:31:26 PM »
we have better cattle in Iowa, because we have better grain to feed them
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longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6125 on: June 30, 2020, 01:35:37 PM »
Quote from: FearlessF on June 30, 2020, 01:31:26 PM
we have better cattle in Iowa, because we have better grain to feed them
sounds kinda corny to me
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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6126 on: June 30, 2020, 01:37:08 PM »
Quote from: longhorn320 on June 30, 2020, 01:28:35 PM
and Im saying the more you test the closer you get to the true number of positive cases and the death rate will go down
That is true. 

The question is thus: is the significant increase in positive tests over the past 2 weeks due to increased testing, increased spread, or a bit of both? 

If it is at the very least "a bit of both", I expect the daily death counts to start increasing again. 
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847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6127 on: June 30, 2020, 01:45:16 PM »
Median age of cases (from inception) in Florida is now 40. A month ago it was 56, if I remember right. I'd have to dig to find historical data.
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Big Beef Tacosupreme

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6128 on: June 30, 2020, 01:57:46 PM »
Quote from: longhorn320 on June 30, 2020, 01:28:35 PM
and Im saying the more you test the closer you get to the true number of positive cases and the death rate will go down
Which is why I've already accounted for that.

2.5% --- but I only estimated 2%.

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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6129 on: June 30, 2020, 01:59:27 PM »
Quote from: Big Beef Tacosupreme on June 30, 2020, 01:57:46 PM
Which is why I've already accounted for that.

2.5% --- but I only estimated 2%.
But in fairness to 320, you were referencing Texas specifically (5000 cases / 100 deaths daily) where 2% would be significantly higher than what has been observed to date.
« Last Edit: June 30, 2020, 02:06:23 PM by bwarbiany »
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longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6130 on: June 30, 2020, 02:02:14 PM »
Quote from: bwarbiany on June 30, 2020, 01:37:08 PM
That is true.

The question is thus: is the significant increase in positive tests over the past 2 weeks due to increased testing, increased spread, or a bit of both?

If it is at the very least "a bit of both", I expect the daily death counts to start increasing again.

I think it is a bit of both but the vast majority of positives are much younger on the average then two months ago so that will help reduce the death rate
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longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #6131 on: June 30, 2020, 02:06:17 PM »
Quote from: bwarbiany on June 30, 2020, 01:59:27 PM
But in fairness to 420, you were referencing Texas specifically (5000 cases / 100 deaths daily) where 2% would be significantly higher than what has been observed to date.
its 320

and I am not referring to only Texas

as there are 9 to 10 other states which have better death rates then Texas

why dont we just table this for 3 weeks and see the results and if Im wrong I'll be the first to admit it

and I wont even say I told ya so if Im right
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