I'm also trying to understand why "spike" and "fears of a second wave" are showing up all over my news feed, when I look at the numbers and I don't see squat.
Nationally, daily new cases are flat to slightly down. Daily deaths are continuing their downward trend after a 1-week pause about a week ago.
I looked at the curves of the top ~10 states or so to see if maybe we were seeing a spike somewhere. Big hot spots like NY/NJ are not showing anything like a spike. California and Texas keep seeing their daily new case rates go up (but daily deaths are flat), but nothing I'd really call a spike. Texas would at least be close to calling it a spike, but given that new cases were rising anyway, I'm not sure I'd call it that. The only state that I'd say is experiencing a spike right now is Florida. Their daily case rate was about 750/day for several weeks in a row, and in just the last week it's spiked to over 1200... But then their death rate has remained flat, so there could be other explanations (increased testing?)...
So I don't see a spike, but it's popping up in the news today... Why?