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Topic: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas

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longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #4116 on: May 21, 2020, 04:54:09 PM »
Quote from: bwarbiany on May 21, 2020, 04:34:04 PM
Of course. It's also possible that due to demographics it has a lower rate than the norm, right?
sure so we dont know any more then before

thats really my point
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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #4117 on: May 21, 2020, 05:04:28 PM »
Quote from: longhorn320 on May 21, 2020, 04:54:09 PM
sure so we dont know any more then before

thats really my point
Eh. If you view these things as "truth vs falsehood" we don't know any more than before, because obviously the conditions in NYC are not identical to anywhere else. If you view science more as a random walk in the direction of narrowing down towards the truth, it's an important data point. 
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bayareabadger

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #4118 on: May 21, 2020, 08:35:41 PM »
Quote from: longhorn320 on May 21, 2020, 04:54:09 PM
sure so we dont know any more then before

thats really my point
This would basically be applying a high-end level of skepticism too all that data, correct? And we're primarily applying it because NYC is the basis?
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longhorn320

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #4119 on: May 21, 2020, 09:36:03 PM »
Quote from: bayareabadger on May 21, 2020, 08:35:41 PM
This would basically be applying a high-end level of skepticism too all that data, correct? And we're primarily applying it because NYC is the basis?
Thats what Im saying

To use NYC stats to predict what the death rate is will probably produce a number much higher then it really is
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #4120 on: May 21, 2020, 09:36:34 PM »
Sure would be nice to have widespread testing....
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #4121 on: May 21, 2020, 09:39:03 PM »
My aunt, uncle, and cousin were planning to come out to the Grand Canyon in mid-June.  They're from rural GA/SC, and are leaning towards still coming out.

I told them AZ opened up in this past week and likely wouldn't determine what to do next for another week or two, cutting it close.  I'm sure everything would be fine, but the GC gets visitors from all over the place, which worries me.

I think I'd go up and see them if they came out, but I'm not sure if I want them to come out, due to the risks.
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847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #4122 on: May 22, 2020, 06:39:36 AM »
Quote from: OrangeAfroMan on May 21, 2020, 09:36:34 PM
Sure would be nice to have widespread testing....
We do. The entire country is doing it. Some states more than others.

Give them a call. Go get tested, if you think you need it.

https://www.azdhs.gov/preparedness/epidemiology-disease-control/infectious-disease-epidemiology/index.php#novel-coronavirus-testing-blitz
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Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #4123 on: May 22, 2020, 06:41:00 AM »
GA reported 862 new cases yesterday and a spike in deaths to 78 (versus 33 as the 7 day average).  The deaths of course are folks who got sick weeks ago.

The governor was on TV last evening saying everything is great, hospital usage is way down.

https://www.ajc.com/news/breaking-news/breaking-mayor-announces-phase-plan-reopen-atlanta-amid-covid-outbreak/1LhGY4zACE9XHwCJ0zHJRO/

The ATL mayor came out with her plan, which is largely irrelevant except for city facilities.

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Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #4124 on: May 22, 2020, 06:41:58 AM »
I don't know what "widespread testing" would comprise.  Is that 90% of the population?  half?  A quarter?
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847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #4125 on: May 22, 2020, 06:43:28 AM »
We have widespread testing. All the states are doing it.
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Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #4126 on: May 22, 2020, 08:00:37 AM »
I read an article here about a guy who tried to get tested and he was told he was not "high risk" and would have to pay for the test.  I suspect that is the case, you CAN get tested, but if you have no symptoms, it's expensive.  And of course the vast vast majority of people don't want to be tested anyway.
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847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #4127 on: May 22, 2020, 08:25:08 AM »
Exactly my point. Only those who need testing should get one, and those who need them, can do so.


The antibody test is another thing. I'd like to see more of that going on, and hear a little about it.
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Cincydawg

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #4128 on: May 22, 2020, 08:33:33 AM »
I don't think "wide spread testing" is actionable in the US for reasons noted.  Availability is different from actual testing.
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847badgerfan

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Re: Coronavirus discussion and Quarantine ideas
« Reply #4129 on: May 22, 2020, 08:37:51 AM »
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