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Teams with 1st loss Week 9:
Oklahoma

Teams with 2nd loss Week 9:
Auburn
Wisconsin
Notre Dame

Teams with 1st win Week 9:
none

Maximum number of Undefeated Teams at the End of the Regular Season:
6: Clemson, Baylor, Alabama/LSU, Ohio State/Minnesota/Penn State, SMU, Appalachian State
No change in max number this week.

Teams with 1st loss:
Week 0 and 1: 35.38% (46 of 130)
Week 2: 38.01% (32 of 84)
Week 3: 32.69% (17 of 52)
Week 4: 34.29% (12 of 35)
Week 5: 21.74% (5 of 23)
Week 6: 11.11% (2 of 18)
Week 7: 25% (4 of 16)
Week 8: 16.67% (2 of 12)
Week 9: 10% (1 of 10)

Week 9 Thoughts:

-We lost our last 1-loss independent with Notre Dame falling to Michigan.

-Biggest news of day was definitely Oklahoma falling to Kansas State. This leaves just Baylor as undefeated in the Big 12. A 1-loss Big 12 champ would be much easier to leave out of the CFP bowls than an undefeated one. For the moment, this most helps out 1-loss Oregon (who narrowly escaped last night) and potential 1-loss non conference champ SEC teams (Alabama/LSU). Oklahoma is not out of it, but they now do not completely control their destiny.

-Ohio State and LSU winning their big games leaves everything on track for them and likely eliminates Wisconsin and Auburn (if Auburn could win the SEC with their schedule, even at 2 losses, might even be OK, but very doubtful LSU and Alabama both losing twice). It also clears the biggest road blocks to a monstrous LSU/Alabama game and potentially an Ohio State/Penn State won a few weeks later (although Penn State still plays Minnesota).

-We now have 13 undefeated or 1-loss teams from the power 5 conferences. If our trends continue, all 4 of our playoff bowl teams will come from among those 13 teams. Even if this winds up being the first year with a 2 loss team (and this does not feel like a year for that), at least 3 of 4 should be.

-On the Group of 5 Cotton Bowl race this week, our story was about teams holding on. SMU won a close one at Houston on Thursday. Tulsa missed a field goal at the end allowing Memphis to hold on. Navy and San Diego State won by 3 on the road.

Week 10 Thoughts:
Our undefeated teams play in the following games next week: West Virginia @ undefeated Baylor (Thursday), Georgia Southern @ undefeated Appalachian State (Thursday), undefeated SMU @ 1-loss Memphis, and Wofford @ undefeated Clemson. All 5 of our undefeated teams from the Big Ten and SEC are off this week.

Our winless teams play in the following: Winless Akron @ 2-6 Bowling Green, and 5-3 Marshall @ winless Rice. New Mexico State is off. Akron has to be most likely to win of the two.

1-loss Georgia vs. 1-loss Florida: Winner is overwhelming favorite to win the east and will be only team from the east with a shot at the CFP.
Undefeated SMU @ 1-loss Memphis: Game to sit atop the American west division. Memphis chances of a Cotton Bowl bid extremely small with a loss. SMU could probably recover (although would need one more Memphis loss).

1-loss Oregon @ USC: Game important on several fronts. Oregon is somewhat quietly rising back into CFP bowl conversation and this is a must win. USC, on the other hand though, sits atop the PAC-12 south with Utah and has the tie breaker over the Utes. With 3 losses, USC is out of playoff bowl running, but in control of everything else. Utah needs Oregon to win this one.

1-loss Utah @ Washington: Speaking of Utah, win this road game and they be mentioned more as a CFP bowl contender. A major comparison could be made between how they play at Washington and how Oregon did.

1-loss UAB @ Tennessee: UAB is likely not in the Cotton Bowl race, but a win here would push them more into conversation.

West Virginia @ undefeated Baylor: The Bears get attention as the last undefeated team and atop the standings in the Big 12 for the first time on Thursday.

Remaining Undefeated Teams: ACC: 1, American Athletic: 1, Big 12: 1, Big Ten: 3, SEC: 2, Sun Belt: 1, total: 9
Clemson
Baylor
Minnesota
Ohio State
Penn State
Southern Methodist
Alabama
Louisiana State
Appalachian State


1-loss Teams: ACC: 1, American: 3, Big 12: 1, Big Ten: 0, Conference USA: 2, Mountain West: 2, PAC-12: 2, SEC: 2, Sun Belt: 0, independents: 0, total: 13
Cincinnati
Louisiana Tech
San Diego State
Oregon
Utah
Navy
UAB
Georgia
Florida
Wake Forest
Memphis
Boise State
Oklahoma

Remaining Winless Teams: Conference USA: 1, MAC: 1, independents: 1, total: 3
Rice
Akron
New Mexico State

This week that is down to nine because Oklahoma and Auburn have lost control.

Medina:


If "control their own destiny" refers to the conference championship, Oklahoma has not lost control.  The Sooners have yet to play Baylor.  If the Sooners win out, they will be in the [worthless, unnecessary, doing-it-solely-for-the-money] Big 12 CCG.

For the winless teams:

Rice's best chance for a W is in the finale vs UTep. The Miners' lone win was by 2 points vs FCS Houston Baptist.

For NMSU it would either be Incarnate World, who is a 5-3 FCS team that has a pair of Ws against ranked FCS teams. Or UTep, which is one of their big rivalry games (neighboring towns).

For Akron it would be this Saturday vs Bowling Green (2-5/1-3), so they are probably screwed since BG was good enough to upset Toledo, who has a winning record. After that they get EMU, Miami and Ohio, all three of which are 4-4. 

Enjoy the read Medina and catsby

Appy St lost last night, while Baylor barely escaped by a FG.

Cincinnati looks pretty good for a G5 (and is making OSU look good as a result).  They have a shot at winning out.

Ohio State could be 12-1 with a narrow loss in the CG and perhaps still be in the discussion, and that UC win would look good.  But all the contingencies here are the ones you are better at laying out than me of course.