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Thar's a shakeup!  The way things are looking, here's what I think.

SEC: I think Bama, Auburn, and UGA can all play their way in.  Bama and Georgia is obvious, but Auburn would have wins over Bama and two wins over Georgia, and I think they are in if they win out.  The interesting thing is if Auburn does beat Bama, Bama would be the most likely non-conference winner to get in.

ACC: Clemson and Miami can win their way in.  No one else worth mentioning.  If Miami loses in the championship game, could they still sneak in?

B12: Oklahoma can win their way in.  TCU and Okie State can still win the conference, though not sure where that would leave them

B1G: Wisconsin can win their way in.  Everyone else on shaky ground. 

Pac12: Washington, Wazzu, and USC still in the mix, though they seem somewhat forgotten.

Notre Dame is probably out absent some crazy stuff, and Central Florida is still undefeated but not loved by the committee. (Though honestly, they might have an argument)

So, there is any easy path, where the playoff is the SEC winner, the ACC winner, Oklahoma, and Wisconsin.  But nothing about this season says easy.

Prediction for this week...

1. Bama
2. Clemson
3. Oklahoma
4. Miami

5. Auburn
6. Wisconsin
7. Georgia
8. Southern California
9. Ohio State
10. Notre Dame

The glaring difference is that Bama scheduled Florida St as their big out of Conference game instead of BYU. 

The glaring difference is that Bama scheduled Florida St as their big out of Conference game instead of BYU.

Neither is very good. Bama played FSU on a "neutral" in Atlanta. UW went to Provo.

Bama and UW would beat BYU and FSU, respectively. It's a wash in my mind.

UW's other OOC are FAU and Utah State. Not much different than Fresno and Colorado State.

Auburn is the most important win for Clemson, and Wisconsin doesn't have one of those.  That Syracuse loss just can't be written off so easily, they are a 4-6 team.  Wisconsin has dominated every Syracuse they've played.

I said it a week ago, and I'll say it again. A 2 loss team is getting in. Possibly PAC 12 winner, could be Clemson if they get upset then knock off Miami. Maybe it's auburn. 

Ohio st is out, the loss to Iowa in itself is not the killer, but losing by 31 to an unranked squad is.

Worse case for a 2 loss team is Bama losing to auburn or in sec title game, because they still might get in.

Miami/Clemson loser is out. Winner in.

Big 12 needs OU to win out, I don't see okie St or tcu getting in. A 2 loss OU that loses big 12 title game? Tough call but I'd say out and they take 2 sec teams.

Wisconsin is in if they win out.  1 loss and it's over. Prob not fair but committee hates their schedule. Maybe if they lose to UM and beat a top 10 OSU they might get in. 

I think PAC 12 is out. Washing tons schedule is baaaad, USC is ok, but got drilled by ND. 

My prediction of who gets in, auburn beats Bama, loses rematch to Georgia and UGA and Bama both in with Clemson and OU

if Wisconsin wins out, they are in

the top 4 this week is simply an exercise to spark discussion