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Topic: In other news ...

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Gigem

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #23240 on: May 04, 2023, 10:30:58 AM »
Maybeeee, except then you wind up with a service class of workers who can't live anywhere near the places that need servicing and they have no way to get there.

Unless you're going to bus them all in from afar, it doesn't work.  And why spend a long time on a bus to do a low-paying service job when you can just walk down the street 10 min and do the same low-playing job?  Why waste time on travel to service the rich who let the free market boot you out when you can service the average nearby?

Here in Phoenix, a 1-bdrm apartment in the ghetto is $1200/mo.  Plenty of new apartments being built, all around, and every single one of them are "luxury" apartments. 
Doesn't help the problem.
Scottsdale is pretty hoity-toity....where do you think their service workers live?  Not Scottsdale!  But it's not a peninsula with limited space, so all the service workers ride or drive in from the surrounding, poorer areas.
Hell, you could make the argument that Mesa is a 1,000,000 person service city.  Poor, run-down, but adjacent to nicer parts of town. 
Hooray free market!!!
Now the poor can have worse infrastructure and worse schools to maintain their role as service industry to the wealthy! 
MISSION ACCOMPLISHED!
Well, the market should determine the prices.  If the businesses COULD NOT get any workers, the pay would go up, otherwise they would have to shut down.  Can we agree on that much?  In fact, I've known businesses that could not get workers and had to shut down.  No workers = no work.  

But cities create red tape, NIMBY policies, unnecessary regulations, excess permits, the whole 9 yards of bureaucracy that limit housing options.  Limited options will always result in high prices.  This includes rent control and AH, they create artificial markets that influence the real market.  

What I'm trying to say is what would fix a lot of this is less regulation, not more.  Because as long as the gov't steps in and creates artificial influence on the market it will always result in a worse condition for the very people they are trying to help.  

This is not a perfect world, and sometimes people will have to endure shitty circumstances.  Some people grow out of it, and some never do and sometimes (oftentimes) it is their own fault.  It's not the gov't responsibility to ensure "life, liberty, and pursuit of happiness".  It's only their role to ensure that you are able to pursue it, not guarantee it.  The very fact that the more gov't involvement in places like CA and NY result in population migration to places with less taxes and regulation is evidence of this.  


betarhoalphadelta

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #23241 on: May 04, 2023, 10:41:17 AM »
Maybeeee, except then you wind up with a service class of workers who can't live anywhere near the places that need servicing and they have no way to get there.

Unless you're going to bus them all in from afar, it doesn't work.  And why spend a long time on a bus to do a low-paying service job when you can just walk down the street 10 min and do the same low-playing job?  Why waste time on travel to service the rich who let the free market boot you out when you can service the average nearby?

Here in Phoenix, a 1-bdrm apartment in the ghetto is $1200/mo.  Plenty of new apartments being built, all around, and every single one of them are "luxury" apartments. 
Doesn't help the problem.
Scottsdale is pretty hoity-toity....where do you think their service workers live?  Not Scottsdale!  But it's not a peninsula with limited space, so all the service workers ride or drive in from the surrounding, poorer areas.
Hell, you could make the argument that Mesa is a 1,000,000 person service city.  Poor, run-down, but adjacent to nicer parts of town. 
Hooray free market!!!
Now the poor can have worse infrastructure and worse schools to maintain their role as service industry to the wealthy! 
MISSION ACCOMPLISHED!
OAM, you completely missed the point. 

The main problem is government policies which artificially restrict housing density. This causes desirable areas to have demand rise faster than supply can be built, leading to high housing costs. 

And it's not "gov't" in the main--these policies are usually driven precisely by the residents who ALREADY live there. So it's not like I'm just saying this is the result of bureaucrats mucking things up--they're doing exactly what their constituents ask for. 

You *almost* allude to it with the Scottsdale example, which is a rich area where the residents will fight tooth and nail AGAINST any project which increases housing density because they want Scottsdale to stay hoity-toity and price the riff-raff out. It's called "NIMBYism", for "not in my backyard". I.e. people are all for affordable or low-income housing and higher housing density, wherever THEY don't live. 

People live in neighborhoods. They fear those neighborhoods changing from increased density. So they don't allow anything to be built. And then the service workers who can't afford to live there have to come in from somewhere else. 

Increase housing supply, and the service workers might be able to afford to live there. Create Byzantine "affordable housing" restrictions while doing everything you can to stop the increase of housing supply? Well you see where that's gotten us, because that's the status quo. 

Honestbuckeye

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #23242 on: May 04, 2023, 11:27:19 AM »
So it's logical to value the...let's say safety....of the 1 person you know more highly than the thousands of strangers you don't?

Yeah.
Math iz hardr than I thot.
Apparently so is reading comprehension. 🥴🥴
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Gigem

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #23243 on: May 04, 2023, 11:35:06 AM »
OAM, you completely missed the point.

The main problem is government policies which artificially restrict housing density. This causes desirable areas to have demand rise faster than supply can be built, leading to high housing costs.

And it's not "gov't" in the main--these policies are usually driven precisely by the residents who ALREADY live there. So it's not like I'm just saying this is the result of bureaucrats mucking things up--they're doing exactly what their constituents ask for.

You *almost* allude to it with the Scottsdale example, which is a rich area where the residents will fight tooth and nail AGAINST any project which increases housing density because they want Scottsdale to stay hoity-toity and price the riff-raff out. It's called "NIMBYism", for "not in my backyard". I.e. people are all for affordable or low-income housing and higher housing density, wherever THEY don't live.

People live in neighborhoods. They fear those neighborhoods changing from increased density. So they don't allow anything to be built. And then the service workers who can't afford to live there have to come in from somewhere else.

Increase housing supply, and the service workers might be able to afford to live there. Create Byzantine "affordable housing" restrictions while doing everything you can to stop the increase of housing supply? Well you see where that's gotten us, because that's the status quo.
Yes, exactly.  And there has been study after study that supports the notion that until the gov't (and to be clear I was speaking more so about local and state gov't than the feds) allows a higher population density the problem will remain.  But nobody wants the sort of population density in their backyard, even in the slums.  

As an example of the kind of over-reach the gov't requires is that if you build a home in California out in the country you're supposed to supply a water supply for the fire dept.  I forget the quantity, but it's something like 3,000 or 5,000 gallons with dual pumps with their own power supply.  Just in case your house catches in fire, so the fire dept. can put it out.  Now I may be just a tad bit off, but shouldn't that decision be left up to the homeowner?  That is my house catches on fire, and I don't have a water supply for the FD, that welp it's my loss?  If we had this crap in TX nothing would ever get built.  Because we are still a lot of rural communities here.  

bayareabadger

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #23244 on: May 04, 2023, 11:36:44 AM »
I’m of the opinion that if the free market were allowed to work we would not need “ affordable housing “.

Read an article years ago about housing in the Bay Area. Govt artificially restricts building ( excessive costs, unnecessary permits and red tape). Therefore very little construction gets done, and that that does is very $$$. Then they have laws about how much rent you can charge, and how often rent can increase so people just stay in the same housing for decades because they can’t afford to move. This limits the housing to other people who can afford it, who would otherwise be willing to pay the prices for new construction.
I think that’s a mild factor, specifically when it comes to density, but for the most part, I’d argue the demand side is still doing most of the work.

Like, NIMBYism is a damn issue, and it could stand to increase density. But when push comes to shove, there’s very, very little space in the core of the area and a boatload of people with good jobs who want to be there.

The market solution is more people need to decide they don’t want to pay so much. That is what it is.

Gigem

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #23245 on: May 04, 2023, 12:08:49 PM »
But when you restrict what landlords can charge you have people who will stay far longer than they otherwise would. This artificially limiting supply. 

GopherRock

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #23246 on: May 04, 2023, 01:05:26 PM »
The problem with that is that unless there is a major influx of supply, what you're not paying on your mortgage you put into your gas tank.

betarhoalphadelta

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #23247 on: May 04, 2023, 01:21:16 PM »
The problem with that is that unless there is a major influx of supply, what you're not paying on your mortgage you put into your gas tank.
Generally I don't think the extra gas costs are remotely equivalent to the housing difference. And in bigger metro areas, there are often transit options that available, although not always getting exactly from where you are to exactly where you need to be. 

But the biggest problem for people that have to live that far out is the TIME necessary to drive or commute in. They're giving up 2-4 hours of their day, every day, just to be able to go try to spend 8(+?) hours earning. 

OrangeAfroMan

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #23248 on: May 04, 2023, 01:33:53 PM »
Yes, exactly.  And there has been study after study that supports the notion that until the gov't (and to be clear I was speaking more so about local and state gov't than the feds) allows a higher population density the problem will remain.  But nobody wants the sort of population density in their backyard, even in the slums. 

As an example of the kind of over-reach the gov't requires is that if you build a home in California out in the country you're supposed to supply a water supply for the fire dept.  I forget the quantity, but it's something like 3,000 or 5,000 gallons with dual pumps with their own power supply.  Just in case your house catches in fire, so the fire dept. can put it out.  Now I may be just a tad bit off, but shouldn't that decision be left up to the homeowner?  That is my house catches on fire, and I don't have a water supply for the FD, that welp it's my loss?  If we had this crap in TX nothing would ever get built.  Because we are still a lot of rural communities here. 
Probably because fires don't stop at property lines and it's not about the individual.
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OrangeAfroMan

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #23249 on: May 04, 2023, 01:40:35 PM »
But when you restrict what landlords can charge you have people who will stay far longer than they otherwise would. This artificially limiting supply.
Okay, but without that, in the SF peninsula (or whatever it's actually called), there's not enough supply, even if it's genuine (not artificial). 

With genuine high demand/low supply, you'd have the same number of people paying more for the same spaces and those who cannot afford it having to commute in, which is a whole other problem.

I agree that the government probably oversteps and has bad ideas and can be draconian about it. Of course.  But for the Bay Area specifically, the artificial limitation of supply is irrelevant, because the demand will far outpace supply there.
“The Swamp is where Gators live.  We feel comfortable there, but we hope our opponents feel tentative. A swamp is hot and sticky and can be dangerous." - Steve Spurrier

847badgerfan

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #23250 on: May 04, 2023, 01:49:39 PM »
I've been in the land development business for 35+ years, and trust me, the government overreach is absurd, and it gets worse every year. 

I'm at the point where I don't work on many development projects anymore - and I no longer manage projects save for a few - with good clients who know the games.

One of my engineers is working on a development now, which will require a permit from 36 different agencies. 36. And some of the regulations conflict with other regulations.

F that.
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847badgerfan

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #23251 on: May 04, 2023, 02:17:38 PM »
Here is an example of a new development coming in near where we live. It is not subsidized.

Parkside Punta Gorda is a pet-friendly apartment community in Punta Gorda, FL
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betarhoalphadelta

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #23252 on: May 04, 2023, 02:24:21 PM »
Okay, but without that, in the SF peninsula (or whatever it's actually called), there's not enough supply, even if it's genuine (not artificial).

With genuine high demand/low supply, you'd have the same number of people paying more for the same spaces and those who cannot afford it having to commute in, which is a whole other problem.

I agree that the government probably oversteps and has bad ideas and can be draconian about it. Of course.  But for the Bay Area specifically, the artificial limitation of supply is irrelevant, because the demand will far outpace supply there.
Bear in mind that supply has been limited artificially for decades. As it relates to SF proper (not the rest of the Bay Area):

https://www.fastcompany.com/90242388/the-bad-design-that-created-one-of-americas-worst-housing-crises

Quote
In 1928, the commission finally established height limits of 40 feet for parts of the city’s wealthiest enclaves—the Marina, Pacific Heights, and Presidio Heights. That same year, the San Francisco Planning Commission gained additional power through a charter amendment, which included provisions for hiring a city planning engineer, posting neighborhood-development notices, and crafting the first citywide general plan. But the commission’s increased power did not mean more protection for city’s disadvantaged residents.

(snip)


As the threat of litigation became a new constant, the San Francisco Planning Department slowly began to craft a new approach to development. The city’s 1971 Urban Design Plan was the first to codify the shift in values from the Modernist freeway-and-tower model toward a greater respect for San Francisco’s unique neighborhoods and their human-scale features. The plan focused on preserving and expanding existing neighborhood character, and was influenced by a coalition of environmentalists, affordable-housing advocates, and preservation groups who recognized the power of zoning to limit change, for better or worse. For example, its guidelines for building size suggested that new development should mirror the “height and character of existing development.” Notably, many of the plan’s proposals to increase livability, such as greening public spaces and improving street safety, mostly omitted the city’s densest, lower-income neighborhoods like the Tenderloin, Chinatown, and South of Market.

However, the plan also identified 11 areas for taller residential buildings, which local activists immediately fought as the “Manhattanization” of San Francisco. In the face of these criticisms, the department revised its plan after a series of public hearings, resulting in the removal of these high-rise zones.

But the largest legislative achievement of this emerging anti-growth coalition would be the Residential Rezoning of 1978, a project to implement stricter controls across all of San Francisco’s neighborhoods. In addition to creating 40-foot building-height limits for most residential areas, the legislation included new setback rules (regulating how far a building could be from the public right-of-way), low-density requirements (limiting the number of housing units in a given building), and overall design guidelines aimed at preserving entire neighborhoods in amber. The decision to adopt these new limits included a lengthy EIR and public-hearing process, featuring speakers both for and against such exclusionary zoning. For example, several homeowners echoed the sentiments of Ms. Marie Potz, who said she was perfectly happy with her street’s height limit being lowered after someone had built “a huge three-story monstrosity.” Potz made the unfounded claim that there was no housing shortage and asserted that the city had overproduced apartments. “What we need,” she said, “is more single-family houses.”

In sharp contrast to these kinds of aesthetic complaints, many residents, homeowner associations, and community groups spoke forcefully against the rezoning and the inevitable rise in housing prices at a time when San Francisco was already short on affordable housing. Ed Lawson, representing the Richmond District Council, said the zoning was too restrictive and would harm low-income residents the most. Jerry Horowitz of the San Francisco Planners Network explained that the rising cost of housing was already changing the makeup of neighborhoods. “While well-prepared groups concerned with preserving the character of their neighborhoods have had their demands for lower densities heard, low-income residents have lacked the organization to speak up for their own housing needs,” he said.

(snip)

It’s clear that many San Franciscans were well aware this rezoning would lead the city toward a housing crisis. The planning commissioners, however, were not moved. Their testimony throughout the hearings made it clear they valued maintaining the city’s predominately suburban layout over affordability. In response to a homeowner who was unhappy that his property would be downzoned to allow fewer units, commissioner Sue Bierman gave a quintessential anti-growth response—countering that San Franciscans were concerned about parking, traffic, and sunlight reaching their backyards, embracing a shift toward zoning that would preserve “more comfortable neighborhoods.” Instead of listening to those folks worried about becoming homeless, the commissioners focused on the single-family homeowners worried about shadows on their yards and parking for their cars.

In the final minutes of the June 27, 1978, meeting, San Francisco’s planning commissioners prepared to approve the EIR, along with its damning final clause, which explained that the project would reduce the amount of housing that could legally be built in San Francisco. “As a result the cost of housing may increase, and that with increasing housing costs, some population groups may find it difficult to live in San Francisco. The proposed zoning will affect the low- and moderate-income households more than any other group and mitigation measures are proposed to help alleviate this impact.”

But commissioner Bierman said she was “troubled” by this statement, and commissioner Nakashima agreed, complaining that it wasn’t the solely the planning department’s fault if housing prices continued to rise. Commissioner Rosenblatt suggested removing the clause entirely—and that’s exactly what they did, erasing their acknowledgement of the plan’s disastrous effects from the document moments before approving it.

(snip)

San Francisco’s new zoning left most of the city restricted to buildings under 40 feet in height with no more than three residential units allowed. The legislation also gave implicit support to homeowners seeking to block construction of apartment buildings, even if they were allowed under existing zoning. Just as Kenneth T. Jackson explained in Crabgrass Frontier, yet again, “zoning was used by the people who already lived within the arbitrary boundaries of a community as a method of keeping everyone else out. Apartments, factories, and ‘blight,’ euphemisms for blacks and people of limited means, were rigidly excluded.”



So you can complain about a lack of affordable housing 2023, but at the same time please look at the fact that the residents of San Francisco have spent essentially an entire century fighting against anything that would lead to affordable housing.

The truth is that the Bay Area is a wonderful place, with a huge number of high-paying jobs, great weather, natural beauty, and a whole lot of other things that make it desirable.

So you're right that demand will ALWAYS be high. And so it will naturally end up being more expensive than Bililngs, MT. But if they'd allowed for higher density housing, the supply/demand relationship would likely be balanced at a much lower price point than where it is today.

bayareabadger

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Re: In other news ...
« Reply #23253 on: May 04, 2023, 05:30:08 PM »
Bear in mind that supply has been limited artificially for decades. As it relates to SF proper (not the rest of the Bay Area):

https://www.fastcompany.com/90242388/the-bad-design-that-created-one-of-americas-worst-housing-crises



So you can complain about a lack of affordable housing 2023, but at the same time please look at the fact that the residents of San Francisco have spent essentially an entire century fighting against anything that would lead to affordable housing.

The truth is that the Bay Area is a wonderful place, with a huge number of high-paying jobs, great weather, natural beauty, and a whole lot of other things that make it desirable.

So you're right that demand will ALWAYS be high. And so it will naturally end up being more expensive than Bililngs, MT. But if they'd allowed for higher density housing, the supply/demand relationship would likely be balanced at a much lower price point than where it is today.
I think that last part might be overstating it a tad.

It is true that SF and other Bay Area cities placed certain limits on these things. But it’s also true that even with all that, SF is the second-densest big city in the country. And the impact of all that demand has high home prices for like 40 miles in several directions.

More apartments in SF would eat into that demand, but chances are low it’s moving the price point in most of the inner Bay Area all that much. (And I think they need a lot more high-density housing, despite what the dipshits in my hometown think)

 

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